"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Saturday, August 25, 2018

2018 College Football Predictions "Week 0" & "Week 1" NCAA Division I FBS August 25 to September 3, 2018

2018 College Football Predictions "Week 0" & "Week 1"
NCAA Division I FBS August 25 to September 3, 2018

A NEW FOOTBALL SEASON CAN BEGIN!

Our 2017-2018 college football predictions finished at a cumulative:
657-215 in picking the winner
456-388-26 against the spread
411-367-1 against the CFPT average, and
427-433-10 against the over/under.

Below are the SportPundit predictions for "Week 0" and "Week 1" of the NCAA Division I FBS college football season games 2018-2019. We previously already made a special posting predicting game outcomes for the entire season of the Nebraska Cornhuskers under new head coach Scott Frost, predictions which we will of course amend as the season progresses based on cumulative results.

The below preseason FBS predictions are based primarily on our team ratings in our Final College Football Rankings FBS 2017-2018, using stats from cfbstats.com. We also consult the Massey Ratings. We composed the schedule here using FoxSports and ESPN.

The NCAA -- as many other U.S. websites is inexcusably behind developments and for some of its portal currently does not permit access to Europe-based web surfers, announcing: "Unfortunately you're trying to access NCAA.com from a country in the European Union. While we're working on making sure we comply with the new regulations, we're unfortunately required to restrict access to NCAA.com from your country. For more information about the NCAA, please visit NCAA.org." We continue to be amazed at these kind of puzzling announcements, as there was plenty of advance notice of the coming European regulations, so there is no excuse for not being prepared.

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on our system of what we have christened as "NAYPPA" stats (net average yards per play advantage), calibrated in the course of the season by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. We use yards per play stats published at cfbstats.com. Other adjustments are also made because the ypp (yards per play) system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams, especially at the beginning of the season.

We often use the Kambour home field advantage calculations or take a standard 3-point home field advantage ala Sagarin into account in predicting the scores.

Here is an example of how we calculate our predictions of game outcomes.
Wyoming Cowboys (FBS) at New Mexico State Aggies (FBS)
The Cowboys were favored over the Aggies by 5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming over New Mexico State by 5.50 points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-20 for Wyoming. How did we get there?
Our Final College Football Rankings FBS 2017-2018 give Wyoming a rating of -2.6 (minus 2.6) and New Mexico State a rating of -3.5 (minus 3.5). In our system one-tenth of a rating point is equal to one point on the scoreboard (that formula is not always fixed), so that the unadjusted ratings would make Wyoming a 9-point favorite. The Aggies enjoy the home field advantage, so we normally would subtract 3 points from the 9 points, for a 6-point spread, but Kambour gives the Aggies a home field advantage of 4.9505 points, which would reduce the Wyoming advantage to 4 points. As one can see, our simple system, as here, comes close to the odds posted by others.
In 2017, the median yards per play gained on offense in FBS was ca. 5.6 yards per play and the median yards per play allowed on defense was also ca. 5.6 yards per play.  That's a total of 11.2 per team or 22.4 total for what we estimate in season 2017 FBS as 56 points per game scored in each game.
Wyoming gained 4.68 yards per play on offense (123rd of 130 teams).
Wyoming gave up 4.67 yards per play on defense (8th of 130 teams).
That's a total of 9.35
New Mexico State gained 5.82 yards per play on offense (49th of 130 teams)
New Mexico State gave up 5.36 yards per play on defense (47th of 130 teams)
That's a total of 11.18.
9.35 plus 11.18 = 20.53 as compared to the median average 22.40, for a difference of 0.87.
If 22.4 corresponds to 56 points scored then 20.53 should predict less points scored according to the following formula. 20.53 divided by 22.4 = .9165.
.9165 x 56 = 51 points.
Accordingly, we would expect a score of something like 28-23 (the opening line). We go a few points more in favor of Wyoming and feweer for New Mexico State due to the Aggies becoming a conference-independent FBS team this season and because Cowboys head coach Craig Bohl is on schedule to move Wyoming up the ladder, based on a top, almost entirely returning defense.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening lines, as far as possible, taking those opening lines from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), unless not yet posted, in which case we use Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders. We add over/unders as available, usually very late for matchups of FCS and FBS teams. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of  accuracy, and WITHOUT ANY liability on our part for our posted materials or for links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions here for fun and have not bet on sports since a successful seven-fold accumulator bet many moons ago. If odds and stats are important for the reader, he or she must consult the original sites.

Note that we write "were favored" or "was favored". The odds of the opening line are often changed by the time we make our predictions, reflecting betting behavior. We do not compete against those changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it. Note that there is no line given at CFPT for games between FCS and FBS opponents.

The major changes for the upcoming FBS college football season can be examined at Wikipedia at 2018 Division I FBS Football Season.

For our purposes, we need to know the FBS NCAA Membership Changes:
The New Mexico State Aggies shift this season from the Sun Belt Conference to status as an FBS independent
The Idaho Vandals, former members of the Sun Belt Conference, shift this season to the FCS Big Sky Conference
The Liberty Flames, formerly of the FCS Big South Conference, become an FBS independent in terms of scheduling, but will not be bowl-eligible until 2019

Make sure you read Sam Hellman at 247sports.com and Herbstreit breaks down Frost as biggest impact coaching hire: "Herbstreit chose Frost over finalists Jimbo Fisher, Willie Taggart, Dan Mullen, Joe Moorhead and Chip Kelly."

Head coaching changes, as reviewed at CollegeFootballPoll.com
  • Arizona new head coach: Kevin Sumlin (from Texas A&M)
    Last season: Rich Rodriguez
  • Arizona State new head coach: Herm Edwards (former NFL head coach)
    Last season: Todd Graham
  • Arkansas new head coach: Chad Morris (from SMU)
    Last season: Brett Bielema
  • Coastal Carolina new head coach: Joe Moglia (former head coach)
    Last season: Jamey Chadwell
  • Florida new head coach: Dan Mullen
    Last season: Jim McElwain, Randy Shannon
  • Florida State new head coach: Willie Taggart
    Last season: Jimbo Fisher, Odell Haggins
  • Georgia Southern new head coach: Chad Lunsford (interim)
    Last season: Tyson Summers, Chad Lunsford
  • Kent State new head coach: Sean Lewis (youngest head coach in FBS)
    Last season: Paul Haynes
  • Louisiana (UL Lafayette) new head coach: Billy Napier
    Last season: Mark Hudspeth
  • Mississippi new head coach: Matt Luke
    Last season: Hugh Freeze, Matt Luke
  • Mississippi State new head coach: Joe Moorehead
    Last season: Dan Mullen, Greg Knox
  • Nebraska new head coach: Scott Frost
    Last season: Mike Riley
  • Oregon new head coach: Mario Cristobal
    Last season: Willie Taggart
  • Oregon State new head coach: Jonathan Smith
    Last season: Gary Andersen, Cory Hall
  • Rice new head coach: Mike Bloomgren
    Last season: David Bailiff
  • SMU new head coach: Sonny Dykes
    Last season: Chad Morris
  • South Alabama new head coach: Steve Campbell
    Last season: Joey Jones
  • Tennessee new head coach: Jeremy Pruitt
    Last season: Butch Jones, Brady Hoke
  • Texas A&M new head coach: Jimbo Fisher
    Last season: Kevin Sumlin, Jeff Banks
  • UCF (Central Florida) new head coach. Josh Heupel
    Last season: Scott Frost
  • UCLA new head coach: Chip Kelly
    Last season: Jim Mora, Jedd Fisch
  • UTEP (Texas El Paso) new head coach: Dana Dimel
    Last season; Sean Kugler, Mike Price
Below are our predictions for "Week Zero"
and "Week 1" of the FBS college football season.

Early opening odds are found published only for FBS vs. FBS matchups.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 25, 2018

"Week Zero" will take place on Saturday, August 25,
several days before the "Week One" part of the season begins.

The teams are FBS unless otherwise noted.

Duquesne Dukes (FCS) at UMass Minutemen (FBS)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
Our call: 44-17 for UMass.
Result:
Thus far for the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
0-0 in picking the winner,
0-0 against the spread, and
0-0 against the over/under. 

Prairie View A&M Panthers (FCS) at Rice Owls (FBS)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line). 
Our call: 47-14 for Rice.
Result:
Thus far for the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
0-0 in picking the winner,
0-0 against the spread, and
0-0 against the over/under. 

Wyoming Cowboys (FBS) at New Mexico State Aggies (FBS)
The Cowboys were favored over the Aggies by 5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming over New Mexico State by 6.04 points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-20 for Wyoming.
Result:
Thus far for the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
0-0 in picking the winner,
0-0 against the spread,
0-0 against the CFPT average, and
0-0 against the over/under. 

Hawaii Warriors (FBS) at Colorado State Rams (FBS)
The Rams were favored over the Warriors by 13.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado State over Hawaii by 16.59 points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 45-27 for Colorado State.
Result:

THURSDAY, AUGUST 30, 2018

UC Davis Aggies (FCS) at San Jose State Spartans
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-30 for the San Jose State Spartans.
Result: 

Central Connecticut (FCS) at Ball State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-27 for Ball State.
Result: 

Kennesaw State (FCS) at Georgia State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 30-27 for Georgia State.
Result: 

UCF (Central Florida) at UConn (Connecticut)
The Knights were favored over the Huskies by 22 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 49-7 for UCF. Because of the coaching changes, Central Florida will be one of the most interesting teams to watch this year. Their offense should remain formidable.
Result: 

New Mexico State at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Aggies by 18 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 30-24 for Minnesota.
Result: 

Northwestern at Purdue
The Boilermakers were favored over the Wildcats by 3 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-24 for Northwestern.
Result: 

Wake Forest at Tulane
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Green Wave by 8 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-27 for Wake Forest.
Result: 

Savannah State (FCS) at UAB
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 42-7 for UAB.
Result: 

Missouri State (FCS) at Oklahoma State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 55-7 for Oklahoma State.
Result: 

Weber State (FCS) at Utah
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-17 for Utah.
Result: 

Southeastern Louisiana (FCS) at Louisiana Monroe (ULM)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 38-24 for LA Monroe.
Result: 

Northwestern State (FCS) at Texas A&M
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 61-7 for Texas A&M.
Result: 

FRIDAY, AUGUST 31, 2018

Syracuse at Western Michigan
The Orange were favored over the Broncos by 6 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for Syracuse.
Result: 

Monmouth (FCS) at Eastern Michigan
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 42-14 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: 

Utah State at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Aggies by 25.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 38-13 for Michigan State.
Result: 

Army at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Black Knights by 11.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-24 for Duke.
Result: 

Western Kentucky at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Hilltoppers by 33 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 42-7 for Wisconsin.
Result: 

San Diego State at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Aztecs by 15 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-14 for Stanford.
Result: 

Portland State (FCS) at Nevada
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-17 for Nevada.
Result: 

Colorado at Colorado State
The Buffaloes were favored over the Rams by 6.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-31 for Colorado.
Result: 

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2018

Stony Brook (FCS) at Air Force
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-27 for Air Force.
Result: 

Incarnate Word (FCS) at New Mexico
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 51-7 for New Mexico.
Result: 

Oregon State at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Beavers by 38.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 64-7 for Ohio State.
Result: 

Kent State at Illinois
The Fighting Illini were favored over the Golden Flashes by 17 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-17 for Illinois.
Result: 

Texas State at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights were favored over the Bobcats by 18.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 37-16 for Rutgers.
Result: 

Texas at Maryland
The Longhorns were favored over the Terrapins by 9 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 37-27 for Texas. Matt Canada is the Terps interim head coach.
Result: 

Coastal Carolina at South Carolina
The Gamecocks were favored over the Chanticleers by 30 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-14 for South Carolina.
Result: 

Mississippi (Ole Miss) Rebels vs. Texas Tech Raiders at NRG Stadium, Houston
The game was seen as even. Take your pick (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 35-34 for Texas Tech.
Result: 

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Owls by 21 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 49-31 for Oklahoma.
Result: 

Southern U (FCS) at TCU (Texas Christian)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 61-7 for TCU.
Result: 

James Madison (FCS) at North Carolina State (NC State)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 20-17 for N.C. State.
Result: 

Villanova (FCS) at Temple
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-13 for Temple.
Result: 

Houston at Rice
The Cougars were favored over the Owls by 21 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-23 for Houston.
Result: 

Furman (FCS) at Clemson
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 54-7 for Clemson.
Result: 

Alcorn State (FCS) at Georgia Tech
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 61-7 for Georgia Tech.
Result: 

Massachusetts (UMass) at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Minutemen by 18.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-14 for Boston College.
Result: 

Howard (FCS) at Ohio
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-21 for Ohio.
Result: 

Albany (FCS) at Pittsburgh
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 44-14 for Pittsburgh.
Result: 

Appalachian State at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Mountaineers by 24 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 38-17 for Penn State.
Result: 

Marshall at Miami of Ohio
The RedHawks were favored over the Thundering Herd by 2 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-24 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: 

Austin Peay (FCS) at Georgia
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 70-7 for Georgia.
Result: 

Central Michigan at Kentucky
The Wildcats were favored over the Chippewas by 17.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-20 for Kentucky.
Result: 

Washington vs. Auburn at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
The Tigers were favored over the Huskies by 3 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for Auburn.
Result: 

Tennessee vs. West Virginia at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
The Mountaineers were favored over the Volunteers by 9.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-27 for West Virginia.
Result: 

Northern Illinois at Iowa
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Huskies by 14.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-14 for Iowa.
Result: 

Washington State at Wyoming
The Cougars were favored over the Cowboys by 3.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 20-17 for Wyoming.
Result: 

North Carolina at California (Cal)
The Golden Bears were favored over the Tar Heels by 5.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for Cal.
Result: 

UNLV (Nevada Las Vegas) at USC (Southern Cal)
The Trojans were favored over the Rebels by 27.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-17 for USC.
Result: 

Tennessee-Martin (FCS) at Missouri
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 54-7 for Missouri.
Result: 

Eastern Illinois (FCS) at Arkansas
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 49-7 for Arkansas.
Result: 

Old Dominion at Liberty
The Monarchs were favored over the Flames by 5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for Old Dominion.
Result: 

Fordham (FCS) at Charlotte
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 35-21 for Charlotte.
Result: 

North Carolina A&T (NCA&T) (FCS) at East Carolina
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-27 for East Carolina.
Result: 

Elon (FCS) at South Florida
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 56-7 for South Florida.
Result: 

Richmond (FCS) at Virginia
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for Virginia.
Result: 

Delaware State (FCS) at Buffalo
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 56-7 for Buffalo.
Result: 

Boise State at Troy
The Broncos were favored over the Trojans by 10.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-26 for Troy.
Result: 

South Carolina State (FCS) at Georgia Southern
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 44-13 for Georgia Southern.
Result: 

Grambling (FCS) at Louisiana (Louisiana-Lafayette, ULL)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-17 for LA Lafayette.
Result: 

VMI (FCS) at Toledo
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 63-7 for Toledo.
Result: 

Southeast Missouri State (FCS) at Arkansas State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 45-14 for Arkansas State.
Result: 

Mercer (FCS) at Memphis
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 61-14 for Memphis.
Result: 

Central Arkansas (FCS) at Tulsa
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-31 for Tulsa.
Result: 

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama
The Bulldogs were favored over the Jaguars by 10 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-23 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: 

Jackson State (FCS) at Southern Mississippi (Southern Miss)
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-17 for Southern Miss.
Result: 

Cincinnati at UCLA
The Bruins were favored over the Bearcats by 16.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-17 for UCLA.
Result: 

Indiana at Florida International (FIU)
The Hoosiers were favored over the Golden Panthers by 11 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-20 for Indiana.
Result: 

Nicholls (FCS) at Kansas
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-17 for Kansas.
Result: 

South Dakota (FCS) at Kansas State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 44-14 for Kansas State.
Result: 

Michigan at Notre Dame
The Wolverines were favored over the Fighting Irish by 1 point (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 27-24 for Michigan. It is a new ball game this year, so here we do not pay too much attention to last season. We have a University of Michigan alum in the family, so we go with the Wolverines. The Michigan/Notre Dame games are often classics.
Result: 

Charleston Southern (FCS) at Florida
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 57-7 for Florida.
Result: 

Stephen F. Austin (FCS) at Mississippi State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 61-7 for Mississippi State.
Result: 

Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt
The Commodores were favored over the Blue Raiders by 6 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-24 for MTSU.
Result: 

SMU at North Texas
The Mean Green were favored over the Mustangs by 3.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-34 for North Texas.
Result: 

Northern Arizona (FCS) at UTEP
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 31-17 for UTEP.
Result: 

Akron at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers were favored over the Zips by 21 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 53-7 for Nebraska. The Scott Frost Era at the University of Nebraska begins.
We quote from our previous prediction for the Huskers made at SportPundit:
"Akron 2017 at 4.88 ypp on offense 6.02 ypp on defense, i.e. a minus -1.2 ypp.
The predicted NU 6.00 ypp offense and 5.00 ypp defense give an advantage of plus +1.0 ypp (plus) the minus -1.2 for Akron = a running 22 point advantage for NU.
Schedule difficulty Akron 2017: #95 (Massey), #85 (Sagarin) gives a schedule difficulty handicap for the Zips (AVERAGE of Massey plus Sagarin x 3 divided by 10) of 27 points ... minus the 6 points schedule difficulty handicap of last year for Nebraska (subtracted from 27) gives 21 more points for NU, i.e. a running 43-point total.
Plus the home field advantage ... 3 points in favor of Nebraska gives a predicted 46 points in favor of Nebraska."
Our Call: 53-7 for Nebraska. Akron in recent years has given excellent teams such as Penn State some difficult games, so nothing is certain."
Result

Louisville vs. Alabama at Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Cardinals by 25.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 47-17 for Alabama.
Result: 

Abilene Christian (FCS) at Baylor
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 48-7 for Baylor.
Result: 

South Dakota State (FCS) at Iowa State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 38-17 for Iowa State.
Result: 

Bowling Green at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Falcons by 27.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 45-17 for Oregon.
Result: 

Idaho (FCS) at Fresno State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-13 for Fresno State.
Result: 

UTSA (Texas San Antonio) at Arizona State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Roadrunners by 17 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-27 for Arizona State.
Result: 

BYU at Arizona
The Wildcats were favored over the Cougars by 15.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 34-24 for Arizona.
Result: 

Navy at Hawaii (Hawai'i)
The Midshipmen were favored over the Warriors by 15 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 41-24 for Navy.
Result: 

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 2, 2018

Miami of Florida vs. LSU at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
The Hurricanes were favored over the Tigers by 3 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was 45.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for LSU.
Result: 

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 2018

Virginia Tech at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Hokies by 5.5 points (opening line).
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? over ?? by ?? points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Florida State.
Result: