"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Monday, October 07, 2019

SportPundit College Football Prediction Results for Week 6 of the 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

College Football Prediction Results for Week 6 of the 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

We finished Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season as follows:
33-15 in calling the winner
22-24-2 against the spread, and
23-25 against the over/under.

Our cumulative FBS prognostication record for 2019 after Week 6 is:
310-76 in calling the winner
187-188-11 against the spread
186-194-6 against the over/under ("total").


If possible, we compete against the quoted opening odds ("the line", "the spread") as available online (e.g. Vegas Insider, OddsShark, Sportsline, CFPT), and which can vary, so we have no fixed system of which portals we use. We do our predictions for fun and we are not affiliated with any service or institution.

Caveat Emptor! Please do not use our predictions for wagering. We disclaim any and all liability for anyone's use of our materials and prognostications, nor do we make any warranties as to accuracy. Our prognostication hobby helps us to keep track of news and sports all over America. We are not in this for the money. May the best team win.

Our abbreviation "ypp" in our prognostications means "yards per play" and not "yards per point" as at Phil Steele --- hey, we have his preview magazine -- this is no ad for Phil Steele, just a fact.

Our predictions look to yards per play stats (cfbstats.com) on both offense and defense, schedule difficulty (Massey Ratings) with an eye thrown at the unbiased Colley Matrix, and home field advantage (calculated either via Kambour (Kambour HFA), or as a standard of 3 points, it just depends). We also cast a glance at the College Football Prediction Tracker ("CFPT"). Of course, our own new FBS rankings as of "after Week 5" are a major factor in our prognostications for Week 6.
 

Thursday, September 26, 2019
We compete against the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

Georgia Southern at South Alabama
The Eagles were favored over the Jaguars by 13.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Georgia Southern.
Result: Georgia Southern topped South Alabama 20-17 in two overtimes.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
1-0 in calling the winner
0-1 against the spread, and
0-1 against the over/under.

Temple at East Carolina
The Owls were favored over the Pirates by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Temple.
Result: Temple won 27-17.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
2-0 in calling the winner
0-2 against the spread, and
1-1 against the over/under.

Friday, September 27, 2019
We quote the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

UCF at Cincinnati
The Knights were favored over the Bearcats by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 60 points.
Our Call: 41-31 for UCF.
Result: UCF fell to Cincy 27-24, ending the Knights conference win streak at 19. UCF outgained Cincinnati 423 to 341 yards but had 4 turnovers.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
2-1 in calling the winner
0-3 against the spread, and
1-2 against the over/under.

New Mexico at San Jose State
The Spartans were favored over the Lobos by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 69 points.
Our Call: 37-27 for San Jose State.
Result: San Jose State topped New Mexico 32-21.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
3-1 in calling the winner
1-3 against the spread, and
2-2 against the over/under.

Saturday, September 28, 2019
We quote the opening line, if possible, not the updated line....

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech
The Cowboys were favored over the Red Raiders by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 68 points.
Our Call: 40-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: Texas Tech upset the Cowboys 45-35 as first-time starting QB Jett Duffey threw for four TDs and ran for a fifth.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
3-2 in calling the winner
1-4 against the spread, and
2-3 against the over/under.

Maryland at Rutgers
The Terrapins were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 14.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Maryland. 

Result: Maryland routed Rutgers 48-7.
For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-2 in calling the winner
1-5 against the spread, and
3-3 against the over/under.

Kent State at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Golden Flashes by 37 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 58 points.
Our Call: 44-0 for Wisconsin.
Result: The Badgers shut out Kent State 48-0, their 3rd shutout of the year, as Jonathan Taylor had 5 TDs, 4 rushing.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
5-2 in calling the winner
2-5 against the spread, and
4-3 against the over/under.

Iowa at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Hawkeyes by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47 points.
Our Call: 31-21 for Michigan.
Result: Michigan edged Iowa 10-3, as the Hawkeyes had 4 turnovers and were sacked 8 times by a Wolverine defense that allowed 1 yard rushing on 30 attempts.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
6-2 in calling the winner
2-5-1 against the spread, and
4-4 against the over/under.

Purdue at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Boilermakers by 16.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 58.5 points.
Our Call: 47-17 for Penn State.
Result: Penn State beat Purdue 35-7.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
7-2 in calling the winner
3-5-1 against the spread, and
4-5 against the over/under.

Oklahoma at Kansas
The Sooners were favored over the Jayhawks by 35 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63 points.
Our Call: 53-17 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma's Jalen Hurts led the Sooners to 45-20 win, throwing for 228 yards and 2 TDs and running for 56 yards and another 2 TDs.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
8-2 in calling the winner
3-6-1 against the spread, and
5-5 against the over/under.

Utah State at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Aggies by 25 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 67.5 points.
Our Call: 49-23 for LSU. 

Result: LSU beat Utah State 42-6 as the Tiger defense held the Aggies to two field goals and LSU QB Joe Burrow completed 27 of 38 passes for 344 yards and 5 TDs and ran for another TD.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
9-2 in calling the winner
4-6-1 against the spread, and
5-6 against the over/under.

Tulane at Army
The Green Wave were favored over the Black Knights by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 28-24 for Tulane. Under head coach Willie Fritz (since 2016), Tulane football  has seen a resurgence, losing this season thus far only to Auburn, 24-6 and beating Houston 38-31 in its last outing. Army has lost only at Michigan 24-21 (in two overtimes).

Result: Tulane outlasted Army 42-33.
For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
10-2 in calling the winner
5-6-1 against the spread, and
6-6 against the over/under.

TCU at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Horned Frogs by 2.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 48 points.
Our Call: 23-20 for Iowa State.
Result: Iowa State rolled past TCU 49-24.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
11-2 in calling the winner
6-6-1 against the spread, and
6-7 against the over/under.

South Florida at Connecticut
The Bulls were favored over the Bearcats by 15.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 30-20 for South Florida.
Result: South Florida topped UConn 48-22.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-2 in calling the winner
6-7-1 against the spread, and
6-8 against the over/under.

Boston College at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Eagles by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 59 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Louisville.
Result: Louisville edged Boston College 41-39.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
13-2 in calling the winner
6-8-1 against the spread, and
7-8 against the over/under.

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Chippewas by 5.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: Central Michigan surprised Eastern Michigan 42-16.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
13-3 in calling the winner
6-9-1 against the spread, and
8-8 against the over/under.

Marshall at Middle Tennessee
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Blue Raiders by 8.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: Middle Tennessee prevailed over Marshall 24-13.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
14-3 in calling the winner
7-9-1 against the spread, and
8-9 against the over/under.

Illinois at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Fighting Illini by 14.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Minnesota.
Result: Minnesota beat the Illini 40-17, rushing for 332 yards.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
15-3 in calling the winner
8-9-1 against the spread, and
8-10 against the over/under.

Bowling Green at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Falcons by 44.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 61.5 points.
Our Call: 49-7 for Notre Dame.
Result: Notre Dame shut out the Falcons 52-0 as Ian Bock in just over 2 quarters completed 16 of 20 passes for 261 yards and 5 TDs.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
16-3 in calling the winner
8-10-1 against the spread, and
9-10 against the over/under.

Ohio at Buffalo
The Bobcats were favored over the Bulls by 4 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 53 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Buffalo.
Result: Ohio squeaked past Buffalo in overtime 21-20.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
16-4 in calling the winner
9-10-1 against the spread, and
9-11 against the over/under.

Texas at West Virginia
The Longhorns were favored over the Mountaineers by 11 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 57 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Texas.
Result: Texas beat the Mountaineers 42-31.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
17-4 in calling the winner
9-10-2 against the spread, and
10-11 against the over/under.

Western Michigan at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Broncos by 4.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 69.5 points.
Our Call: 37-30 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo topped Western Michigan 31-24.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
18-4 in calling the winner
10-10-2 against the spread, and
11-11 against the over/under.

Virginia Tech at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Hokies by 8.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 49 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Miami of Florida.
Result: Virginia Tech blew a 28-point lead but rallied for a 42-35 win.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
18-5 in calling the winner
10-11-2 against the spread, and
12-11 against the over/under.

Baylor at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Bears by 1.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 54 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Baylor.
Result: Baylor topped K-State 31-12.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-5 in calling the winner
11-11-2 against the spread, and
12-12 against the over/under.

Ball State at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Cardinals by 7.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 33-24 for Northern Illinois.
Result: Ball State upended Northern Illinois 27-20.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-6 in calling the winner
11-12-2 against the spread, and
12-13 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Georgia State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Panthers by 5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 67 points.
Our Call: 45-24 for Arkansas State.
Result: Georgia State put up 722 yards total offense in beating the Red Wolves 52-38.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-7 in calling the winner
11-13-2 against the spread, and
13-13 against the over/under.

Auburn at Florida
The Tigers were favored over the Gators by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 48 points.
Our Call: 27-23 for Auburn.
Result: Florida took down Auburn 24-13.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-8 in calling the winner
11-14-2 against the spread, and
13-14 against the over/under.

Air Force at Navy
The Falcons were favored over the Midshipmen by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 44 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Air Force.
Result: Navy beat Air Force 34-25.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-9 in calling the winner
11-15-2 against the spread, and
14-14 against the over/under.

Memphis at Louisiana Monroe
The Tigers were favored over the Warhawks by 14.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 40-23 for Memphis.
Result: Memphis beat UL Monroe 52-33.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
20-9 in calling the winner
12-15-2 against the spread, and
15-14 against the over/under.

Northwestern at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers were favored over the Wildcats by 7.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 31-23 for Nebraska. As an NU alum, we hope the Huskers start playing up to their potential. The Big Red has 14 turnovers already this season. The ball is the most important thing on the field.
You can't win if you give the ball away. It is the FOOTBALL that must cross the line in the end zone, not the player. That tells us where the FOCUS of the game must be ... on the ball.
Result: Nebraska won 13-10 on a last-second field goal by Lane McCallum.
For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
21-9 in calling the winner
12-16-2 against the spread, and
16-14 against the over/under.

Troy at Missouri
The Tigers were favored over the Trojans by 26 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for Missouri.
Result: Missouri led 42-0 at halftime in a 42-10 win.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
22-9 in calling the winner
13-16-2 against the spread, and
17-14 against the over/under.

North Carolina at Georgia Tech
The Tar Heels were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 7.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for North Carolina.
Result: North Caroline topped Georgia Tech 38-22.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
23-9 in calling the winner
14-16-2 against the spread, and
18-14 against the over/under.

Arizona at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Wildcats by 3 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 35-31 for Colorado.
Result: Arizona edged Colorado 35-30 in a game with nine lead changes, as the Wildcats' Khalil Tate threw for 404 yards and 3 TDs.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
23-10 in calling the winner
14-17-2 against the spread, and
19-14 against the over/under.

Western Kentucky at Old Dominion
The Hilltoppers and Monarchs were seen as even.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 45 points.
Our Call: 24-20 for Western Kentucky.
Result: Western Kentucky beat Old Dominion 20-3.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
24-10 in calling the winner
15-17-2 against the spread, and
20-14 against the over/under.

Massachusetts at Florida International FIU
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Minutemen by 25 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 65 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Florida International.
Result: FIU shut out UMass 44-0.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
25-10 in calling the winner
15-18-2 against the spread, and
20-15 against the over/under.

Rice at UAB
The Blazers were favored over the Owls by 9.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 44.5 points.
Our Call: 24-23 for Rice.
Result: UAB beat Rice 35-20.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
25-11 in calling the winner
15-19-2 against the spread, and
21-15 against the over/under.

Georgia at Tennessee
The Dawgs were favored over the Vols by 22 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 52-7 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia prevailed over Tennessee 43-14.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
26-11 in calling the winner
16-19-2 against the spread, and
22-15 against the over/under.

Michigan State at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Spartans by 17 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 35-17 for Ohio State.
Result: Ohio State beat Michigan State 34-10.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
27-11 in calling the winner
17-19-2 against the spread, and
22-16 against the over/under.

Tulsa at SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 14 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 62 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for SMU.
Result: SMU remained unbeaten by winning in 3 overtimes 43-37.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
28-11 in calling the winner
18-19-2 against the spread, and
22-17 against the over/under.

Vanderbilt at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Commodores by 7 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 36-24 for Ole Miss.
Result: Mississippi topped Vanderbilt 31-6.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
29-11 in calling the winner
19-19-2 against the spread, and
22-18 against the over/under.

California at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Bears by 14 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Oregon.
Result: Oregon edged California 17-7.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
30-11 in calling the winner
19-20-2 against the spread, and
22-19 against the over/under.

Liberty at New Mexico State
The Flames were favored over the Aggies by 4.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 63 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Liberty.
Result: Liberty held off New Mexico State 20-13.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
31-11 in calling the winner
19-21-2 against the spread, and
22-20 against the over/under.

UTSA Texas San Antonio at UTEP Texas El Paso
The Roadrunners were favored over the Miners by 2 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 47 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for UTEP.
Result: UTSA beat UTEP 26-16.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
31-12 in calling the winner
19-22-2 against the spread, and
22-21 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Panthers by 5.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 48 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Pittsburgh.
Result: Pittsburgh blew a 23-point lead but pulled off the win 33-30.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-12 in calling the winner
20-22-2 against the spread, and
23-21 against the over/under.

Oregon State at UCLA University of California Los Angeles
The Bruins were favored over the Beavers by 6.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 68 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for UCLA.
Result: Oregon State upset UCLA 48-31.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-13 in calling the winner
21-22-2 against the spread, and
23-22 against the over/under.

San Diego State at Colorado State
The Aztecs were favored over the Rams by 7.5 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Colorado State.
Result: San Diego State topped Colorado State 24-10.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-14 in calling the winner
21-23-2 against the spread, and
23-23 against the over/under.

Washington at Stanford
The Huskies were favored over the Cardinal by 13 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Washington. As a Stanford Law School alum we dislike calling this game against the Cardinal, but Stanford this season has weak stats.
Result: Stanford upset Washington 23-13.

For Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-15 in calling the winner
21-24-2 against the spread, and
23-24 against the over/under.

Boise State at UNLV University of Nevada Las Vegas
The Broncos were favored over the Rebels by 20 points.
The over/under (predicted total score) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Boise State.
Result: Boise State beat UNLV 38-13.

We finished Week 6 of the 2019 FBS college football season as follows:
33-15 in calling the winner
22-24-2 against the spread, and
23-25 against the over/under.