"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Saturday, October 26, 2019

SportPundit College Football Prediction Results for Week 9 of the 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

College Football Prediction Results Week 9 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

We finished Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season as follows:
38-17 in calling the winner
18-36-1 against the spread, and
31-24 against the over/under.

Our cumulative FBS prognostication record for 2019 after Week 9 is:
424-132 in calling the winner
269-274-13 against the spread, and
277-271-7 against the over/under ("total").


If possible, we compete against the quoted opening odds ("the line", "the spread") as available online (e.g. Vegas Insider, OddsShark, Sportsline, CFPT), and which can vary, so we have no fixed system of which portals we use. We do our predictions for fun and we are not affiliated with any service or institution.

Caveat Emptor! Please do not use our predictions for wagering. We disclaim any and all liability for anyone's use of our materials and prognostications, nor do we make any warranties as to accuracy. Our prognostication hobby helps us to keep track of news and sports all over America. We are not in this for the money. May the best team win.


Our abbreviation "ypp" in our prognostications means "yards per play" and not "yards per point" as at Phil Steele --- hey, we have his preview magazine -- this is no ad for Phil Steele, just a fact.

Our predictions look to yards per play stats (cfbstats.com) on both offense and defense, schedule difficulty (Massey Ratings) with an eye thrown at the unbiased Colley Matrix, and home field advantage (calculated either via Kambour (Kambour HFA), or as a standard of 3 points, it just depends). We also cast a glance at the College Football Prediction Tracker ("CFPT"). Our own FBS rankings after Week 8 of play are the basis for our prognostications.

Thursday, October 24, 2019
We compete against the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

SMU at Houston
The Mustangs were favored over the Cougars by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for SMU.
Result: SMU remained undefeated, going to 8-0 with a 34-31 win over Houston, in spite of being outgained 510 to 385 yards, as the Cougars had 3 turnovers.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
1-0 in calling the winner
0-1 against the spread, and
1-0 against the over/under.

Friday, October 25, 2019
We compete against the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

USC at Colorado
The Trojans were favored over the Buffaloes by 11.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63 points.
Our Call: 38-20 for Southern Cal.
Result: USC came back from a 31-21 deficit in the 4th quarter to win 35-31. Colorado has never beaten Southern Cal, falling to 0-14 agains the Trojans all time.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
2-0 in calling the winner
0-2 against the spread, and
1-1 against the over/under.

Saturday, October 26, 2019
We compete against the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

Liberty at Rutgers
The Flames were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 4.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 49 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Liberty.
Result: Rutgers beat Liberty 44-34.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
2-1 in calling the winner
0-3 against the spread, and
1-2 against the over/under.

Iowa at Northwestern
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Wildcats by 9.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 38 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Iowa.
Result: Iowa shut out Northwestern 20-0.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
3-1 in calling the winner
0-4 against the sprea I, and
1-3 against the over/under.

Bowling Green at Western Michigan
The Broncos were favored over the Falcons by 26.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 41-23 for Western Michigan.
Result: Western Michigan routed Bowling Green 49-10.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-1 in calling the winner
0-5 against the spread, and
2-3 against the over/under.

Miami of Florida at Pittsburgh
The Panthers were favored over the Hurricanes by 2 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 46 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Pittsburgh.
Result: Miami beat Pittsburgh 16-12.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-2 in calling the winner
0-6 against the spread, and
3-3 against the over/under.

Illinois at Purdue
The Boilermakers were favored over the Fighting Illini by 9 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57.5 points.
Our Call: 37-20 for Purdue.
Result: Illinois upset Purdue 24-6.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-3 in calling the winner
0-7 against the spread, and
4-3 against the over/under.

Oklahoma at Kansas State
The Sooners were favored over the Wildcats by 19.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56 points.
Our Call: 48-27 for Oklahoma.
Result: Kansas State upset Oklahoma 48-41.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-4 in calling the winner
0-8 against the spread, and
5-3 against the over/under.

Wisconsin at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Badgers by 13.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for Ohio State.
Result: Ohio State routed Wisconsin 38-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
5-4 in calling the winner
1-8 against the spread, and
5-4 against the over/under.

San Jose State at Army
The Black Knights were favored over the Spartans by 10 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 51 points.
Our Call: 27-23 for San Jose State.
Result: San Jose State edged Army 34-29.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
6-4 in calling the winner
2-8 against the spread, and
5-5 against the over/under.

Appalachian State at South Alabama
The Mountaineers were favored over the Jaguars by 24.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: Appalachian State shut down South Alabama 30-3.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
7-4 in calling the winner
2-9 against the spread, and
5-6 against the over/under.

Mississippi State at Texas A&M
The Aggies were favored over the Bulldogs by 9 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 51 points.
Our Call: 37-23 for Texas A&M.
Result: Texas A&M topped Mississippi State 49-30.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
8-4 in calling the winner
3-9 against the spread, and
6-6 against the over/under.

Southern Mississippi at Rice
The Golden Eagles were favored over the Owls by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 35-24 for Southern Miss.
Result: Southern Miss beat Rice 20-6.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
9-4 in calling the winner
3-10 against the spread, and
6-7 against the over/under.

Nevada at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Wolf Pack by 11.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Wyoming.
Result: Wyoming shut down Nevada 31-3.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
10-4 in calling the winner
4-10 against the spread, and
6-8 against the over/under.

Ohio at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Bobcats by 2 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 60 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Ball State.
Result: Ohio topped Ball State 34-21.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
10-5 in calling the winner
4-11 against the spread, and
6-9 against the over/under.

Western Kentucky at Marshall
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Hilltoppers by 4 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 46.5 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Marshall.
Result: Marshall edged Western Kentucky 26-23.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
11-5 in calling the winner
4-12 against the spread, and
6-10 against the over/under.

New Mexico State at Georgia Southern
The Eagles were favored over the Aggies by 16 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Georgia Southern.
Result: Georgia Southern beat New Mexico State 41-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-5 in calling the winner
4-13 against the spread, and
7-10 against the over/under.

Oklahoma State at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Cowboys by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 38-28 for Iowa State.
Result: Oklahoma State topped Iowa State 34-27.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-6 in calling the winner
4-14 against the spread, and
7-11 against the over/under.

North Texas at Charlotte
The Mean Green were favored over the 49ers by 5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 62 points.
Our Call: 38-30 for North Texas.
Result: Charlotte edged North Texas 39-38.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-7 in calling the winner
4-15 against the spread, and
8-11 against the over/under.

Miami of Ohio at Kent State
The Golden Flashes were favored over the RedHawks by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57.5 points.
Our Call: 28-24 for Kent State.
Result: Miami prevailed over Kent State 23-16.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-8 in calling the winner
4-16 against the spread, and
9-11 against the over/under.

Maryland at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Terrapins by 17 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 38-20 for Minnesota.
Result: Minnesota routed Maryland 52-10.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
13-8 in calling the winner
5-16 against the spread, and
10-11 against the over/under.

Penn State at Michigan State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Spartans by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 43 points.
Our Call: 27-21 for Penn State.
Result: Penn State beat Michigan State 28-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
14-8 in calling the winner
5-17 against the spread, and
10-12 against the over/under.

Connecticut at Massachusetts
The Huskies were favored over the Minutemen by 9.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 62 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for UConn.
Result: UConn prevailed over UMass 56-35.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
15-8 in calling the winner
5-18 against the spread, and
11-12 against the over/under.

Virginia at Louisville
The Cavaliers were favored over the Cardinals by 2.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Virginia.
Result: Louisville beat Virginia 28-21.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
15-9 in calling the winner
5-19 against the spread, and
11-13 against the over/under.

Indiana at Nebraska
The Hoosiers were favored over the Cornhuskers by 2 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 54 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Nebraska. Our rankings put Indiana and Nebraska at the FBS 56th and 57th positions. As an NU alum, we go with the home field advantage. This is a "must win" game for the Huskers.
Result: Indiana beat Nebraska 38-31, in spite of the fact that the Huskers outgained the Hoosiers 514 to 455 yards. Nebraska completed 20 of 23 passes for 294 yards, an average of 12.8 yards per pass, but persisted on running 50 rushing plays for only 220 yards and an average gain of 4.4 yards rushing.  As a Nebraska alumnus, we ask why a relative balance in passing and running plays was not achieved, especially since the passing was much more effective.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
15-10 in calling the winner
5-20 against the spread, and
11-14 against the over/under.

Tulane at Navy
The Midshipmen were favored over the Green Wave by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Navy. Our rankings place Navy at 38th and Tulane at 42nd, favoring Navy by 1 point, plus the home field advantage, calculated by Kambour as 3.4491 points.
Result: Navy edged Tulane 41-38.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
16-10 in calling the winner
5-20-1 against the spread, and
12-14 against the over/under.

Texas at TCU
The Longhorns were favored over the Horned Frogs by 1.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 61 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Texas.
Result: TCU beat Texas 37-27.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
16-11 in calling the winner
5-21-1 against the spread, and
13-14 against the over/under.

Florida International FIU at Middle Tennesse State MTSU
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Blue Raiders by 2.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 38-27 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: Middle Tennessee routed FIU 50-17.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
17-11 in calling the winner
6-21-1 against the spread, and
14-14 against the over/under.

Auburn at LSU
The LSU Tigers were favored over the Auburn Tigers by 12.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 41-24 for LSU.
Result: LSU prevailed over Auburn 23-20.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
18-11 in calling the winner
6-22-1 against the spread, and
14-15 against the over/under.

Akron at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Zips by 25.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 41-10 for Northern Illinois.
Result: Northern Illinois shut out Akron 49-0.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-11 in calling the winner
7-22-1 against the spread, and
15-15 against the over/under.

Central Michigan at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Chippewas by 4 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Central Michigan.
Result: Buffalo topped Central Michigan 43-20.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-12 in calling the winner
7-23-1 against the spread, and
16-15 against the over/under.

Arizona at Stanford
The Wildcats were favored over the Cardinal by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 55 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Stanford.
Result: Stanford beat Arizona 41-31.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
20-12 in calling the winner
8-23-1 against the spread, and
17-15 against the over/under.

Syracuse at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Orange by 10.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 61 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State beat Syracuse 35-17.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
21-12 in calling the winner
9-23-1 against the spread, and
18-15 against the over/under.

Eastern Michigan at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Eagles by 6.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo won in overtime 37-34.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
22-12 in calling the winner
10-23-1 against the spread, and
19-15 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic FAU at Old Dominion
The Owls were favored over the Monarchs by 13.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 34-14 for Florida Atlantic.
Result: Florida Atlantic routed Old Dominion 41-3.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
23-12 in calling the winner
11-23-1 against the spread, and
20-15 against the over/under.

South Florida at East Carolina
The Bulls were favored over the Pirates by 1 point.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for South Florida.
Result: South Florida topped East Carolina 45-20.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
24-12 in calling the winner
12-23-1 against the spread, and
21-15 against the over/under.

Duke at North Carollina
The Tar Heels were favored over the Blue Devils by 4 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 30-24 for North Carolina.
Result: North Carolina beat Duke 20-17.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
25-12 in calling the winner
12-24-1 against the spread, and
21-16 against the over/under.

Hawaii at New Mexico
The Warriors were favored over the Lobos by 11 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 70.5 points.
Our Call: 47-27 for Hawai'i.
Result: Hawaii prevailed over New Mexico 45-31.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
26-12 in calling the winner
13-24-1 against the spread, and
22-16 against the over/under.

South Carolina at Tennessee
The Gamecocks were favored over the Volunteers by 4.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for South Carolina.
Result: Tennessee stunned south Carolina 41-21.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
26-13 in calling the winner
13-25-1 against the spread, and
23-16 against the over/under.

Memphis at Tulsa
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 8.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Memphis.
Result: Memphis squeezed by Tulsa 42-41.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
27-13 in calling the winner
13-26-1 against the spread, and
23-17 against the over/under.

Arkansas at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Razorbacks by 35 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 60 points.
Our Call: 41-13 for Alabama. 'Bama starting QB Tua Tagovailoa has an ankle sprain suffered in the Tennessee game and will not play in the game against the Razorbacks. The backup quarterback for the Crimson Tide is Mac Jones.
Result: Alabama breezed past Arkansas 48-7 behind back-up QB Mac Jones.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
28-13 in calling the winner
13-27-1 against the spread, and
24-17 against the over/under.

Troy at Georgia State
The Trojans were favored over the Panthers by 1 point.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 68.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Georgia State.
Result: Georgia State beat Troy 52-31.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
29-13 in calling the winner
14-27-1 against the spread, and
24-18 against the over/under.

Texas Tech at Kansas
The Red Raiders were favored over the Jayhawks by 8 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 61 points.
Our Call: 34-33 for Kansas.
Result: Kansas beat Texas Tech 37-34.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
30-13 in calling the winner
15-27-1 against the spread, and
25-18 against the over/under.

UCF at Temple
The Knights were favored over the Owls by 10.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 41-20 for UCF.
Result: UCF routed Temple 63-21.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
31-13 in calling the winner
16-27-1 against the spread, and
25-19 against the over/under.

Texas State at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Bobcats by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 60 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for Arkansas State.
Result: Arkansas State prevailed over Texas State 38-14.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-13 calling the winner
17-27-1 against the spread, and
26-19 against the over/under.

Boston College at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Eagles by 36.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63 points.
Our Call: 45-14 for Clemson.
Result: Clemson routed Boston College 59-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
33-13 in calling the winner
17-28-1 against the spread, and
26-20 against the over/under.

Arizona State at UCLA
The Sun Devils were favored over the Bruins by 2.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 30-24 for Arizona State.
Result: UCLA beat Arizona State 42-32.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
33-14 in calling the winner
17-29-1 against the spread, and
26-21 against the over/under.

Colorado State at Fresno State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rams by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57 points.
Our Call: 41-24 for Fresno State.
Result: Colorado State topped Fresno State 41-31.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
33-15 in calling the winner
17-30-1 against the spread, and
27-21 against the over/under.

Notre Dame at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Fighting Irish by 4 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Michigan.
Result: Michigan routed Notre Dame 45-14.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
34-15 in calling the winner
17-31-1 against the spread, and
27-22 against the over/under.

Missouri at Kentucky
The Tigers were favored over the Wildcats by 11 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 48 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for Missouri.
Result: Kentucky shut down Missouri 29-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
34-16 in calling the winner
17-32-1 against the spread, and
28-22 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at UTEP
The Bulldogs were favored over the Miners by 19.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: Louisiana Tech topped UTEP 42-21.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
35-16 in calling the winner
18-32-1 against the spread, and
29-22 against the over/under.

California at Utah
The Utes were favored over the Golden Bears by 18 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 40 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Utah.
Result: Utah shut out Cal 35-0.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
36-16 in calling the winner
18-33-1 against the spread, and
29-23 against the over/under.

Utah State at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Aggies by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Utah State.
Result: Air Force beat Utah State 31-7.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
36-17 in calling the winner
18-34-1 against the spread, and
30-23 against the over/under.

Washington State at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Cougars by 15.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 65 points.
Our Call: 41-23 for Oregon.
Result: Oregon edged Washington State 37-35.
For Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
37-17 in calling the winner
18-35-1 against the spread, and
30-24 against the over/under.

San Diego State at UNLV
The Aztecs were favored over the Rebels by 10.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 45 points.
Our Call: 30-13 for San Diego State.
Result: San Diego State topped UNLV 20-17.
We thus finished Week 9 of the 2019 FBS college football season as follows:
38-17 in calling the winner
18-36-1 against the spread, and
31-24 against the over/under.