Saturday, October 12, 2013

National Parks and Related Tourism Income Suffer from Government Shutdown

Grand Canyon reopens in deal on nat’l parks around nation between federal, state officials - The Washington Post

Historical Income Tax Revenues and the Federal Debt of the Government: Which Presidential Administrations Created that Debt and What are the True Facts?

Who created the federal debt?
Let us look at the tax and debt stats.

The answer is: mostly Republican Presidents whose administrations populistically reduced taxes, thus pulling the wool over the eyes of their gullible constituents, as their administrations then financed the federal government during their eras by borrowing money -- thus raising the debt.

Indeed, under tax-shy Ronald Reagan, federal debt TRIPLED, more than under any other U.S. President. It is a pea and shell game in which the voters are conned.

The following chart shows tax facts about the historical development of U.S. individual and corporation income taxes and the development of federal debt.

The chart shows that federal government spending and the federal debt have been set up as straw men to justify the existence of extremist factions such as the Tea Party of the Republican Party, even though that debt has spiraled upward because of the tax policies of recent Republican Presidents, who increased expenditures and borrowing for things like wars, but reduced tax income, thus necessarily raising the debt.

Individual and corporation income taxes in the United States are currently at RECORD LOW levels as compared to their historical highs and as compared to where they should be.

In fact, income taxes are way too low for our technology-based day and age, quite apart from the historical perspective. You can't be the world's dominant power on less and less taxes, not in our modern world.

That is why there is a federal debt.
TOO LITTLE TAXATION!
Americans want everything,
but are unwilling to pay for it.
That does not work and long-term is a recipe for disaster.

The tax facts are so clear and unequivocal that anyone who is screaming about federal spending, too much taxation and the boogie man of the debt ceiling should have his or her head examined. The hype has nothing do with the actual reality.

Sources:

Historical Debt Outstanding at Treasury Direct
(see also The Atlantic)
and
TAX FACTS from the Tax Policy Center, Urban Institute and Brookings Institution "U.S. HISTORICAL SOURCE of REVENUE as SHARE of GDP Receipts by Source as Percentages of Gross Domestic Product: 1934-2017"

U.S. INCOME TAXES
[as a percentage of the GDP]

We have added the columns "Total Income Taxes", "Federal Debt" and formatting items
but the statistics are taken straight from the above sources.

FISCAL Individual         Corporation Total   Federal
YEAR   Income             Income      Income  Debt in
[FY]   Taxes              Taxes       Taxes   Billions
       as %               as %        as %    of U.S.
       of GDP             of GDP      of GDP  $$$$
                                              (rounded)
1934   0.7                0.6         1.3%    $27.1 bil
1935   0.8                0.8         1.6%    $28.7 bil
1936   0.9                0.9         1.8%    $33.8 bil
1937   1.2                1.2         2.4%    $36.4 bil
1938   1.4                1.4         2.8%    $37.2 bil
1939   1.2                1.3         2.5%    $40.4 bil
1940   0.9                1.2         2.1%    $43.0 bil
1941   1.2 [Pearl Harbor] 1.9         3.1%    $49.0 bil
1942   2.3                3.3         5.6%    $72.4 bil
1943   3.6                5.3         8.9%   $137.0 bil
1944   9.4                7.1 [WWII] 16.5%   $201.0 bil
1945   8.3                7.2        15.5%   $258.7 bil
1946   7.2                5.3        12.5%   $269.4 bil
1947   7.7                3.7        11.4%   $258.3 bil
1948   7.5                3.8        11.3%   $252.3 bil
1949   5.7                4.1         9.8%   $252.8 bil
1950   5.8                3.8         9.6%   $257.4 bil
1951   6.8 [Korean War]   4.4        11.2%   $255.2 bil
1952   8.0                6.1        14.1%   $259.1 bil
1953   8.0                5.7["Ike"] 13.7%   $266.1 bil
1954   7.8                5.6        13.4%   $271.3 bil
1955   7.3                4.5        11.8%   $274.4 bil
1956   7.5                4.9        12.4%   $272.8 bil
1957   7.9                4.7        12.6%   $270.5 bil
1958   7.5                4.4        11.9%   $276.3 bil
1959   7.5                3.5        10.8%   $284.7 bil
1960   7.8                4.1        11.9%   $286.3 bil
1961   7.8                4.0[Kennedy]11.8%  $289.0 bil
1962   8.0                3.6        11.6%   $298.2 bil
1963   7.9                3.6[Johnson]11.5%  $305.9 bil
1964   7.6                3.7        11.3%   $311.7 bil
1965   7.1                3.7        10.8%   $317.3 bil
1966   7.3                4.0        11.3%   $319.9 bil
1967   7.6                4.2        11.8%   $326.2 bil
1968   7.9 [Vietnam War 3.3        11.2%   $347.6 bil
1969   9.2                3.9 [Nixon]13.1%   $353.7 bil
1970   8.9                3.2        12.1%   $370.9 bil
1971   8.0                2.5        10.5%   $398.1 bil
1972   8.1                2.7        10.8%   $427.3 bil
1973   7.9                2.8        10.7%   $459.1 bil
1974   8.3                2.7 [Ford] 11.0%   $475.1 bil
1975   7.8                2.6        10.4%   $533.2 bil
1976   7.6                2.4        10.0%   $620.4 bil
TQ 8.4 1.8
[Federal Fiscal Year (FY).... October 1 [to] September 30 of the following year.... Prior to 1976, the [FY] ran from July 1 through June 30. A transition quarter [TQ] was used in 1976 to bridge the gap between FY 1976 and FY 1977.]
1977   8.0                2.8[Carter]10.8%   $698.8 bil
1978   8.2                2.7        10.9%   $771.5 bil
1979   8.7                2.6        11.3%   $826.5 bil
1980   9.0                2.4        11.4%   $907.7 bil
1981   9.4                2.0[Reagan]11.4%   $997.9 bil
1982   9.2                1.5        10.7%  $1142.0 bil
1983   8.4                1.1 tripled 9.5%  $1377.2 bil
1984   7.8                1.5   debt  9.3%  $1573.2 bil
1985   8.1                1.5         9.6%  $1823.1 bil
1986   7.9                1.4         9.3%  $2125.3 bil
1987   8.4                1.8        10.2%  $2350.3 bil
1988   8.0                1.9         9.9%  $2602.3 bil
1989   8.3                1.9[Bush 1]10.2%  $2857.4 bil
1990   8.1                1.6  150%   9.7%  $3233.3 bil
1991   7.9                1.7  in     9.6%  $3665.3 bil
1992   7.6                1.6 1 term  9.2%  $4064.6 bil
1993   7.7                1.8[Clinton]9.5%  $4411.5 bil
1994   7.8                2.0         9.8%  $4692.7 bil
1995   8.0                2.1        10.1%  $4974.0 bil
1996   8.5                2.2        10.7%  $5224.8 bil
1997   9.0                2.2        11.2%  $5413.1 bil
1998   9.6                2.2        11.8%  $5526.2 bil
1999   9.6                2.0        11.6%  $5656.3 bil
2000  10.2                2.1        12.3%  $5674.2 bil
2001   9.7                1.5[Bush 2]11.2%  $5807.5 bil
2002   8.1                1.4         9.5%  $6228.2 bil
2003   7.2                1.2 doubled 8.4%  $6783.2 bil
2004   6.9                1.6   debt  8.5%  $7379.1 bil
2005   7.5                2.2         9.7%  $7932.7 bil
2006   7.9                2.7        10.6%  $8507.0 bil
2007   8.4                2.7        11.1%  $9007.7 bil
2008   8.0                2.1        10.1% $10024.7 bil
2009   6.6  record low    1.0 [Obama] 7.6% $11909.8 bil
2010   6.3   taxation     1.3         7.6% $13561.6 bil
2011   7.3                1.2         8.5% $14790.3 bil
2012   7.3                1.6         8.9% $16066.2 bil


The problem of the Obama administration is that the country is laboring under record low taxation and is still fighting wars around the world and playing the big guy on the block, but its citizens are unwilling to pay for it.

Reduction of federal spending is not the solution.
Capping the debt ceiling is not the solution.

The only solution is to get federal taxation back up to sane levels to properly finance the federal government in an America on the wane because of idiotic tax policy by the Republican Party, whose Presidents got the country into the mess to begin with by unnecessarily dropping taxes while still financing the federal government as if nothing had happened, and thus leading to a nation of rampant inequality of wealth and income and huge federal debt.

Only a radical solution can help, and the Tea Party, 180° wrong in their tax policy, is not it.

You have to start taxing individuals and corporations again at sane rates. If that is not done, civil disorder and a national collapse are just around the corner and then all the money in the world that the greedy in the USA have collected will not help them.

That is why revolutions begin, because of the greed of the upper financial classes who can never get enough, leaving in their dust the mass of lower classes who ultimately rise up, with disastrous results for the nation.


Google To Use Google+ User Profiles, Comments and Likes For Advertising

As reported at the San Jose Mercury News
Privacy advocates object to Google's plan to add user recommendations to advertising.

They plan to use Google+ profiles, comments and likes.
We are opting OUT of that.

Week 7 2013 College Football FBS Game Prediction RESULTS

Week 7 2013 College Football FBS Game Prediction RESULTS by SportPundit 

.... updated as scores come in ....

Our stats for the season after Week 6 were 290-78 (79%) in calling the winner and 189-141-4 (57%) against the spread.

Below are our College Football Prediction RESULTS for Week 7 2013 relying on YPPSYS, our Yards Per Play System and our FBS Ratings and Rankings of all 125 Teams after Week 6 of the 2013 Season.

Skip the indented material if you are already familiar with it. 
What makes a good prognosticator? Confidence and/or Accuracy?
And how about keeping all those conference changes straight?
Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win
YPPSYS means "yards per play system", as that is our main ranking component, based primarily on stats at cfbstats.com, but we also use schedule difficulty and conference rankings as based on calculations e.g. at Massey Ratings. At YPPSYS, we regard a difference of one rating point to be worth about 7 points on the scoreboard, a calculation, of course, that is not absolute, given home field advantages, etc. We calculate the home field advantage at an average of about 3 points.
The betting lines ("odds" or "spread") used here were taken from the opening line at the College Football Prediction Tracker as of Monday, October 7, 2013, 10:30 AM, or if not found there then, from the opening lines at Oddsshark.com. MIssing odds were added later as the opening line for each game.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Rutgers at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 17 points.
Our call: 40-21 for Louisville.
Result: The Cardinals beat Rutgers 24-10 as Louisville outgained the Scarlet Knights convincingly 461 to 240 yards.
This week we are 1-0 in calling the winner and 0-1 against the spread. 

San Diego State at Air Force
The Aztecs were favored over the Falcons by 5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for San Diego State.
Result: The Aztecs outgained the Falcons 463 to 319 yards in winning 27-20.
This week we are 2-0 in calling the winner and 1-1 against the spread. 

Arizona at USC
The Trojans were favored over the Wildcats by 6 points.
Our call: 28-23 for Southern Cal.
Result: The Trojans won 38-31 in their first game under interim head coach Ed Orgeron, formerly a head coach at Ole Miss, as the team "had fun". That's the key: top talent, top coaching, be disciplined but have fun .... it's a sport.
This week we are 3-0 in calling the winner and 1-2 against the spread. 

Friday, October 11, 2013

Temple at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Owls by 19 points.
Our call: 37-21 for Cincinnati.
Result: The Bearcats beat the Owls 38-20, as Brendon Kay completed 31 of 37 passes for 270 yards and 2 TDs. Cincinnati had otherwise had a tough month due to a heartbreaking tragedy. By the way, we can't remember four opening games of the week where the actual scores were so close to the spread and also to our own call. Just a matter of a point here, a point there. It won't stay that way, you can be sure.
This week we are 4-0 in calling the winner and 2-2 against the spread. 

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Missouri at Georgia
The Bulldogs are favored over Tigers by 11 points.
Our call: 42-27 for Georgia.
Result: The

Oklahoma at Texas
The Sooners are favored over the Longhorns by 11.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Oklahoma.
Result: The

Iowa State at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders are favored over the Cyclones by 17 points.
Our call: 35-23 for Texas Tech.
Result: The

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
The Hokies are favored over the Panthers by 7 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Virginia Tech.
Result: The

South Florida at Connecticut
The Huskies are favored over the Bulls by 6 points.
Our call: 24-23 for South Florida.
Result: The

Indiana at Michigan State
The Spartans are favored over the Hoosiers by 6 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Michigan State.
Result: The

Memphis at Houston
The Cougars are favored over the Tigers by 10.5 points.
Our call: 28-24 for Houston.
Result: The

Eastern Michigan at Army
The Black Knights are favored over the Eagles by 7 points.
Our call: 38-26 for Army.

Nebraska at Purdue
The Huskers are favored over the Boilermakers by 14.5 points.
Our call: 38-23 for the Cornhuskers.
Result: The

Kansas at TCU
The Horned Frogs are favored over the Jayhawks by 24 points.
Our call: 35-14 for TCU.
Result: The

South Carolina at Arkansas
The Gamecocks are favored over the Razorbacks by 7 points.
Our call: 35-23 for South Carolina.
Result: The

Navy at Duke
The Blue Devils are favored over the Midshipmen by 3.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Navy.
Result: The

Western Carolina at Auburn
The Tigers are favored over the Catamounts by 43.5 points.
Our call: 52-10 for Auburn.
Here, just for your info, is how we calculated our call. The Catamounts lost to Middle Tennessee by 21 points 45-24, i.e. 3 TDs, and to Virginia Tech by  42 points 45-3, i.e. 6 TDs, which fits "perfectly" into our rating system, which after the 6th week rates the Hokies at -0.3 rating points and the Blue Raiders at -3.3 points. Since 1 rating point in our system equals 7 points, we can rate Western Carolina at -6.3 points points based on those two scores. Since we rate Auburn at -0.7 rating points, this makes them 5.6 rating points better than the Catamounts, and 5.6 x 7 = 39 scoreboard points plus the ca. 3-point home field advantage makes 42. The Auburn defense is not as good as that of Virginia Tech, so more points will arguably be scored here than in that game by Western Carolina. As more points are scored by both teams, it becomes more and more difficult for the winning team to beat large spreads, so we call the game by 42 points and thus side here with Western Carolina on the spread. Whether it turns out that way or not remains to be seen.
Result: The

Central Michigan at Ohio
The Bobcats are favored over the Chippewas by 10.5 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Ohio.
Result: The

Buffalo at Western Michigan
The Bulls are favored over the Broncos by 7.5 points.
Our call: 30-23 for Buffalo.
Result: The

Miami of Ohio at Massachusetts
The Minutemen are favored over the Redhawks by 2.5 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Massachusetts. Both teams are 0-5 and neither team has scored more than 14 points in any game.
Result: The

Kent State at Ball State
The Cardinals are favored over the Golden Flashes by 11 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Ball State.
Result: The

Boston College at Clemson
The Tigers are favored over the Eagles by 21 points.
Our call: 45-28 for Clemson.
Result: The

Florida at LSU
The Tigers are favored over the Gators by 6.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for LSU.
Result: The

Baylor at Kansas State
The Bears are favored over the Wildcats by 10.5 points.
Our call: 51-24 for Baylor.
Result: The

Northwestern at Wisconsin
The Badgers are favored over the Wildcats by 9.5 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Wisconsin.
Result: The

San Jose State at Colorado State
The game is seen as even.
Our call: 27-26 for Colorado State.
Result: The

Virginia at Maryland
The Terrapins are favored over the Cavaliers by 4 points.
Our call: 31-13 for Maryland.
Result: The

Syracuse at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack is favored over the Orange by 4.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for NC State.
Result: The

Troy at Georgia State
The Trojans are favored over the Panthers by 16 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Troy.
Result: The

East Carolina at Tulane
The Pirates are favored over the Green Wave by 11 points.
Our call: 24-20 for East Carolina.
Result: The

New Mexico at Wyoming
The Cowboys are favored over the Lobos by 10 points.
Our call: 45-33 for Wyoming.
Result: The

Oregon at Washington
The Ducks are favored over the Huskies by 10.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Oregon.
Result: The

Rice at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Owls are favored over the Roadrunners by 3.5 points.
Our call: 28-27 for UTSA.
Result: The

Michigan at Penn State
The Wolverines are favored over the Nittany Lions by 1 point.
Our call: 31-27 for Michigan.
Result: The

Akron at Northern Illinois
The Huskies are favored over the Zips by 21.5 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Northern Illinois.
Result: The

Marshall at Florida Atlantic
The Thundering Herd is favored over the Owls by 13 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Marshall.
Result: The

Stanford at Utah
The Cardinal is favored over the Utes by 10 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Stanford.
Result: The

Alabama at Kentucky
The Crimson Tide is favored over the Wildcats by 27 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Alabama.
Result: The

Middle Tennessee at North Texas
The Mean Green are favored over the Blue Raiders by 4.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for North Texas.
Result: The

Georgia Tech at Brigham Young
The Cougars are favored over the Yellow Jackets by 4 points.
Our call: 30-21 for BYU.
Result: The

Louisiana-Monroe at Texas State
The Bobcats are favored over the Warhawks by 7 points.
Our call: 31-20 for Texas State.
Result: The

Idaho at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves are favored over the Vandals by 24 points.
Our call: 37-28 for Arkansas State.
Result: The

Bowling Green at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs are favored over the Falcons by 8.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Mississippi State.
Result: The

UAB at Florida International FIU
The Blazers are favored over the  Panthers by 7 points.
Our call: 31-24 for FIU.
Result: The

Boise State at Utah State
The Broncos are favored over the Aggies by 7.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Utah State.
Result: The

Hawaii at UNLV
The Rebels are favored over the Warriors by 6.5 points.
Our call: 30-21 for UNLV.
Result: The

Tulsa at UTEP
The Golden Hurricane is favored over the Miners by 10 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Tulsa.
Result: The

Texas A&M at Mississippi
The Aggies are favored over Ole Miss by 5 points.
Our call: 41-31 for Texas A&M.
Result: The

Colorado at Arizona State
The Sun Devils are favored over the Buffaloes by 24 points.
Our call: 38-24 for Arizona State.
Result: The

California at UCLA
The Bruins are favored over the Bears by 23 points.
Our call: 49-24 for UCLA.
Result: The

Oregon State at Washington State
The game is seen as even.
Our call: 34-27 for Washington State.
Result: The

Americans Appreciating Federal Government MORE Thanks to Shutdown

The irony of the government shutdown is that G.O.P. Helps Americans Like Government because many people are seeing more clearly what government DOES and what they are missing when government is not there for them.

There is no real government crisis, just an overly pampered private and corporate financial elite who are not paying their fair share of taxes and have not done so ever since the days of President Reagan.

You can't expect those who have no money to finance American federal spending to maintain the status of the USA as the world's leading military power and so protect those who HAVE the money.

Those who have the bear's share of wealth are going to have to start to pay more for maintenance of the system that ENABLES their income and the preservation of what they have, and this includes the health and education of the working classes who work for them.

Government Shutdown Raises Question of Whether the House of Representatives is Necessary as an Institution

We were just reading about the single legislature in the State of Nebraska, the Unicameral Senate.

Much unnecessary excess federal spending via duplication could be reduced by getting rid of the House of Representatives and reducing Congress to a unicameral Senate.

We can not recall one useful thing that the House has done in recent years except to obstruct the nation's progress.

The Senate is the senior body and is always populated by much better qualified people, so what does the House add positively to federal government? Nothing that we can see.

Legal Bloggers Should Stop Posting on Obscure Topics and Post About Things That are Current: Justice Kennedy on Blogging

The Volokh Conspiracy refers to the WSJ Blog
and to "Justice Kennedy on ... Blogging"

BRASSERIE D'ACHOUFFE Beer and the Registration of Marks through USPTO Examiners as Appealed to the TTAB

You know the location of Achouffe?
It is a tiny village near the municipality of Houffalize.
In Wallonia.
Hey, that's Belgium.
Alles klar?

We live less than a 100 miles from there and had to look it up on Google Maps, never having been there and not knowing the geographic location.
And we drink Belgian beer (sometimes).

See the posting at The TTABlog® in

Test Your TTAB Judge-Ability: Is ACHOUFFE Primarily Geographically Descriptive of Beer?.

The Trademark Trial and Appeal Board (TTAB) overturned the USPTO examiner's decision.


The Shutdown and A Don’s Life as the National Gallery of Art and its Sculpture Garden are Closed to the Public and all Programs Cancelled



The image is from A Don’s Life, which has an interesting commentary....

The Shutdown: What's the end game?

An interesting question already asked a week ago at The Spirit of Enterprise in What's the end game?

The Rogue Appeals Court: The Federal Circuit's Absurd Decisions Continue

The Laboratorium has it right in Slippers and Smartphones:
"The Federal Circuit is,
in the words of my Post editor Tim Lee,
a 'rogue appeals court.' "
Read the rest. It is a short posting and nails the Federal Circuit perfectly.

This is one of the government bodies that should be eliminated altogether -- and NOT replaced -- at great savings to the federal budget.

Forbes Reports on What The Shutdown Has Meant To Taxpayers Thus Far

See the Forbes article at
The View From The Trenches: What The Shutdown Has Meant So Far For Taxpayers.

Creative Use of Social Media by Lawyers

See the blog Sui Generis in Lawyers Get Creative With Use of Social Media.

U.S. Supreme Court Issues Notice that it is Open for Business Next Week

SCOTUSblog has the story at Court open next week.

Frankly, the Supremes should also be shut down without pay so that they can experience the travesty of extremist politics currently being played out in Washington D.C. -- which they have in part helped to create by fostering a climate of division and partisanship in the country.


Bill Richardson's Advice for Congress from A Seasoned Negotiator and a Comment Thereto

One can appreciate Bill Richardson's approach as published in the Washington Post at I’ve made deals with dictators. Here’s my advice for Congress.

However, in this case our attention was drawn to the comment by someone using the alias CountZed:
"Bill,

I've always had fairly warm feelings about you but, this time,you completely fail to understand the situation. Let me put it simply: It is the official policy of the U.S. to never negotiate with terrorists. If there are policy goals the Republicans want to pursue, we have a democratic process for achieving them. Extortion is not included in that process."
In our view, that comment is entirely correct.

The House extremists are trying to subvert the normal legislative process.

They should get ZERO of their demands

and they should be punished to the full extent of the law.


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