"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Sunday, September 15, 2019

SportPundit College Football Prediction Results for Week 3 of the 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

College Football Prediction Results for Week 3 of the 2019 NCAA Division I FBS Season

After a poor prognostication start this Week 3, we came back and finished
55-13 in calling the winner
33-33-2 against the spread, and
31-37 against the over/under.

Our cumulative FBS prognostication record for 2019 after Week 3 is now:
188-37 in calling the winner
107-114-4 against the spread
109-112-4 against the over/under ("total"). 


No ranked teams played each other in Week 3, but there were numerous remarkable events, as reported at ESPN by David M. Hale in Bad penalties, worse coaching decisions and more in weird Week 3.

Caveat Emptor! Please do not use our predictions for wagering. We disclaim any and all liability for anyone's use of our materials and prognostications, nor do we make any warranties as to accuracy. Our prognostication hobby helps us to keep track of news and sports all over America. We are not in this for the money. May the best team win.

If possible, we compete against the quoted opening odds ("the line", "the spread") as available online (e.g. Vegas Insider, OddsShark, Sportsline). We do our predictions for fun and are not affiliated with any service or institution. 

The football schedule is drawn using various online portals, including fbschedules.com. Starting this week, our prognostications are once again based primarily on this season's yards per play stats (ypp) via cfbstats.com, schedule difficulty according to Massey Ratings, won-loss records and home field advantage, where we assign a standard 3 points, unless we use Kambour's Ratings. It just depends.

According to cfbstats.com, the mean average FBS ypp on offense thus far this season has been ca. 5.8 yards per play. The mean average FBS ypp on defense thus far this season has been ca. 5.2 yards per play. The difference is accounted for by so many mostly weaker FCS opponents early in the season, which skews the stats. The total mean average ypp is 5.8 plus 5.2 or 11.0 ypp, our standard value --- which reflects an average final score of ca. 38-17, viz. 55 points, which parameters we use to calculate the game scores and over/unders (totals). For example, if the combined ypp stats of matched teams is higher than the total mean average, we assume a higher score calibrated to the difference. If the combined ypp stats of matched teams is lower than the total mean average, we assume a lower score calibrated to the difference.

Friday, September 13, 2019
Recall, if available, we quote the opening line, not the updated line.... unless the opening line is simply too far off or clearly in error, which rarely happens.
 
North Carolina at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Tar Heels by 2.5 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for North Carolina. The Tar Heels thus far have played a schedule difficulty (strength of schedule) ranked 22nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Demon Deacons' schedule difficulty is thus far ranked 58th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.36 ypp and 5.53 ypp for North Carolina and 6.54 and 6.07 for Wake Forest.
Result: Wake Forest topped North Carolina 24-18, outgaining the Tar Heels 436 to 333 yards. The Demon Deacons opened up a 21-0 lead in the 3rd quarter, but the North Carolina comeback surge was not enough to win.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
0-1 in calling the winner
0-1 against the spread, and
0-1 against the over/under.

Kansas at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Jayhawks by 18.5 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Boston College. The Jayhawks schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 109th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Eagles' schedule difficulty is thus far 86th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.24 ypp and 4.90 ypp for Kansas and 6.74 and 5.07 for Boston College.
Result: Woah! New head football coach Les Miles put his name on the Jayhawk football program quickly, as Kansas for the first time in nearly 11 years won a road game against a power 5 opponent, downing Boston College 48-24.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
0-2 in calling the winner
0-2 against the spread, and
1-1 against the over/under.

Washington State vs. Houston (NRG Stadium in Houston)
The Wash. St. Cougars were favored over the Houston Cougars by 10 points.
The over/under was 74 points.
Our Call: 52-31 for Washington State. The Washington State schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 123rd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Houston's schedule difficulty is thus far 52nd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 9.62 ypp and 4.91 ypp for Washington State and 5.71 and 7.74 for Houston.
Result:Washington State trailed 14-7 at halftime, but rallied for a 31-24 win as Anthony Gordon completed 36 of 48 passes for 440 yards, 3 TDs, and one pick. It was Gordon's 3rd straight game with over 400 yards passing,
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
1-2 in calling the winner
0-3 against the spread, and
1-2 against the over/under.

Saturday, September 14, 2019
Recall, if available, we quote the opening line, not the updated line....
 
North Carolina State at West Virginia
The Wolfpack were favored over the Mountaineers by 7 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our Call: 24-23 for West Virginia. The schedule difficulty for NC State is thus far ranked 119th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while West Virginia has faced a strength of schedule thus far ranked 28th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.70 ypp and 3.13 ypp for the Wolfpack and 3.72 and 4.86 for the Mountaineers.
Result: West Virginia beat NC State 44-27 as Austin Kendall completed 27 of 40 passes for 272 yards and 3 TDs and 1 interception.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
2-2 in calling the winner
1-3 against the spread, and
1-3 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Panthers by 17.5 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 31-21 for the Nittany Lions. Penn State has thus far played a schedule difficulty ranked 93rd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Pittsburgh has faced teams whose combined schedule difficulty is thus far 26th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 8.05 ypp and 3.99 ypp for the Nittany Lions and 5.13 and 4.24 for the Panthers.
Result: Penn State edged Pitt 17-10 in a defensive struggle.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
3-2 in calling the winner
2-3 against the spread, and
1-4 against the over/under.

Ohio State at Indiana
The Buckeyes were favored over the Hoosiers by 14 points.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
Our Call: 38-20 for Ohio State. Ohio State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 49th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Indiana's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 120th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.65 ypp and 3.85 ypp for the Buckeyes and 6.91 and 3.75 for the Hoosiers.
Result: The Buckeyes rolled past the Hoosiers 51-10, rushing for 306 yards, as J.K. Dobbins rushed for 193 yards and Master Teague III rushed for 106 yards. Justin Fields was 14 of 24 for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
4-2 in calling the winner
3-3 against the spread, and
1-5 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Red Wolves by 31.5 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 48-14 for Georgia. Arkansas State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 71st FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Georgia's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 73rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.92 ypp and 4.99 ypp for the Red Wolves and 8.13 and 4.17 for the Bulldogs.
Result: Georgia shut out Arkansas State 55-0, as the Bulldogs outgained the Red Wolves 656 to 220 yards. Jake From was 17 of 22 passing for 279 yards and 3 TDs.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
5-2 in calling the winner
4-3 against the spread, and
1-6 against the over/under.

Chattanooga (FCS) at Tennessee
The Volunteers were favored over the Mocs by 24 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Tennessee.
Result: Tennessee shut out Chattanooga 45-0.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
6-2 in calling the winner
4-3-1 against the spread, and
1-7 against the over/under.

Eastern Michigan at Illinois
The Fighting Illini were favored over the Eagles by 10.5 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for the Eagles. Eastern Michigan's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 33rd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Illinois's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 115th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.13 ypp and 5.67 ypp for the Eagles and 5.38 and 3.79 for the Fighting Illini.
Result: Eastern Michigan edged Illinois 34-31 on a 24-yard field goal by Chad Ryland as time expired, offsetting an Illini 4th quarter comeback from a 31-17 deficit.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
7-2 in calling the winner
5-3-1 against the spread, and
1-8 against the over/under.

Furman (FCS) at Virginia Tech
The Hokies were favored over the Paladins by 22.5 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 38-14 for Virginia Tech.
Result: Virginia Tech edged Furman 24-17.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
8-2 in calling the winner
5-4-1 against the spread, and
2-8 against the over/under.

Kansas State at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Wildcats by 6 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Mississippi State. K-State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 112th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Mississippi State's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 73rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.69 ypp and 5.91 ypp for the Bulldogs and 6.97 and 4.89 for the Wildcats.
Result: K-State upset Mississippi State 31-24.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
8-3 in calling the winner
6-4-1 against the spread, and
3-8 against the over/under.

Maryland at Temple
The Terrapins were favored over the Owls by 4 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Maryland. Maryland's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 75th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Temple's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 130th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 8.48 ypp and 3.10 ypp for the Owls and 7.91 and 3.69 for the Terps.
Result: Temple beat Maryland 20-17 as Anthony Russo threw for 277 yards and 3 touchdowns.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
8-4 in calling the winner
6-5-1 against the spread, and
3-9 against the over/under.

Miami of Ohio at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the RedHawks by 16.5 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 38-14 for Cincinnati. Miami of Ohio's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 81st in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Cincy's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 11th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.40 ypp and 5.30 ypp for the RedHawks and 5.23 and 5.38 for the Terps.
Result: Cincinnati beat Miami of Ohio 35-13 as Michael Warren II ran for 113 yards and 3 TDs.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
9-4 in calling the winner
7-5-1 against the spread, and
3-10 against the over/under.

The Citadel (FCS) at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Bulldogs by 30.5 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 45-14 for Georgia Tech.
Result:The Citadel pulled a major upset in overtime as the FCS Bulldogs prevailed over the Yellow Jackets 27-24 on 320 yards rushing and a game-winning 37-yard field goal by Jacob Godek.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
9-5 in calling the winner
7-6-1 against the spread, and
3-11 against the over/under.

Air Force at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Falcons by 1.5 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 31-28 for Colorado. Colorado's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 54th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Air Force's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 113th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 7.03 ypp and 3.22 ypp for the Falcons and 6.60 and 6.49 for the Buffaloes.
Result: Air Force upset Colorado in overtime 30-23 as Kadin Remsberg scored on a 25-yard run.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
9-6 in calling the winner
7-7-1 against the spread, and
4-11 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic FAU at Ball State
The Owls were favored over the Cardinals by 2.5 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for FAU. Florida Atlantic's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 2nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Ball State's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 111th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 3.39 ypp and 7.40 ypp for the Owls and 6.29 and 5.48 for the Cardinals.
Result: FAU beat Ball State 41-31 as Chris Robison completed 33 of 41 passes for 366 yards and 4 touchdowns, three of those to John Mitchell.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
10-6 in calling the winner
8-7-1 against the spread, and
4-12 against the over/under.

Norfolk State (FCS) at Coastal Carolina
The Chanticleers were favored over the Spartans by 27 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 38-7 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: Coastal Carolina topped Norfolk State 46-7.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
11-6 in calling the winner
9-7-1 against the spread, and
4-13 against the over/under.

New Mexico at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Lobos by 38.5 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our Call: 45-14 for Notre Dame. New Mexico's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 125th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Notre Dame's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 55th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.74 ypp and 5.87 ypp for the Lobos and 6.51 and 5.11 for the Fighting Irish.
Result: Notre Dame routed New Mexico 66-14 as Ian Book threw for 360 yards and 5 touchdowns.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
12-6 in calling the winner
9-8-1 against the spread, and
4-14 against the over/under.

Akron at Central Michigan
The Chippewas were favored over the Zips by 4.5 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Central Michigan. Akron's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 57th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Central Michigan's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 88th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.21 ypp and 6.22 ypp for the Zips and 4.55 and 6.34 for the Chippewas.
Result: Central Michigan topped Akron 45-24.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
13-6 in calling the winner
9-9-1 against the spread, and
4-15 against the over/under.

Alabama at South Carolina
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Gamecocks by 24 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for 'Bama. Alabama's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 42nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while South Carolina's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 98th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 7.80 ypp and 3.79 ypp for the Crimson Tide and 8.04 and 5.14 for the Gamecocks.
Result: Alabama beat South Carolina 47-23.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
14-6 in calling the winner
9-9-2 against the spread, and
4-16 against the over/under.

Army at Texas San Antonio UTSA
The Black Knights were favored over the Roadrunners by 13.5 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our Call: 38-14 for Army. Army's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 36th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Texas San Antonio's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 96th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.05 ypp and 4.86 ypp for the Black Knights and 5.04 and 6.57 for the Roadrunners.
Result: Army prevailed over UTSA 31-13.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
15-6 in calling the winner
10-9-2 against the spread, and
4-17 against the over/under.

East Carolina at Navy
The Midshipmen were favored over the Pirates by 9 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our Call: 31-21 for Navy. East Carolina's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 104th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Navy's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 127th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.99 ypp and 4.13 ypp for the Midshipmen and 5.40 and 5.44 for the Roadrunners.
Result: Navy beat East Carolina 42-10 as Malcolm Perry rushed for 156 yards and 4 touchdowns.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
16-6 in calling the winner
11-9-2 against the spread, and
5-17 against the over/under.

Georgia Southern at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Eagles by 17 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Minnesota. Georgia Southern's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 32nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Minnesota's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 25th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.01 ypp and 5.89 ypp for the Eagles and 5.10 and 5.84 for the Golden Gophers.
Result: Minnesota scored a TD with seconds to play, winning 35-32.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
17-6 in calling the winner
12-9-2 against the spread, and
6-17 against the over/under.

Memphis at South Alabama
The Tigers were favored over the Jaguars by 20 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for Memphis. Memphis's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 84th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while South Alabama's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 107th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.18 ypp and 3.92 ypp for the Tigers and 5.39 and 4.43 for the Jaguars.
Result: Memphis breezed past South Alabama 42-6.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
18-6 in calling the winner
12-10-2 against the spread, and
7-17 against the over/under.

Oklahoma State at Tulsa
The Cowboys were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 15 points.
The over/under was 66 points. Oklahoma State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 101st in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Tulsa's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 43rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 7.47 ypp and 4.85 ypp for the Cowboys and 4.62 and 4.46 for the Golden Hurricane.
Our Call: 34-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: Oklahoma State beat Tulsa 40-21.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
19-6 in calling the winner
12-11-2 against the spread, and
8-17 against the over/under.

Stanford at UCF
The Knights were favored over the Cardinal by 7 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for UCF. Stanford's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 9th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Central Florida's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 100th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 3.33 ypp and 3.41 ypp for the Cardinal and 7.88 and 2.77 for the Knights. As a Stanford Law School alum, this is a difficult call, but that is what the stats tell us. You can't win many games without an offense, and you are in dire straits if you meet a team powerful on both offense and defense.
Result: UCF topped Stanford 45-27 as the Knights outgained the Cardinal 545 to 349 yards. Central Florida's Dillon Gabriel threw for 347 yards and 4 TDs, while Greg McCrae ran for 109 yards and 1 TD.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
20-6 in calling the winner
13-11-2 against the spread, and
8-18 against the over/under.

UNLV at Northwestern
The Wildcats were favored over the Rebels by 16.5 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Northwestern. UNLV's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 106th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Northwestern's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 6th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.91 ypp and 5.24 ypp for the Rebels and 3.50 and 5.00 for the Wildcats.
Result: Northwestern prevailed over UNLV 30-14.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
21-6 in calling the winner
14-11-2 against the spread, and
9-18 against the over/under.

USC at BYU
The Trojans were favored over the Cougars by 4 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for USC. Southern Cal's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 16th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while BYU's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 23rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.76 ypp and 5.50 ypp for the Trojans and 5.56 and 5.57 for the Cougars.
Result: BYU beat USC 30-27 in overtime.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
21-7 in calling the winner
14-12-2 against the spread, and
10-18 against the over/under.

Southeastern Louisiana (FCS) at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Lions by 35.5 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for Ole Miss.
Result: Ole Miss topped Southeastern Louisiana 40-29.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
22-7 in calling the winner
15-12-2 against the spread, and
10-19 against the over/under.

Colorado State at Arkansas
The Razorbacks were favored over the Rams by 13.5 points.
The over/under was 57 points.
Our Call: 33-21 for Colorado State. Colorado State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 85th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Arkansas' strength of schedule is thus far ranked 77th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 7.41 ypp and 5.52 ypp for the Rams and 5.25 and 5.17 for the Razorbacks.
Result: Arkansas prevailed over Colorado State 55-34 as the Razorbacks scored 21 unanswered points in the 4th quarter.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
22-8 in calling the winner
15-13-2 against the spread, and
10-20 against the over/under.

Louisville vs. Western Kentucky WKU (Nissan Stadium in Nashville)
The Cardinals were favored over the Hilltoppers by 10 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Louisville. Louisville's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 66th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while WKU's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 103rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.95 ypp and 4.80 ypp for the Cardinals and 5.82 and 5.25 for the Hilltoppers.
Result: Louisville topped Western Kentucky 38-21.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
23-8 in calling the winner
16-13-2 against the spread, and
10-21 against the over/under.

Bethune-Cookman (FCS) at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Wildcats by 41 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Miami of Florida.
Result: Miami shut out Bethune-Cookman 63-0.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
24-8 in calling the winner
16-14-2 against the spread, and
10-22 against the over/under.

Arizona State at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Sun Devils by 10.5 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for Michigan State. Arizona State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 121st in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Michigan State's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 90th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.25 ypp and 3.69 ypp for the Sun Devils and 6.10 and 3.60 for the Spartans.
Result: Arizona State outlasted Michigan State 10-7.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
24-9 in calling the winner
16-15-2 against the spread, and
11-22 against the over/under.

Idaho State (FCS) at Utah
The Utes were favored over the Bengals by 35.5 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for Utah.
Result: Utah shut out Idaho State 31-0.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
25-9 in calling the winner
17-15-2 against the spread, and
12-22 against the over/under.

North Texas at California
The Golden Bears were favored over the Mean Green by 13 points.
The over/under was 57.7 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for Cal. North Texas' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 94th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Cal's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 24th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.39 ypp and 6.96 ypp for the Mean Green and 5.73 and 4.25 for the Golden Bears.
Result: Cal outlasted North Texas 23-17.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
26-9 in calling the winner
17-16-2 against the spread, and
13-22 against the over/under.

Cal Poly (FCS) at Oregon State
The Beavers were favored over the Mustangs by 16 points.
The over/under was 76 points.
Our Call: 51-34 for Oregon State.
Result: Oregon State beat Cal Poly 45-7.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
27-9 in calling the winner
18-16-2 against the spread, and
13-23 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at Bowling Green
The Bulldogs were favored over the Falcons by 7 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our Call: 31-23 for Louisiana Tech. The Bulldog's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 79th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Bowling Green's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 105th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.50 ypp and 5.54 ypp for the Bulldogs and 5.24 and 5.05 for the Falcons.
Result:Louisiana Tech beat Bowling Green 35-7.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
28-9 in calling the winner
19-16-2 against the spread, and
14-23 against the over/under.

Idaho (FCS) at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Vandals by 26 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Wyoming.
Result: Wyoming edged the Vandals 21-16.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
29-9 in calling the winner
20-16-2 against the spread, and
15-23 against the over/under.

Buffalo at Liberty
The Bulls were favored over the Flames by 6.5 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our Call: 27-17 for Buffalo. The Bull's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 87th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Liberty's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 31st in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.33 ypp and 5.97 ypp for Buffalo and 4.16 and 6.41 for the Flames.
Result: Liberty prevailed over Buffalo 35-17, as Antonio Gandy-Golden caught two of the four TD passes by Stephen Calvert, giving the Flames their first win under new head coach Hugh Freeze.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
29-10 in calling the winner
20-17-2 against the spread, and
16-23 against the over/under.

South Carolina State (FCS) at South Florida USF
The Bulls were favored over the Bulldogs by 25.5 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 31-14 for USF.
Result: South Florida won its first game of the season 55-16.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
30-10 in calling the winner
20-18-2 against the spread, and
16-24 against the over/under.

Southern Mississippi at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Golden Eagles by 3 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Troy. The Golden Eagle's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 64th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Troy's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 128th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.54 ypp and 4.77 ypp for Southern Miss and 7.98 and 2.47 for the Trojans.
Result: Southern Miss prevailed in an offensive battle 47-42 in which the Golden Eagles' quarterback Jack Abraham completed 28 of 36 passes for 463 yards and 2 TDs and, in a losing cause, Trojan QB Kaleb Barker threw for 504 yards and 4 TDs on 29 of 43 pass completions.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
30-11 in calling the winner
20-19-2 against the spread, and
16-25 against the over/under.

Massachusetts at Charlotte
The 49ers were favored over the Minutemen by 17 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our Call: 38-31 for Charlotte. The Minutemen's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 99th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Charlotte's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 108th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.31 ypp and 7.42 ypp for Massachusetts and 7.13 and 6.10 for the 49ers.
Result:Charlotte routed the Minutemen 52-17.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
31-11 in calling the winner
20-20-2 against the spread, and
17-25 against the over/under.

Ohio at Marshall
The Bobcats were favored over the Thundering Herd by 6 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Marshall. The Bobcat's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 59th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Marshall's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 83rd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.79 ypp and 6.16 ypp for Ohio and 6.34 and 4.69 for the Thundering Herd.
Result:Marshall edged Ohio 33-31, rushing for 305 yards and outgaining the Bobcats 511 to 438 yards
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
32-11 in calling the winner
21-20-2 against the spread, and
17-26 against the over/under.

New Hampshire (FCS) at Florida International FIU
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Wildcats by 11.5 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for FIU.
Result: FIU topped New Hampshire 30-17.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
33-11 in calling the winner
21-21-2 against the spread, and
17-27 against the over/under.

Texas State at SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Bobcats by 18 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for SMU. The Bobcat's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 19th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while SMU's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 61st in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.84 ypp and 5.55 ypp for Texas State and 6.30 and 5.26 for the Mustangs.
Result: SMU beat Texas State 47-17 as T.J. McDaniel rushed for 159 yards and 3 TDs.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
34-11 in calling the winner
21-22-2 against the spread, and
17-28 against the over/under.

Weber State (FCS) at Nevada
The Wolf Pack were favored over the Wildcats by 10 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Nevada.
Result: Nevada edged Weber State 19-13.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
35-11 in calling the winner
22-22-2 against the spread, and
18-28 against the over/under.

Murray State (FCS) at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Racers by 31 points.
The over/under was 70 points.
Our Call: 45-17 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo shut out Murray State 45-0.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
36-11 in calling the winner
22-23-2 against the spread, and
19-28 against the over/under.

Lamar (FCS) at Texas A&M
The Aggies were favored over the Cardinals by 43 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our Call: 45-7 for Texas A&M.
Result: Texas A&M routed Lamar 62-3.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
37-11 in calling the winner
22-24-2 against the spread, and
19-29 against the over/under.

Kent State at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Flashes by 34.5 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our Call: 38-7 for Auburn. Kent State's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 80th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Auburn's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 26th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.37 ypp and 5.68 ypp for the Golden Flashes and 4.85 and 4.14 for the Tigers.
Result: Auburn beat Kent State 55-16.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
38-11 in calling the winner
22-25-2 against the spread, and
19-30 against the over/under.

Georgia State at Western Michigan
The Broncos were favored over the Panthers by 11 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Georgia State. The Panthers' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 92nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Western Michigan's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 89th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.00 ypp and 6.74 ypp for the Panthers and 6.43 and 6.11 for the Broncos.
Result: Woah! How did these Panthers beat Tennessee and Furman? Western Michigan pulverized Georgia State 57-10 as Levante Bellamy rushed for 192 yards and 3 TDs.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
38-12 in calling the winner
22-26-2 against the spread, and
20-30 against the over/under.

Duke at Middle Tennessee
The Blue Devils were favored over the Blue Raiders by 6.5 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Duke. The Blue Devils' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 18th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while MTSU's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 67th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.40 ypp and 5.77 ypp for Duke and 6.43 and 6.11 for the Blue Raiders.
Result: Duke beat Middle Tennessee 41-18.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
39-12 in calling the winner
23-26-2 against the spread, and
21-30 against the over/under.

Florida at Kentucky
The Gators were favored over the Wildcats by 9.5 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Florida. The Gators' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 68th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Kentucky's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 74th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.57 ypp and 4.27 ypp for Florida and 6.31 and 5.27 for the Wildcats.
Result: Florida topped Kentucky 29-21.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
40-12 in calling the winner
23-27-2 against the spread, and
21-31 against the over/under.

Hawaii at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Warriors by 23 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our Call: 38-21 for Washington. The Warriors' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 78th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Washington's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 39th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.99 ypp and 6.61 ypp for Hawai'i and 5.85 and 4.77 for the Huskies.
Result:Washington routed Hawaii 52-20.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
41-12 in calling the winner
23-28-2 against the spread, and
21-32 against the over/under.

Texas Southern (FCS) at Louisiana Lafayette ULL
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Tigers by 47 points.
The over/under was 75 points.
Our Call: 49-7 for Louisiana.
Result: Louisiana blitzed Texas Southern 77-6.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
42-12 in calling the winner
23-29-2 against the spread, and
21-33 against the over/under.

TCU at Purdue
The Boilermakers were favored over the Horned Frogs by 3 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our Call: 28-24 for Purdue. The TCU schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 129th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Purdue's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 41st in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 5.98 ypp and 3.47 ypp for the Horned Frogs and 7.01 and 5.89 for the Boilermakers.
Result: TCU defeated Purdue 34-13.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
42-13 in calling the winner
23-30-2 against the spread, and
22-33 against the over/under.

Southeast Missouri State (FCS) at Missouri
The Tigers were favored over the Indians by 33 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our Call: 52-7 for Missouri.
Result: Missouri shut out SEMO 50-0.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
43-13 in calling the winner
24-30-2 against the spread, and
23-33 against the over/under.

Northwestern State (FCS) at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Demons by 56 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our Call: 49-0 for LSU.
Result: LSU prevailed 65-14 as Joe Burrow completed 21 of 24 passes for 373 yards and 2 TDs with 1 pick.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
44-13 in calling the winner
25-30-2 against the spread, and
23-34 against the over/under.

Florida State at Virginia
The Cavaliers were favored over the Seminoles by 8 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Virginia. The Florida State schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 37th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Virginia's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 56th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.10 ypp and 5.56 ypp for the Seminoles and 5.95 and 3.83 for the Cavaliers.
Result: Virginia topped Florida State 31-24.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
45-13 in calling the winner
25-31-2 against the spread, and
24-34 against the over/under.

Clemson at Syracuse
The Tigers were favored over the Orange by 24 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Clemson. Because of the lopsided 63-20 Syracuse loss to Maryland last week, ESPN College GameDay will reportedly not be going to the Clemson-Syracuse game but rather will make its first trip ever to Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa for the Iowa vs. Iowa State game, the "Cy-Hawk game". The Clemson schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 8th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Syracuse strength of schedule is thus far ranked 35th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.95 ypp and 4.42 ypp for the Tigers and 5.15 and 5.56 for the Orange.
Result: Clemson beat Syracuse 41-6.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
46-13 in calling the winner
25-32-2 against the spread, and
25-34 against the over/under.

Missouri State (FCS) at Tulane
The Green Wave were favored over the Bears by 29 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our Call: 44-14 for Tulane.
Result: Tulane beat Missouri State 58-6.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
47-13 in calling the winner
26-32-2 against the spread, and
26-34 against the over/under.

Northern Illinois NIU at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers were favored over the Huskies by 15 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for Nebraska. The Husker defense has permitted 4.96 yards per play, better than the FBS ypp median average, ranking NU 53rd out of 130 teams. The Husker offense has gained 5.40 yards per play, worse than the FBS ypp median average, tied for 85th out of 130 teams. That is disappointing, given that the Nebraska schedule difficulty of teams thus far played is ranked at about average, i.e. 63rd out of 130 FBS teams by Massey Ratings. Unless the Cornhuskers improve miraculously in the course of this season, Big Red fans will have to take a wait and see attitude until next year or beyond. Northern Illinois against a schedule ranked 48th in FBS thus far is ranked 83rd by ypp allowed on defense (5.56 ypp), and 72nd by ypp gained on offense (5.57). Those stats in our calculations give the Huskers about a 4-point edge plus the home field advantage, calculated as ca. 3 points, for a total prognosticated spread of 7.
Result: Nebraska prevailed 44-8 as the Huskers outgained Northern Illinois 525 to 350 yards.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
48-13 in calling the winner
26-33-2 against the spread, and
26-35 against the over/under.

Oklahoma at UCLA
The Sooners were favored over the Bruins by 21.5 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 49-17 for Oklahoma. The Oklahoma schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 82nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the UCLA strength of schedule is thus far ranked 34th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 10.92 ypp and 5.66 ypp for the Sooners and 3.71 and 5.16 for the Bruins.
Result: Oklahoma beat UCLA 48-14 as Jalen Hurts completed 15 of 20 passes for 289 yards and 3 touchdowns, two of those to Charleston Rambo. Hurts also rushed for 150 yards and one TD on 14 carries. At that pace, who can beat Hurts for the Heisman?
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
49-13 in calling the winner
27-33-2 against the spread, and
27-35 against the over/under.

San Diego State at New Mexico State
The Aztecs were favored over the Aggies by 16 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our Call: 24-7 for San Diego State. The San Diego State schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 62nd in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Aggies' strength of schedule is thus far ranked 1st in FBS, thus far having played Washington State and Alabama. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 4.05 ypp and 3.52 ypp for the Aztecs and 4.26 and 9.11 for New Mexico State.
Result: San Diego State won 31-10.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
50-13 in calling the winner
28-33-2 against the spread, and
28-35 against the over/under.

Texas vs. Rice (NRG Stadium in Houston)
The Longhorns were favored over the Owls by 28.5 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our Call: 45-14 for Texas. The Longhorns' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 17th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Owls' strength of schedule is thus far ranked 21st in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.23 ypp and 6.66 ypp for Texas and 4.86 and 6.33 for Rice.
Result: Texas topped Rice 48-13.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
51-13 in calling the winner
29-33-2 against the spread, and
29-35 against the over/under.

Portland State (FCS) at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Vikings by 31.5 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our Call: 48-7 for Boise State.
Result: Boise State defeated Portland State 45-10.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
52-13 in calling the winner
30-33-2 against the spread, and
30-35 against the over/under.

Texas Tech at Arizona
The Red Raiders were favored over the Wildcats by 3 points.
The over/under was 71.5 points.
Our Call: 38-35 for Arizona. The Red Raiders' schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 117th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while the Wildcats' strength of schedule is thus far ranked 102nd in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.45 ypp and 3.59 ypp for Texas Tech and 8.68 and 6.78 for Arizona.
Result: Arizona beat Texas Tech 28-14.

53-13 in calling the winner
31-33-2 against the spread, and
30-36 against the over/under.

Montana (FCS) at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Grizzlies by 28 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our Call: 48-17 for Oregon.
Result:Oregon topped Montana 35-3.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we are thus far:
54-13 in calling the winner
32-33-2 against the spread, and
30-37 against the over/under.

Iowa at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Hawkeyes by 1 point.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our Call: 24-20 for Iowa. Because of the lopsided 63-20 Syracuse loss to Maryland last week, ESPN College GameDay will reportedly not be going to the Clemson-Syracuse game but rather will make its first trip ever to Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa for the Iowa vs. Iowa State game, the "Cy-Hawk game". Iowa's schedule difficulty thus far is ranked 76th in FBS according to the Massey Ratings, while Iowa State's strength of schedule is thus far ranked 95th in FBS. The ypp stats, via cfbstats.com, offense and defense, are 6.27 ypp and 3.66 ypp for the Hawkeyes and 5.38 and 3.59 for the Cyclones.
Result: This game was substantially delayed but ultimately completed. Iowa beat Iowa State 18-17.
For Week 3 of the 2019 FBS college football season
we finished:
55-13 in calling the winner
33-33-2 against the spread, and
31-37 against the over/under.