"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Sunday, September 30, 2018

College Football Prediction Results "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

College Football Prediction Results "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

For Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished: 
42-14 in picking the winner,
25-31 against the spread,
24-29 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under. 

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
268-82 in picking the winner,
159-182-8 against the spread,
114-135 against the CFPT average, and
183-160-6 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week Monday, September 24, 2018, 10:09 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

THURSDAY, September 27, 2018

North Carolina at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Tar Heels by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 21.12 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 35-21 for Miami.
Result: Miami routed North Carolina 47-10.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-0 in picking the winner,
0-1 against the spread,
0-1 against the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.

FRIDAY, September 28, 2018

Memphis at Tulane
The Tigers were favored over the Green Wave by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 12.93 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 44-27 for Memphis.
Result: Tulane upset Memphis 40-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-1 in picking the winner,
0-2 against the spread,
0-2 against the CFPT average, and
1-1 against the over/under. 

UCLA at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Bruins by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 13.28 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Colorado.
Result: Unbeaten Colorado topped the Bruins 38-16.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
2-1 in picking the winner,
0-3 against the spread,
0-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-2 against the over/under. 

SATURDAY, September 29, 2018

Army at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Black Knights by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 0.94 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Buffalo.
Result: Army beat Buffalo 42-13.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
2-2 in picking the winner,
0-4 against the spread,
0-4 against the CFPT average, and
2-2 against the over/under. 

Bowling Green at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Falcons by 25.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 23.13 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 48-14 for Georgia Tech.
Result: Georgia Tech routed Bowling Green 63-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
3-2 in picking the winner,
1-4 against the spread,
1-4 against the CFPT average, and
2-3 against the over/under. 

Central Michigan at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Chippewas by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 27.53 points.
The over/under was 45 points.
Our call: 41-7 for Michigan State.
Result: The Spartans prevailed over the Chippewas 31-20.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
4-2 in picking the winner,
1-5 against the spread,
1-5 against the CFPT average, and
3-3 against the over/under. 

Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Orange by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 19.77 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Clemson.
Result: Syracuse scored a TD in the last minute to edge the orange 27-23.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
5-2 in picking the winner,
2-5 against the spread,
2-5 against the CFPT average, and
4-3 against the over/under. 

Indiana at Rutgers
The Hoosiers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 18 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Indiana.
Result: Indiana relied on to a 24-7 halftime lead to win 24-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
6-2 in picking the winner,
2-6 against the spread,
2-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-4 against the over/under. 

Louisiana Lafyette (ULL) at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 51.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 52.41 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 56-7 for Alabama. If we were to go strictly by our system, we would favor Alabama by 77 points in this game. Obviously, when scores go very high, reserves are sent in to gain play experience, minimizing scoring. Besides, there is no great advantage for a top team to run up a score senselessly, so that any predicted spread beyond 49 points is a risk, even if a team is quite dominant.
Result: The Crimson tide led 49-0 at the half in rolling to a 56-14 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
7-2 in picking the winner,
3-6 against the spread,
3-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-5 against the over/under. 

Oklahoma State at Kansas
The Cowboys were favored over the Jayhawks by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 18.19 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 44-20 for Oklahoma State.
Result: The Cowboys rebounded from last week's loss for a 48-28 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
8-2 in picking the winner,
4-6 against the spread,
4-6 against the CFPT average, and
5-5 against the over/under. 

Temple at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Owls by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 8.82 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Boston College.
Result: The Eagles prevailed over the Owls 45-35.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
9-2 in picking the winner,
5-6 against the spread,
4-7 against the CFPT average, and
5-6 against the over/under. 

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas)
The Aggies were favored over the Razorbacks by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 23.06 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Texas A&M.
Result: Texas A&M snuck past Arkansas 24-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
10-2 in picking the winner,
5-7 against the spread,
4-8 against the CFPT average, and
6-6 against the over/under. 

West Virginia at Texas Tech
The Mountaineers were favored over the Red Raiders by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 2.67 points.
The over/under was 77 points.
Our call: 40-34 for West Virginia.
Result: The Mountaineers led 28-7 after the first quarter and held on for a 42-34 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
11-2 in picking the winner,
6-7 against the spread,
5-8 against the CFPT average, and
7-6 against the over/under. 

Virginia at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Cavaliers by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State  by 9.55 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 30-27 for NC State.
Result: The Wolfpack stayed unbeaten with a 35-21 win over the Cavaliers.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
12-2 in picking the winner,
6-8 against the spread,
5-9 against the CFPT average, and
8-6 against the over/under. 

Louisiana Monroe (ULM) at Georgia State
The Warhawks were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ULM by 2.90 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 45-27 for UL Monroe.
Result: Georgia State romped past the Warhawks 46-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
12-3 in picking the winner,
6-9 against the spread,
5-10 against the CFPT average, and
8-7 against the over/under. 

Massachusetts at Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Minutemen by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 11.78 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 37-36 for Ohio.
Result: Ohio outscored UMass 58-42.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
13-3 in picking the winner,
6-10 against the spread,
5-11 against the CFPT average, and
9-7 against the over/under. 

Kent State at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Golden Flashes by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 2.57 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Ball State.
Result: Ball State walloped Kent State 52-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
14-3 in picking the winner,
6-11 against the spread,
5-12 against the CFPT average, and
9-8 against the over/under. 

Baylor at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Bears by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 23.48 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-20 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma doubled the scoring of the Bears 66-33.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
15-3 in picking the winner,
7-11 against the spread,
6-12 against the CFPT average, and
10-8 against the over/under. 

Cincinnati at Connecticut
The Bearcats were favored over the Huskies by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 14.88 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 42-24 for Cincinnati.
Result: Cincy stayed in the unbeaten ranks with a 49-7 rout of UConn.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
15-3 in picking the winner,
7-11 against the spread,
6-12 against the CFPT average, and
10-8 against the over/under.

Coastal Carolina at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Chanticleers by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 11.46 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Troy.
Result: Troy prevailed over CCU 45-21.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
16-3 in picking the winner,
7-12 against the spread,
6-13 against the CFPT average, and
11-8 against the over/under.

Florida State at Louisville
The Seminoles were favored over the Cardinals by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 2.94 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State topped Louisville 28-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
17-3 in picking the winner,
7-13 against the spread,
7-13 against the CFPT average, and
11-9 against the over/under.

Old Dominion at East Carolina
The Pirates were favored over the Monarchs by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored East Carolina by 11 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Old Dominion.
Result: The Pirates edged Old Dominion 37-35.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
17-4 in picking the winner,
8-13 against the spread,
8-13 against the CFPT average, and
12-9 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at UCF (Central Florida)
The Knights were favored over the Panthers by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 16.53 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 44-27 for UCF.
Result:The unbeaten Knights extended their nation-leading win streak to 17 games with a 45-14 win over Pitt, as McKenzie Milton threw for 4 TDs and ran for two more.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
18-4 in picking the winner,
9-13 against the spread,
9-13 against the CFPT average, and
12-10 against the over/under.

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers were favored over the Huskers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 7.68 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 31-30 for the Cornhuskers. Our stats would predict a Purdue win by about 5 points, but, as a highly biased Nebraska alumnus, we are hoping that the Big Red start to break out of their doldrums.
Result: Purdue stymied the Cornhuskers 42-28. Scott Frost and staff have gone from a fantastic unbeaten season at UCF to a thus far winless season at Nebraska. Having inherited a 4-8 team that lost its last four games last season, the Big Red have now lost a record 8 games in a row. In terms of yardage per play, Nebraska is 5.61 on offense and 5.61 on defense, but the turnover ratio (9 to 3) is poor.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
18-5 in picking the winner,
9-14 against the spread,
9-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-10 against the over/under.

Rice at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Owls by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 25.99 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Wake Forest.
Result: Wake Forest routed Rice 56-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
19-5 in picking the winner,
10-14 against the spread,
10-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-11 against the over/under.

South Alabama at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Jaguars by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 26.80 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 49-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: The Mountaineers led 42-7 at the half in a 52-7 win. Appalachian State barely lost to Penn State to open their season and should clearly be ranked.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
20-5 in picking the winner,
11-14 against the spread,
11-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-12 against the over/under.

Tennessee at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Vols by 33 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 34.13 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 47-7 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia prevailed 38-12.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
21-5 in picking the winner,
11-15 against the spread,
11-15 against the CFPT average, and
13-13 against the over/under.

Texas at Kansas State
The Longhorns were favored over the Wildcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas by 10.19 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Texas.
Result: Texas led 19-0 at the half and held on for a 19-14 squeaker win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
22-5 in picking the winner,
11-16 against the spread,
11-16 against the CFPT average, and
13-14 against the over/under.

Western Michigan at Miami of Ohio
The Redhawks were favored over the Broncos by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 4.89 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Western Michigan.
Result: The Broncos outscored the Redhawks 40-39.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
23-5 in picking the winner,
12-16 against the spread,
12-16 against the CFPT average, and
14-14 against the over/under.

Nevada at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Wolf Pack by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Air Force by 9.04 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 36-34 for Nevada.
Result: Nevada edged Air force 28-25.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
24-5 in picking the winner,
13-16 against the spread,
13-16 against the CFPT average, and
14-15 against the over/under.

Tennessee State (FCS) at Vanderbilt
The Commodores were favored over the Tigers by 30.5 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 45-7 for Vanderbilt.
Result: Vandy was lucky to win 31-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
25-5 in picking the winner,
13-17 against the spread,
13-16 against the CFPT average, and
15-15 against the over/under.

Southern Mississippi at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 29.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 27.73 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 41-10 for Auburn.
Result: Auburn struggled to a 24-13 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
26-5 in picking the winner,
13-18 against the spread,
13-17 against the CFPT average, and
16-15 against the over/under.

Michigan at Northwestern
The Wolverines were favored over the Wildcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 10.70 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Michigan.
Result: Michigan came back from a 17-0 deficit to win 20-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
27-5 in picking the winner,
13-19 against the spread,
13-18 against the CFPT average, and
16-16 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Georgia Southern
The Red Wolves were favored over the Eagles by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Red Wolves by 2.89 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 37-23 for Arkansas State.
Result: Georgia Southern topped the Red Wolves 28-21 on a 47-yard run by Wesley Kennedy III with 19 seconds left to play.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
27-6 in picking the winner,
13-20 against the spread,
13-19 against the CFPT average, and
16-17 against the over/under.

Florida at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Gators by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 7.73 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Florida.
Result: Florida prevailed over Mississippi State 13-6.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
28-6 in picking the winner,
14-20 against the spread,
14-19 against the CFPT average, and
16-18 against the over/under.

Liberty at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Flames by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 7.46 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 38-35 for Liberty.
Result: Liberty beat New Mexico 52-43.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-6 in picking the winner,
15-20 against the spread,
15-19 against the CFPT average, and
17-18 against the over/under.

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Huskies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 7.12 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: The game was tied 13-13 after regulaton as Northern Illinois pulled out the win in 3 overtimes 26-23.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-7 in picking the winner,
16-20 against the spread,
16-19 against the CFPT average, and
18-18 against the over/under.

Utah at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Utes by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 3.60 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 27-23 for Washington State. According to cfbstats.com, Utah is Number 1 in pass defense and Washington State is Number 2 in pass offense.
Result: Washington State won 28-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
30-7 in picking the winner,
17-20 against the spread,
17-19 against the CFPT average, and
19-18 against the over/under.

Boise State at Wyoming
The Broncos were favored over the Cowboys by 16 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 16.45 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Boise State.
Result: Boise State stopped Wyoming 34-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
31-7 in picking the winner,
17-21 against the spread,
17-20 against the CFPT average, and
20-18 against the over/under.

Charlotte at UAB (Alabama Birmingham)
The Blazers were favored over the 49ers by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 14.74 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 38-17 for UAB.
Result: UAB won 28-7.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
32-7 in picking the winner,
18-21 against the spread,
18-20 against the CFPT average, and
20-19 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Middle Tennessee State (MTSU)
The Owls were favored over the Blue Raiders by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Owls by 3.89 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 34-33 for FAU.
Result: MTSU won 25-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
32-8 in picking the winner,
19-21 against the spread,
19-20 against the CFPT average, and
21-19 against the over/under.

Hawaii (Hawai'i) at San Jose State
The Warriors were favored over the Spartans by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Hawaii by 12.12 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Hawaii.
Result: The game was tied 31-31 after regulation, as Hawaii prevailed 44-41 in 5 overtimes.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
33-8 in picking the winner,
19-22 against the spread,
19-21 against the CFPT average, and
22-19 against the over/under.

Houston Baptist (FCS) at SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Huskies by 39 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 54-14 for SMU.
Result: SMU won 63-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
34-8 in picking the winner,
19-23 against the spread,
19-21 against the CFPT average, and
23-19 against the over/under.

Iowa State at TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Cyclones by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 7.51 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 31-20 for TCU.
Result: TCU edged Iowa State 17-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
35-8 in picking the winner,
19-24 against the spread,
19-22 against the CFPT average, and
23-20 against the over/under.

UTEP (Texas El Paso) at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Roadrunners were favored over the Miners by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UTSA by 15.84 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 31-21 for UTSA.
Result: The Roadrunners beat the Miners 30-21.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-8 in picking the winner,
20-24 against the spread,
20-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-20 against the over/under.

Virginia Tech at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Hokies by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 11.35 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Duke.
Result: Virginia Tech beat Duke 31-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-9 in picking the winner,
20-25 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-21 against the over/under.

Arkansas Pine Bluff (FCS) at Florida International (FIU)
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Golden Lions by 52 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 61-7 for FIU. Arkansas Pine Bluff lost 90-6 to South Dakota State earlier this season so that any guess at a score here is just that.
Result: FIU won 55-9.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-9 in picking the winner,
20-26 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-22 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at North Texas
The Mean Green were favored over the Bulldogs by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Mean Green by 9.98 points.
The over/under was 65 points. How good are the constantly improving and still undefeated Mean Green this year? Louisiana Tech lost by only 17 to LSU last week. Last year North Texas beat the Bulldogs 24-23 on the road. We guess they are one TD better and here have the home field advantage.
Our call: 34-24 for North Texas.
Result: Louisiana Tech upset North Texas 29-27 on a blocked field goal with 33 seconds left to play.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-10 in picking the winner,
20-27 against the spread,
21-23 against the CFPT average, and
25-22 against the over/under.

Marshall at Western Kentucky
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Hilltoppers 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 3.32 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for WKU.
Result: Marshall beat Western Kentucky 20-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-11 in picking the winner,
21-27 against the spread,
22-23 against the CFPT average, and
25-23 against the over/under.

Ohio State at Penn State 
The Buckeyes were favored over the Nittany Lions by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 1.37 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 37-34 for Penn State. Our stats make this an even game, so we go with the home team and its theoretical 3-point home field advantage.
Result: Ohio State overcame a 12-point deficit in the 4th quarter and edged Penn State 27-26.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-12 in picking the winner,
22-27 against the spread,
22-24 against the CFPT average, and
25-24 against the over/under.

South Carolina at Kentucky
The Gamecocks were favored over the Wildcats by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kentucky by 1.44 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Kentucky.
Result: Kentucky topped the Gamecocks 24-10 to go to 5-0.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-12 in picking the winner,
22-27 against the spread,
22-24 against the CFPT average, and
25-24 against the over/under.

Stanford at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Cardinal by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 3.54 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Stanford. Our stats give Notre Dame a slight edge here based on a tougher schedule according to the Massey Ratings, but as a Stanford Law School alum we go with the Cardinal.
Result: Stanford was outgained 541 to 201 yards as Notre Dame topped the Cardinal 38-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-13 in picking the winner,
22-28 against the spread,
22-25 against the CFPT average, and
26-24 against the over/under.

BYU at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Cougars by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington  by 16.30 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our call: 23-20 for Washington. The stats favor Washington by a substantial margin, but the Cougar win against Wisconsin gives cause for pause. We keep our spread low.
Result: Washington beat BYU 35-7.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
38-13 in picking the winner,
22-29 against the spread,
22-26 against the CFPT average, and
27-24 against the over/under.

Mississippi (Ole Miss) at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Rebels by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 12.54 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 27-26 for LSU.
Result: Unbeaten LSU routed Ole Miss 45-16.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
39-13 in picking the winner,
22-30 against the spread,
22-27 against the CFPT average, and
27-25 against the over/under.

Oregon State at Arizona State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Beavers by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 22.45 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 47-17 for Arizona State.
Result: The Sun Devils beat the Beavers 52-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
40-13 in picking the winner,
23-30 against the spread,
23-27 against the CFPT average, and
28-25 against the over/under.

Oregon at California
The Ducks were favored over the Bears by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cal by 1.96 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Cal.
Result: Oregon beat Cal 42-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
40-14 in picking the winner,
23-31 against the spread,
23-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-26 against the over/under.

Toledo at Fresno State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rockets by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 10.01 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Fresno State.
Result: Fresno State beat Toledo 49-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
41-14 in picking the winner,
24-31 against the spread,
24-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under.

USC (Southern California) at Arizona
The Trojans were favored over the Wildcats by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored USC by 5.12 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 36-27 for Southern Cal.
Result: USC beat Arizona 24-20.
We finished Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season as follows:
42-14 in picking the winner,
25-31 against the spread,
24-29 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under.


Tuesday, September 25, 2018

College Football Predictions "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

College Football Predictions "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

For Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:
51-11 in picking the winner,
32-30 against the spread,
27-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-33-1 against the over/under.

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
226-68 in picking the winner,
134-151-8 against the spread,
90-106 against the CFPT average, and
155-133-6 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week Monday, September 24, 2018, 10:09 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

THURSDAY, September 27, 2018

North Carolina at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Tar Heels by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 21.12 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 35-21 for Miami.
Result: ??

FRIDAY, September 28, 2018

Memphis at Tulane
The Tigers were favored over the Green Wave by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 12.93 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 44-27 for Memphis.
Result: ??

UCLA at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Bruins by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 13.28 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Colorado.
Result: ??

SATURDAY, September 29, 2018

Army at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Black Knights by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 0.94 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Buffalo.
Result: ??

Bowling Green at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Falcons by 25.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 23.13 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 48-14 for Georgia Tech.
Result: ??

Central Michigan at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Chippewas by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 27.53 points.
The over/under was 45 points.
Our call: 41-7 for Michigan State.
Result: ??

Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Orange by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 19.77 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Clemson.
Result: ??

Indiana at Rutgers
The Hoosiers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 18 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Indiana.
Result: ??

Louisiana Lafyette (ULL) at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 51.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 52.41 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 56-7 for Alabama. If we were to go strictly by our system, we would favor Alabama by 77 points in this game. Obviously, when scores go very high, reserves are sent in to gain play experience, minimizing scoring. Besides, there is no great advantage for a top team to run up a score senselessly, so that any predicted spread beyond 49 points is a risk, even if a team is quite dominant.
Result: ??

Oklahoma State at Kansas
The Cowboys were favored over the Jayhawks by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 18.19 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 44-20 for Oklahoma State.
Result: ??

Temple at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Owls by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 8.82 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Boston College.
Result: ??

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas)
The Aggies were favored over the Razorbacks by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 23.06 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Texas A&M.
Result: ??
 
West Virginia at Texas Tech
The Mountaineers were favored over the Red Raiders by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 2.67 points.
The over/under was 77 points.
Our call: 40-34 for West Virginia.
Result: ??

Virginia at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Cavaliers by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State  by 9.55 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 30-27 for NC State.
Result: ??

Louisiana Monroe (ULM) at Georgia State
The Warhawks were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ULM by 2.90 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 45-27 for UL Monroe.
Result: ??

Massachusetts at Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Minutemen by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 11.78 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 37-36 for Ohio.
Result: ??

Kent State at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Golden Flashes by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 2.57 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Ball State.
Result: ??

Baylor at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Bears by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 23.48 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-20 for Oklahoma.
Result: ??

Cincinnati at Connecticut
The Bearcats were favored over the Huskies by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 14.88 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 42-24 for Cincinnati.
Result: ??

Coastal Carolina at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Chanticleers by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 11.46 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Troy.
Result: ??

Florida State at Louisville
The Seminoles were favored over the Cardinals by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 2.94 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Florida State.
Result: ??

Old Dominion at East Carolina
The Pirates were favored over the Monarchs by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored East Carolina by 11 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Old Dominion.
Result: ??

Pittsburgh at UCF (Central Florida)
The Knights were favored over the Panthers by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 16.53 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 44-27 for UCF.
Result: ??

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers were favored over the Huskers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 7.68 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 31-30 for the Cornhuskers. Our stats would predict a Purdue win by about 5 points, but, as a highly biased Nebraska alumnus, we are hoping that the Big Red start to break out of their doldrums.
Result: ??

Rice at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Owls by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 25.99 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Wake Forest.
Result: ??

South Alabama at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Jaguars by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 26.80 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 49-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: ??

Tennessee at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Vols by 33 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 34.13 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 47-7 for Georgia.
Result: ??

Texas at Kansas State
The Longhorns were favored over the Wildcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas by 10.19 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Texas.
Result: ??

Western Michigan at Miami of Ohio
The Redhawks were favored over the Broncos by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 4.89 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Western Michigan.
Result: ??

Nevada at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Wolf Pack by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Air Force by 9.04 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 36-34 for Nevada.
Result: ??

Tennessee State (FCS) at Vanderbilt
The Commodores were favored over the Tigers by 30.5 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 45-7 for Vanderbilt.
Result: ??

Southern Mississippi at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 29.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 27.73 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 41-10 for Auburn.
Result: ??

Michigan at Northwestern
The Wolverines were favored over the Wildcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 10.70 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Michigan.
Result: ??

Arkansas State at Georgia Southern
The Red Wolves were favored over the Eagles by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Red Wolves by 2.89 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 37-23 for Arkansas State.
Result: ??

Florida at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Gators by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 7.73 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Florida.
Result: ??

Liberty at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Flames by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 7.46 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 38-35 for Liberty.
Result: ??

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Huskies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 7.12 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: ??

Utah at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Utes by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 3.60 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 27-23 for Washington State. According to cfbstats.com, Utah is Number 1 in pass defense and Washington State is Number 2 in pass offense.
Result: ??

Boise State at Wyoming
The Broncos were favored over the Cowboys by 16 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 16.45 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Boise State.
Result: ??

Charlotte at UAB (Alabama Birmingham)
The Blazers were favored over the 49ers by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 14.74 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 38-17 for UAB.
Result: ??

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Middle Tennessee State (MTSU)
The Owls were favored over the Blue Raiders by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Owls by 3.89 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 34-33 for FAU.
Result: ??

Hawaii (Hawai'i) at San Jose State
The Warriors were favored over the Spartans by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Hawaii by 12.12 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Hawaii.
Result: ??

Houston Baptist (FCS) at SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Huskies by 39 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 54-14 for SMU.
Result: ??

Iowa State at TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Cyclones by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 7.51 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 31-20 for TCU.
Result: ??

UTEP (Texas El Paso) at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Roadrunners were favored over the Miners by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UTSA by 15.84 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 31-21 for UTSA.
Result: ??

Virginia Tech at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Hokies by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 11.35 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Duke.
Result: ??

Arkansas Pine Bluff (FCS) at Florida International (FIU)
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Golden Lions by 52 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 61-7 for FIU. Arkansas Pine Bluff lost 90-6 to South Dakota State earlier this season so that any guess at a score here is just that.
Result: ??

Louisiana Tech at North Texas
The Mean Green were favored over the Bulldogs by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Mean Green by 9.98 points.
The over/under was 65 points. How good are the constantly improving and still undefeated Mean Green this year? Louisiana Tech lost by only 17 to LSU last week. Last year North Texas beat the Bulldogs 24-23 on the road. We guess they are one TD better and here have the home field advantage.
Our call: 34-24 for North Texas.
Result: ??

Marshall at Western Kentucky
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Hilltoppers 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 3.32 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for WKU.
Result: ??

Ohio State at Penn State 
The Buckeyes were favored over the Nittany Lions by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 1.37 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 37-34 for Penn State. Our stats make this an even game, so we go with the home team and its theoretical 3-point home field advantage.
Result: ??

South Carolina at Kentucky
The Gamecocks were favored over the Wildcats by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kentucky by 1.44 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Kentucky.
Result: ??

Stanford at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Cardinal by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 3.54 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Stanford. Our stats give Notre Dame a slight edge here based on a tougher schedule according to the Massey Ratings, but as a Stanford Law School alum we go with the Cardinal.
Result: ??

BYU at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Cougars by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington  by 16.30 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our call: 23-20 for Washington. The stats favor Washington by a substantial margin, but the Cougar win against Wisconsin gives cause for pause. We keep our spread low.
Result: ??

Mississippi (Ole Miss) at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Rebels by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 12.54 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 27-26 for LSU.
Result: ??

Oregon State at Arizona State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Beavers by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 22.45 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 47-17 for Arizona State.
Result: ??

Oregon at California
The Ducks were favored over the Bears by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cal by 1.96 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Cal.
Result: ??

Toledo at Fresno State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rockets by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 10.01 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Fresno State.
Result: ??

USC (Southern California) at Arizona
The Trojans were favored over the Wildcats by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored USC by 5.12 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 36-27 for Southern Cal.
Result: ??


Sunday, September 23, 2018

Week 4 2018 College Football Prediction Results NCAA Division I FBS September 20 to September 23

College Football Prediction Results "Week 4" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 20 to September 23

For Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:

51-11 in picking the winner,
32-30 against the spread,
27-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-33-1 against the over/under.

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
226-68 in picking the winner,
134-151-8 against the spread,
90-106 against the CFPT average, and
155-133-6 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week, Monday, September 17, 2018, 11:15 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

THURSDAY, September 20, 2018

Tulsa at Temple
The Owls were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Temple by 8.41 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Temple.
Result:Temple beat Tulsa 31-17.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-0 in picking the winner,
0-1 against the spread,
0-1 against the CFPT average, and
0-1 against the over/under.

FRIDAY, September 21, 2018

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Central Florida (UCF)
The Knights were favored over the Owls by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 17.65 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 40-27 for UCF.
Result: The Knights outscored the Owls 56-36 as McKenzie Milton threw for 3 TDs and rushed for 3 more.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
2-0 in picking the winner,
0-2 against the spread,
0-2 against the CFPT average, and
0-2 against the over/under.

Penn State at Illinois
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Fighting Illini by 26.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 26.23 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Penn State.
Result: Penn State topped the Illlini 63-24 with a 35-point 4th quarter.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
3-0 in picking the winner,
1-2 against the spread,
1-2 against the CFPT average, and
0-3 against the over/under.

Washington State at USC
The Trojans were favored over the Cougars by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 4.35 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Washington State.
Result: USC prevailed over Washington State 39-36 on a blocked field goal.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
3-1 in picking the winner,
2-2 against the spread,
2-2 against the CFPT average, and
0-4 against the over/under.

SATURDAY, September 22, 2018

Minnesota at Maryland
The Terrapins were favored over the Golden Gophers by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Minnesota by 4.58 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Minnesota.
Result: The Terps dominated Minnesota 42-13.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
3-2 in picking the winner,
2-3 against the spread,
3-2 against the CFPT average, and
0-5 against the over/under.

Nebraska at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Cornhuskers by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 19.28 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Michigan. Nebraska has strong motivation to put up a good showing in view of the first two forgettable games of the season. Last season the Huskers averaged 5.59 yards per play on offense and 6.34 yards per play on defense. Thus far this season, in spite of two error-plagued losses, the Huskers have averaged 5.88 yards per play on offense and 4.63 yards per play on defense. That is a substantial improvement thus far, albeit against weaker opposition. By our NAYPPA yards-per-play system, that is a ypp shift equivalent to 20 points per game, and, indeed, we had predicted a 3 TD per game improvement this 2018 season for the Big Red, similar to the ca. 3 TD improvement the Frost coaching staff and Knights' players achieved in their first year at UCF. Hence, all is not lost because of disappointing setbacks in the first two games. Huskerland must look forward, despite the fierce Big Ten opposition the team will be facing in upcoming games. There will surely be positive Cornhusker team development. As a Nebraska grad, whose better half is a Michigan grad, we must of course admit that our prognostications are biased ... in both directions. May the best team win!
Result: The Huskers "bottomed out", trailing 39-0 at the half in losing 56-10. Whatever "magic" Frost and his coaching staff had at UCF, they have not been able to transfer it to the current set of Huskers ... yet. 247Sports.com writes: "Nebraska on Thursday scheduled FCS opponent Bethune-Cookman for its Oct. 27 bye."  One can be sure that the Wildcats will be up for that game.

We have no doubt that Frost and staff will ultimately turn the Huskers around, but the question currently is how many years it will take to get there. They have to recruit top players in coming years. The Buffalo Bulls of Lance Leipold appear this year to show that it can be done, but that it takes time. Also the North Texas Mean Green of Seth Littrell are representative of a longer term turn-around, and we do not want to forget UCF's Frost-led swift and amazing resurrection. Leipold inhereited a 5-6 team. The Bulls have gone 5-7, 2-10, 6-6 and are an undefeated 4-0 this season under Leipold. The Mean Green in 2015 were 1-11 and have gone 5-8, 9-5 and are an undefeated 4-0 this year. Does North Texas have enough money to keep Littrell, and will Buffalo stay strong? North Texas plays Louisiana Tech next weekend, while the Bulls next game is against Army, who took Oklahoma to overtime this week.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
4-2 in picking the winner,
2-4 against the spread,
3-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-5 against the over/under.

Boston College at Purdue
The Eagles were favored over the Boilermakers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 10.47 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our call: 34-33 for Purdue.
Result: The Boilermakers entered the win-column, beating previously undefeated Boston College 30-13.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
5-2 in picking the winner,
3-4 against the spread,
4-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-6 against the over/under.

Buffalo at Rutgers
The Bulls were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 7.35 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Buffalo.
Result: The Bulls bullied Rutgers 42-13. It was Buffalo's first ever win over a Big Ten opponent.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
6-2 in picking the winner,
4-4 against the spread,
5-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-7 against the over/under.

Nevada at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Wolf Pack by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 7.57 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo won the scoring duel with Nevada 63-44.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
7-2 in picking the winner,
5-4 against the spread,
6-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-8 against the over/under.

Notre Dame at Wake Forest
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Demon Deacons by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 3.44 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 31-23 for Notre Dame.
Result: Notre Dame prevailed over Wake Forest 56-27.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
8-2 in picking the winner,
6-4 against the spread,
7-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-9 against the over/under.

Akron at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Zips by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 15.86 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Iowa State.
Result: Iowa State won against the Zips 26-13 in a defensive struggle.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
9-2 in picking the winner,
6-5 against the spread,
7-4 against the CFPT average, and
1-10 against the over/under.

Georgia at Missouri
The Dawgs were favored over Mizzou by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 10.28 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia topped Mizzou 43-29.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
10-2 in picking the winner,
7-5 against the spread,
8-4 against the CFPT average, and
1-11 against the over/under.

Kent State at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Golden Flashes by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ole Miss by 26.24 points.
The over/under was 75.5 points.
Our call: 57-17 for Ole Miss.
Result: Ole Miss ralled from a 7-7 halftime stand-off and a slim 3rd quarter 21-17 lead to win 38-17.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
11-2 in picking the winner,
7-6 against the spread,
8-5 against the CFPT average, and
2-11 against the over/under.

Navy at SMU
The Midshipmen were favored over the Mustangs by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 8.63 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 34-31 for SMU.
Result: SMU beat Navy 31-30 on a two-point conversion in overtime.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
12-2 in picking the winner,
8-6 against the spread,
9-5 against the CFPT average, and
3-11 against the over/under.

Ohio at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Bobcats by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 7.06 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 38-14 for Cincinnati.
Result: Cincy rallied from a 24-7 first-half deficit and held Ohio at the one-yard line with an interception and 52 seconds left on the clock to win 34-30.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
13-2 in picking the winner,
8-7 against the spread,
9-6 against the CFPT average, and
3-12 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at North Carolina
The Panthers were favored over the Tar Heels by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Pittsburgh by 2.5 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for North Carolina.
Result: The Tar Heels edged the Panthers 38-35.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
14-2 in picking the winner,
9-7 against the spread,
10-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-12 against the over/under.

Louisville at Virginia
The Cavaliers were favored over the Cardinals by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 0.63 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Louisville.
Result: The Cavaliers shut down the Cardinals 27-3.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
14-3 in picking the winner,
10-7 against the spread,
10-7 against the CFPT average, and
4-13 against the over/under.

Western Michigan at Georgia State
The Broncos were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 4.02 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Western Michigan.
Result: The Broncos topped the Panthers 34-15.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
15-3 in picking the winner,
11-7 against the spread,
11-7 against the CFPT average, and
4-14 against the over/under.

Western Kentucky at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Hilltoppers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 0.66 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 27-17 for Western Kentucky.
Result: Western Kentucky edged the Cardinals 28-20.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
16-3 in picking the winner,
12-7 against the spread,
12-7 against the CFPT average, and
5-14 against the over/under.

Illinois State (FCS) at Colorado State
The Rams were favored over the Redbirds by 5.5 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Colorado State.
Result: The FCS Redbirds flew past the FBS Rams 35-19.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
16-4 in picking the winner,
12-8 against the spread,
12-7 against the CFPT average, and
6-14 against the over/under.

Maine (FCS) at Central Michigan
The Chippewas were favored over the Black Bears by 6 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 20-17 for Maine.
Result: Central Michigan edged Maine 17-5 in a defensive contest.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
16-5 in picking the winner,
12-9 against the spread,
12-7 against the CFPT average, and
7-14 against the over/under.

Gardner-Webb (FCS) at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Runnin' Bulldogs by 45 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 56-7 for Appalachian State.
Result: The Mountaineers routed Gardner-Webb 72-7.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
17-5 in picking the winner,
13-9 against the spread,
12-7 against the CFPT average, and
8-14 against the over/under.

North Carolina Central (FCS) at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Eagles by 46.5 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 54-7 for Duke.
Result: Duke topped the Eagles 55-13.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
18-5 in picking the winner,
13-10 against the spread,
12-7 against the CFPT average, and
9-14 against the over/under.

Northern Illinois at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Huskies by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 8.35 points.
The over/under was 43 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State beat Northern Illinois 37-19.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
19-5 in picking the winner,
13-11 against the spread,
12-8 against the CFPT average, and
9-15 against the over/under.

Clemson at Georgia Tech
The Tigers were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 15.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 16.98 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 30-24 for Clemson
Result: Clemson routed the Yellow Jackets 49-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
20-5 in picking the winner,
13-12 against the spread,
12-9 against the CFPT average, and
10-15 against the over/under.

Charlotte at Massachusetts
The Minutemen were favored over the 49ers by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UMass by 8.96 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 38-27 for UMass.
Result: UMass scored 28 1st quarter points in beating the 49ers 49-31.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
21-5 in picking the winner,
14-12 against the spread,
13-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-15 against the over/under.

Florida International (FIU) at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Golden Panthers by 26.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 24.64 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Miami of Florida.
Result: The Hurricanes topped the Golden Panthers 31-17.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
22-5 in picking the winner,
15-12 against the spread,
14-9 against the CFPT average, and
12-15 against the over/under.

Tulane at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Green Wave by 34 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 34.65 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 57-7 for Ohio State.
Result: Ohio State led 42-6 at halftime in routing Tulane 49-6.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
23-5 in picking the winner,
16-12 against the spread,
15-9 against the CFPT average, and
13-15 against the over/under.

Virginia Tech at Old Dominion
The Hokies were favored over the Monarchs by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 30.77 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 44-10 for Virginia Tech.
Result: Whoah! Who picked this upset? Previously winless FCS Old Dominion unleashed their backup quarterback, Blake LaRussa, who promptly completed 30 of 49 passes for 494 yards and 4 TDs, adding one rushing TD, in upsetting the Hokies 49-35. Just consider that ODU lost 38-0 to Virginia Tech last season.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
23-6 in picking the winner,
16-13 against the spread,
15-10 against the CFPT average, and
14-15 against the over/under.

Kansas State at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Wildcats by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 8.80 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 41-24 for West Virginia.
Result: West Virginia dominated K-State 35-6.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
24-6 in picking the winner,
17-13 against the spread,
16-10 against the CFPT average, and
14-16 against the over/under.

Texas A&M at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Aggies by 23.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 22.40 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Alabama.
Result: The Crimson Tide overcame the Aggies 45-23.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
25-6 in picking the winner,
18-13 against the spread,
17-10 against the CFPT average, and
15-16 against the over/under.

Kansas at Baylor
The Bears were favored over the Jayhawks by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Baylor by 10.76 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Baylor.
Result: Baylor shut down the Jayhawks 26-7.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
26-6 in picking the winner,
18-14 against the spread,
17-11 against the CFPT average, and
15-17 against the over/under.

Connecticut at Syracuse
The Orange were favored over UConn by 27.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Syracuse by 24.43 points.
The over/under was 73.5 points.
Our call: 52-24 for Syracuse.
Result: The Orange routed UConn 51-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
27-6 in picking the winner,
19-14 against the spread,
18-11 against the CFPT average, and
15-18 against the over/under.

South Carolina at Vanderbilt
The Gamecocks were favored over the Commodores by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average saw the game as even. Take your pick.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for South Carolina.
Result: South Caroliina topped Vandy 37-14.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
28-6 in picking the winner,
20-14 against the spread,
19-11 against the CFPT average, and
16-18 against the over/under.

Arizona at Oregon State
The Wildcats were favored over the Beavers by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona by 4.35 points.
The over/under was 75.5 points.
Our call: 41-40 for Oregon State.
Result: Arizona beat Oregon State 35-14 as J.J. Taylor rushed for 284 yards and 2 TDs.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
28-7 in picking the winner,
20-15 against the spread,
19-12 against the CFPT average, and
16-19 against the over/under.

Miami of Ohio at Bowling Green
The Redhawks were favored over the Falcons by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami of Ohio by 4.86 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: Miami of Ohio topped Bowling Green 38-23.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-7 in picking the winner,
21-15 against the spread,
20-12 against the CFPT average, and
16-20 against the over/under.

TCU at Texas
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Longhorns by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 2.01 points.
The over/under was 50.5 points.
Our call: 30-27 for TCU.
Result: Texas surprised the Horned Frogs 31-16.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-8 in picking the winner,
21-16 against the spread,
20-13 against the CFPT average, and
16-21 against the over/under.

North Texas at Liberty
The Mean Green were favored over the Flames by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored North Texas by 11.33 points.
The over/under was 65 points.
Our call: 38-23 for North Texas.
Result: North Texas routed Liberty 47-7.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
30-8 in picking the winner,
22-16 against the spread,
21-13 against the CFPT average, and
17-21 against the over/under.

McNeese State (FCS) at BYU
The Cougars were favored over the Cowboys by 23 points.
The over/under was 39.5 points.
Our call: 34-7 for BYU.
Result: BYU shut down McNeese State 30-3.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
31-8 in picking the winner,
23-16 against the spread,
21-13 against the CFPT average, and
17-22 against the over/under.

Mississippi State at Kentucky
The Bulldogs were favored over the Wildcats by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 6.12 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 41-23 for Mississippi State.
Result: Kentucky prevailed over the Bulldogs 28-7.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
31-9 in picking the winner,
23-17 against the spread,
21-14 against the CFPT average, and
17-23 against the over/under.

North Carolina State at Marshall
The Wolfpack were favored over the Thundering Herd by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 9.31 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 34-14 for N.C. State.
Result: NC State beat the Thundering Herd 37-20.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
32-9 in picking the winner,
24-17 against the spread,
22-14 against the CFPT average, and
17-24against the over/under.

Florida at Tennessee
The Gators were favored over the Volunteers by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 5.48 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Florida.
Result: Florida prevailed over the Vols 47-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
33-9 in picking the winner,
25-17 against the spread,
23-14 against the CFPT average, and
17-25 against the over/under.

Arkansas at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 24 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 27.95 points.
The over/under was 57 points.
Our call: 34-14 for Auburn.
Result: Auburn shut down the Razorbacks 34-3.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
34-9 in picking the winner,
25-18 against the spread,
23-15 against the CFPT average, and
18-25 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Bulldogs by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 22.49 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 41-14 for LSU.
Result: LSU won 38-21 over the Bulldogs.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
35-9 in picking the winner,
25-19 against the spread,
23-16 against the CFPT average, and
19-25 against the over/under.

Army at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Black Knights by 33 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 26.08 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 61-24 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma edged the Black Knights in overtime 28-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-9 in picking the winner,
25-20 against the spread,
23-17 against the CFPT average, and
19-26 against the over/under.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the Red Raiders by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 16.55 points.
The over/under was 79.5 points.
Our call: 51-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: The Red Raiders shut out the Cowboys in the 2nd half for a 41-17 win.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-10 in picking the winner,
25-21 against the spread,
23-18 against the CFPT average, and
20-26 against the over/under.

Rice at Southern Mississippi
The Golden Eagles were favored over the Owls by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Miss by 14.42 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 40-27 for Southern Miss.
Result: Southern Miss beat the Owls 40-22.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-10 in picking the winner,
25-22 against the spread,
23-19 against the CFPT average, and
21-26 against the over/under.

Texas State at UTSA
The Roadrunners were favored over the Bobcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas San Antonio by 11.35 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 37-17 for UTSA.
Result: Texas San Antonio edged the Bobcats 25-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
38-10 in picking the winner,
25-23 against the spread,
23-20 against the CFPT average, and
21-27 against the over/under.

UNLV at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Rebels by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 11.54 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Arkansas State.
Result: The Red wolves picked up a 27-20 win.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
39-10 in picking the winner,
25-24 against the spread,
23-21 against the CFPT average, and
22-27 against the over/under.

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana Lafayette (ULL)
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Chanticleers by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Coastal Carolina by 2.26 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 38-34 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: Coastal Carolina edged the Ragin' Cajuns 30-28.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
40-10 in picking the winner,
26-24 against the spread,
23-22 against the CFPT average, and
22-28 against the over/under.

Troy at Louisiana Monroe
The Trojans were favored over the Warhawks by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 8.65 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 36-27 for Troy.
Result: Troy led 35-7 at halftime and then had to hold on to beat the Warhawks 35-27.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
41-10 in picking the winner,
27-24 against the spread,
23-23 against the CFPT average, and
22-28-1 against the over/under.

Michigan State at Indiana
The Spartans were favored over the Hoosiers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 0.73 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 30-23 for Michigan State.
Result: The Spartans topped the Hoosiers 35-21.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
42-10 in picking the winner,
28-24 against the spread,
24-23 against the CFPT average, and
23-28-1 against the over/under.

New Mexico State at UTEP
The Aggies were favored over the Miners by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Aggies by 6.69 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 34-17 for New Mexico State.
Result: The Aggies edged the Miners 27-20.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
43-10 in picking the winner,
29-24 against the spread,
25-23 against the CFPT average, and
24-28-1 against the over/under.

Stanford at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Cardinal by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 6.10 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call:  27-20 for Stanford.
Result: Stanford came back from a 24-7 deficit to remain unbeaten by winning in overtime 38-31.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
44-10 in picking the winner,
30-24 against the spread,
26-23 against the CFPT average, and
24-29-1 against the over/under.

South Alabama at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Jaguars by 26 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 25.36 points.
The over/under was 69 points.
Our call: 54-17 for Memphis.
Result: Memphis outscored the Jaguars 52-35 with 21 4th quarter points.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
45-10 in picking the winner,
30-25 against the spread,
26-24 against the CFPT average, and
25-29-1 against the over/under.

Texas Southern (FCS) at Houston
The Cougars were favored over the Tigers by 49.5 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 61-7 for Houston.
Result:Houston routed Texas Southern 70-14 with 671 yards total offense.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
46-10 in picking the winner,
31-25 against the spread,
26-24 against the CFPT average, and
26-29-1 against the over/under.

East Carolina at South Florida (USF)
The Bulls were favored over the Pirates by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Florida by 19.25 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 44-17 for South Florida.
Result: South Florida edged the Pirates 20-13.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
47-10 in picking the winner,
31-26 against the spread,
26-25 against the CFPT average, and
27-29-1 against the over/under.

Wisconsin at Iowa
The Badgers were favored over the Hawkeyes by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 1.23 points.
The over/under was 41.5 points.
Our call: 20-17 for Iowa.
Result: Wisconsin scored 14 4th quarter points to beat the Hawkeyes 28-17.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
47-11 in picking the winner,
31-27 against the spread,
26-26 against the CFPT average, and
27-30-1 against the over/under.

Air Force at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Falcons by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 7.60 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Utah State.
Result: Utah State topped the Air Force 42-32.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
48-11 in picking the winner,
31-28 against the spread,
26-27 against the CFPT average, and
27-31-1 against the over/under.

Eastern Michigan at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Eagles by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 10.39 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 38-17 for San Diego State.
Result: The Aztecs squeaked past the Eagles 23-20 in overtime.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
49-11 in picking the winner,
31-29 against the spread,
26-28 against the CFPT average, and
27-32-1 against the over/under.

Arizona State at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Sun Devils by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 15.73 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Washington.
Result: The Huskies edged the Sun Devils 27-20.
Thus far for Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
50-11 in picking the winner,
32-29 against the spread,
27-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-32-1 against the over/under.

SUNDAY, September 23, 2018

Duquesne (FCS) at Hawaii
The Warriors were favored over the Dukes by 37 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 54-13 for Hawaii.
Result: Hawai'i won 42-21.
We finished Week 4 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season as follows:
51-11 in picking the winner,
32-30 against the spread,
27-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-33-1 against the over/under.