"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Wednesday, December 04, 2019

SportPundit FBS College Football Rankings 2019 After Week 14

SportPundit FBS College Football Rankings 2019 After Week 14

YPP stats from cfbstats.com 
Schedule Difficulty (SD) is based on the Massey Ratings
-- but in some cases we have adjusted them and marked those by an asterisk *
(* = adjusted).
Schedule Difficulty stats are rough approximations - just compare the ColleyMatrix to see how much they can diverge.
NAYPPA = Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage - Calculation by SportPundit.
AYPP = Adjusted Yards Per Play. The "calculation of rank" is made by taking NAYPPA minus the "calibration adjustment for schedule difficulty" CSD (3 x SD divided by 100). We do all calculations in our head, which can be done swiftly, but there may be error as a result of doing things too fast, so we make no guarantees as to accuracy.
The system is not perfect! But it gives a good idea of the relative strengths of many of the teams without looking at the margin of victory or won-loss records against varied opposition and under various circumstances. Some placements are curious, but on the whole, the rankings can be quite useful.

SportPundit NCAA Division I FBS College Football Rankings 2019 after Week 14
(the rank is determined by the AYPP, the adjusted yards per play rating)

Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
1 Ohio State 7.08 3.73 +3.35    6 -0.18 +3.17 12-0
2 LSU 7.90 5.11 +2.79    3 -0.09 +2.70 12-0
3 Oklahoma 8.36 5.33 +3.03    20 -0.60 +2.43 11-1
4 Alabama 7.83 4.80 +3.03   21 -0.63 +2.40 10-2
5 Clemson 7.38 3.84 +3.54    61 -1.83 +1.71 12-0
6 Georgia 6.29 4.12 +2.17    18 -0.54 +1.63 11-1
7 Wisconsin 6.48 4.68 +1.80    12 -0.36 +1.44 10-2
8 Utah 6.91 4.20 +2.71    43 -1.29 +1.42 11-1
9 Michigan 5.85 4.44 +1.41    2 -0.06 +1.35 9-3
10 Florida 6.37 4.80 +1.57  9 -0.27 +1.30 10-2
11 Oregon 6.48 4.75 +1.73    24 -0.72 +1.01 10-2
12 Auburn 5.65 4.68 +0.97      1 -0.00 +0.97 9-3
13 Penn State 5.94 4.67 +1.27    16 -0.48 +0.79 10-2
14 Notre Dame 6.25 4.68 +1.57    28 -0.84 +0.73 10-2
15 Baylor 6.56 4.77 +1.79  39 -1.17 +0.62 11-1
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
16 USC 6.61 5.74 +0.87 *9 -0.27 +0.60 8-4
17 Texas A&M 5.83 5.22 +0.61      7 -0.21 +0.40 7-5
18 Oklahoma St. 6.44 5.79 +0.65    14 -0.42 +0.23 8-4
19 Iowa 5.54 4.75 +0.79    23 -0.69 +0.10 9-3
20 Iowa State 6.58 5.23 +1.35  *45 -1.35 +0.00 7-5
21 Memphis 7.07 5.16 +1.91     66 -1.98 -0.07 11-1
22 Minnesota 6.34 5.11 +1.23     44 -1.32 -0.09 10-2
23 Cincinnati 5.51 5.20 +0.31    *15 -0.45 -0.14 10-2
24 Texas 6.28 6.24  -0.04      5 -0.15 -0.19 7-5
25 Washington 5.85 5.26 +0.59    29 -0.87 -0.28 7-5
26 TCU 5.51 5.37 +0.14     15 -0.45 -0.31 5-7
27 Boise State 6.21 5.24 +0.97  *45 -1.35 -0.38 11-1
28 Tennessee 5.82 5.04 +0.78     40 -1.20 -0.42 7-5
29 Appalachian St. 6.27 4.88 +1.39   *61 -1.83 -0.44 11-1
30 Navy 6.74 5.51 +1.23     57 -1.71 -0.48 9-2
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
31 Kansas State 5.62 6.13  -0.51     **0 -0.00 -0.51 8-4
32 Arizona State 5.86 5.48 +0.38  *30 -0.90 -0.52 7-5
33 North Carolina 6.37 5.54  +0.83      *45 -1.35 -0.52 6-6
34 South Carolina 5.18 5.53 -0.35      *6 -0.18 -0.53 4-8
35 Michigan State 5.09 4.95 +0.14      25 -0.75 -0.61 6-6
36 Mississippi State 6.18 6.20  -0.02     *20 -0.60 -0.62 6-6
37 UCF 6.86 4.52 +2.34    *100 -3.00 -0.66 9-3
38 Mississippi 6.00 5.82 +0.18   29 -0.87 -0.69 4-8
39 Louisiana-Laf. 7.12 5.42 +1.70 *80 -2.40 -0.70 10-2
40 SMU 6.24 5.72 +0.52   *41 -1.23 -0.71 10-2
41 Kentucky 6.17 5.21  +0.96   56 -1.68 -0.72 7-5
42 Virginia 5.68 5.27 +0.41     *40 -1.20 -0.79 8-3
43 Indiana 6.08 5.36 +0.72     52 -1.56 -0.84 8-4
44 Nebraska 5.76 5.61 +0.15   36 -1.08 -0.93 5-7
45 Washington St. 7.13 6.81 +0.32     42 -1.26 -0.94 6-6
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
46 Miami of Florida 5.81 4.73 +1.08     70 -2.10 -1.02 6-6
47 Missouri 5.27 4.86 +0.41    48 -1.44 -1.03 6-6
48 Florida State 5.84 5.37 +0.47   50 -1.50 -1.03 6-6
49 Virginia Tech 5.65 5.20 +0.45   *50 -1.50 -1.05 8-4
50 West Virginia 4.90 5.48  -0.58     *16 -0.48 -1.06 5-7
51 Temple 5.45 4.75 +0.70   *60 -1.80 -1.10 8-4
52 Pittsburgh 5.07 4.44 +0.63    58 -1.74 -1.11 7-5
53 Tulane 6.19 5.51 +0.68    *60 -1.80 -1.12 6-6
54 Louisville 6.62 6.37 +0.25     47 -1.41 -1.16 7-5
55 Stanford 5.59 6.30  -0.71       15  -0.45 -1.16 4-8
56 Oregon State 5.95 6.05  -0.10     *36 -1.08 -1.18 5-7
57 California 5.01 5.33  -0.32     *29 -0.87 -1.19 7-5
58 Kansas 5.86 6.15 -0.29     31 -0.93 -1.22 3-9
59 Air Force 6.35 5.40 +0.95     77 -2.31 -1.36 10-2
60 Arizona 6.05 6.36 -0.31     *35 -1.05 -1.36 4-8
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
61 UCLA 5.31 6.71  -1.40       *1 -0.00 -1.40 4-8
62 Hawaii 6.79 6.36 +0.43     *61 -1.83 -1.40 9-4
63 San Diego State 4.61 4.64 -0.03   *49 -1.47 -1.44 9-3
64 BYU 6.18 5.50  +0.68     71 -2.13 -1.45 7-5
65 Texas Tech 6.09 6.59 -0.50     32 -0.96 -1.46 4-8
66 Illinois 4.91 5.58  -0.51   *32 -0.96 -1.47 6-6
67 Tulsa 5.32 5.67  -0.35   39 -1.17 -1.52 4-8
68 Utah State 5.76 5.55 +0.21     *58 -1.74 -1.53 7-5
69 Colorado 5.50 6.51  -1.01     21 -0.63 -1.64 5-7
70 Purdue 5.47 6.02  -0.55     37 -1.11 -1.66 4-8
71 Wyoming 5.33 4.99 +0.34     *70 -2.10 -1.76 7-5
72 Marshall 5.82 5.35 +0.47   *79 -2.37 -1.90 8-4
73 Florida Atlantic 5.82 5.49  +0.33   *75 -2.25 -1.92 9-3
74 Maryland 5.37 5.95 -0.48     48 -1.44 -1.92 3-9
75 Wake Forest 5.77 5.74 +0.03   *67 -2.01 -1.98 8-4
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
76 Boston College 5.91 6.46  -0.55   *49 -1.47 -2.02 6-6
77 Northwestern 4.23 5.06  -0.83     40 -1.20 -2.03 3-9
78 Fresno State 6.04 5.73 +0.31     78 -2.34 -2.03 4-8
79 Syracuse 5.21 6.07  -0.86   *40 -1.20 -2.06 5-7
80 Western Kentucky 5.56 5.28 +0.28   *80 -2.40 -2.12 8-4
81 Colorado St. 6.24 5.58 +0.66 94 -2.82 -2.164-8
82 Georgia Tech 4.79 5.83  -1.04   *40 -1.20 -2.24 3-9
83 UAB 5.67 4.31 +1.36   *120 -3.60 -2.24 9-3
84 Central Michigan 6.26 5.38 +0.88 *105 -3.15 -2.27 8-4
85 Houston 6.02 6.81  -0.79     50 -1.50 -2.29 4-8
86 San Jose State 6.36 5.80 +0.56   *95 -2.85 -2.29 5-7
87 Louisiana Tech 6.18 5.33 +0.85   *105 -3.15 -2.30 9-3
88 Nevada 4.92 6.04  -1.12   *40 -1.20 -2.32 7-5
89 South Florida 5.14 5.39 -0.25 69 -2.07 -2.32 4-8
90 Duke 4.53 5.35 -0.82     51 -1.53 -2.35 5-7
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
91 Southern Miss 6.13 5.70 +0.43     *95 -2.85 -2.42 7-5
92 Arkansas State 6.20 6.12  +0.08     85 -2.55 -2.47 7-5
93 Arkansas 5.21 6.54 -1.33     *39 -1.17 -2.50 2-10
94 Liberty 6.52 5.89 +0.63   *105 -3.15 -2.52 7-5
95 Georgia Southern 5.31 5.67  -0.46   *70 -2.10 -2.64 7-5
96 NC State 5.18 5.59 -0.41     *75 -2.25 -2.66 4-8
97 Miami of Ohio 5.01 5.22  -0.21     82 -2.46 -2.67 7-5
98 Ohio 6.70 5.93  +0.77   115 -3.45 -2.68 6-6
99 Vanderbilt 4.78 6.57  -1.79   *30 -0.90 -2.69 3-9
100 Kent State 5.75 6.31  -0.56   *71 -2.13 -2.69 6-6
101 Buffalo 5.46 4.85 +0.61   *110 -3.30 -2.69 7-5
 102 Western Michigan 6.46 5.84 +0.62     *111 -3.33 -2.71 7-5
103 Charlotte 6.40 6.14 +0.26   *100 -3.00 -2.74 7-5
104 Ball State 6.11 5.82 +0.29   *101 -3.03 -2.74 5-7
105 Louisiana Monroe 6.37 6.71  -0.34     *80 -2.40 -2.74 5-7
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
106 Florida Int'l FIU 5.55 5.63  -0.08   *90 -2.70 -2.78 6-6
107 Eastern Michigan 6.07 6.02  +0.05   *95 -2.85 -2.80 6-6
108 Middle Tennessee 6.36 6.21  +0.15     *101 -3.00 -2.85 4-8
109 Georgia State 5.85 6.64  -0.79   *70 -2.10 -2.89 7-5
110 Northern Illinois 5.22 6.08  -0.86     *70 -2.10 -2.96 5-7
111 Toledo 6.09 6.62 -0.53   *80 -2.40 -2.976-6
112 North Texas 5.92 5.73 +0.19   *110 -3.30 -3.11 4-8
113 Troy 6.13 6.20  -0.07   105 -3.15 -3.22 5-7
114 Coastal Carolina 5.53 6.05 -0.52   *90 -2.70 -3.22 5-7
115 Army 5.86 5.53  +0.33 *120 -3.60 -3.27 5-7
116 Texas State 4.97 5.72  -0.75   90 -2.70 -3.45 3-9
117 East Carolina 5.74 6.52  -0.78 *90 -2.70 -3.48 4-8
118 UNLV 5.41 6.26  -0.85     90 -2.70 -3.55 4-8
119 Rutgers 4.46 6.22  -1.76     61 -1.83 -3.64 2-10
120 South Alabama 5.01 5.77  -0.76   *100 -3.00 -3.76 2-10
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
121 UTSA 5.05 6.53  -1.48   *80 -2.40 -3.88 4-8
122 New Mexico 5.77 6.71  -0.94 *98 -2.94 -3.88 2-10
123 Rice 4.69 5.97  -1.28     *90 -2.70 -3.98 3-9
124 New Mexico State 5.21 6.58  -1.37     *100 -3.00 -4.37 2-10
125 Bowling Green 4.56 7.03  -2.47   *80 -2.40 -4.87 3-9
126 Connecticut 5.11 7.00  -1.89   *100 -3.15 -4.89 2-10
127 Old Dominion 4.06 5.66  -1.60 *110 -3.30 -4.90 1-11
128 UTEP 5.14 6.76  -1.62 *110 -3.30 -4.92 1-11
129 Massachusetts 4.28 7.77  -3.49   *120 -3.60 -4.99 1-11
130 Akron 4.02 5.70  -1.68 *111 -3.33 -4.99 0-12
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L