"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Experts are Inferior to Algorithms: That's What the EMPIRICAL Evidence Tells Us: Experts Like Complexity: Algorithms Prefer Simplicity : Simple Combinations of Features Are Better

In Statistics vs. Judgment at DelanceyPlace.com, August 11, 2016, Richard Vague focuses on the book Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman,
summarizing an excerpted section that deals with the work of Paul Meehl.

Vague writes:
"In today's encore selection -- from Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman. Statistics versus judgment. In his book Clinical vs. Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence, psychoanalyst Paul Meehl gave evidence that statistical models almost always yield better predictions and diagnoses than the judgment of trained professionals. In fact, experts frequently give different answers when presented with the same information within a matter of a few minutes...."


How Did the Current World Get to Be the Way That It Is? The New Lexiline Forum at ProBoards

If you want to understand the current status of the world, you should have some basic understanding of how it got to be that way. - Andis Kaulins

The New Lexiline Forum at ProBoards.com

We are in the process of moving our LexiLine, History of Civilization Yahoo! Group (at Yahoo! Groups since the year 1999)  to our new forum at ProBoards.com, a free online board portal to our liking.

The Lexiline ProBoards forum has been started at ProBoards at the URL http://lexiline.proboards.com titled as Lexiline : Civilization : Arts : Sciences : Archaeology : Technology : Astronomy : Anthropology.


For a sample page see the following page as a guest:
Avebury Maps | Lexiline : Civilization : Arts : Sciences : Archaeology : Technology : Astronomy : Anthropology

The "public", i.e. guests, are free to view the board but only members of the Lexiline forum can post. Requests to become a member of the group must be approved by the Lexiline forum administration. Membership must be restricted to retain control over spam and flamers, who can be removed and/or banned, so please, apply for membership only if you have a serious interest in the topics discussed on the forum, i.e. the history of civilization, arts & sciences, archaeology & anthropology, technology e.g. astronomy, including archaeoastronomy, and related disciplines -- all from a prehistorical viz. historical perspective.

Future members should read the help files at ProBoards to get acquainted with the system. Looks like a lot of fun!

ProBoards gives forum members a greater opportunity for interactive participation. We intend to take a step back at this new forum from full responsibility and will be looking for additional moderators among the members. Let us know if you are interested. We see the forum as a long-term project. It all depends on how many people join and how high the interest level proves to be.

Right now we are using the free version of ProBoards. If it proves to be successful, we could move to the monthly payment scheme, which would eliminate the ads. But this remains to be seen. Enjoy!

Here is the link again.
LexiLine at ProBoards
http://lexiline.proboards.com/