"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Monday, October 14, 2019

SportPundit NCAA Division I FBS College Football Rankings 2019 After Week 7

SportPundit NCAA Division I FBS College Football Rankings 2019 After Week 7

YPP stats from cfbstats.com 
Schedule Difficulty (SD) is based on the Massey Ratings
-- but in some cases we have adjusted them and marked those by an asterisk * (* = adjusted), especially where a much lower-ranked FCS opponent could skew this stat. Schedule Difficulty stats are still rough approximations at this stage of the season - just compare the ColleyMatrix to see how much they can diverge.
NAYPPA = Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage - Calculation by SportPundit. AYPP = Adjusted Yards Per Play. The Rank calculation is made by taking NAYPPA minus the "calibration adjustment for schedule difficulty" CSD (3 x SD divided by 100).

The system is not perfect! But it gives a good idea of the relative strengths of many of the teams without looking at the margin of victory or won-loss records against varied opposition and under various circumstances. Some placements are curious, but on the  whole, the rankings are quite useful.

SportPundit NCAA Division I FBS College Football Rankings 2019 after Week 7

Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
1 Oklahoma 9.56 5.21 +4.35    33 -0.99 +3.36 6-0
2 Ohio State 7.31 3.69 +3.62    26 -0.78 +2.84 6-0
3 Alabama 8.07 4.74 +3.33    17 -0.51 +2.82 6-0
4 LSU 8.01 4.64 +3.37    31 -0.93 +2.44 6-0
5 Oregon 6.54 3.94 +2.60    16 -0.48 +2.12 5-1
6 Clemson 6.87 4.00 +2.87    36 -1.08 +1.79 6-0
7 Penn State 6.60 3.83 +2.77    38 -1.14 +1.63 6-0
8 Wisconsin 6.31 3.06 +3.25    58 -1.74 +1.51 6-0
9 Georgia 7.25 4.44 +2.81    57 -1.71 +1.10 5-1
10 UCF 7.01 4.31 +2.70    55 -1.65 +1.05 4-2
11 Utah 7.15 4.79 +2.36    44 -1.32 +1.04 5-1
12 Notre Dame 6.95 4.95 +2.00    35 -1.05 +0.95 5-1
13 Florida 6.39 5.20 +1.19  *10 -0.30 +0.89 6-1
14 Auburn 5.92 4.95 +0.97      3 -0.09 +0.88 5-1
15 Texas A&M 5.94 5.10 +0.84      9 -0.27 +0.57 3-3
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
16 USC 6.32 5.76 +0.56      2 -0.06 +0.50 3-3
17 Iowa 5.62 4.58 +1.04    20 -0.60 +0.44 4-2
18 South Carolina 5.83 5.33 +0.50      5 -0.15 +0.35 3-3
19 Cincinnati 5.68 5.00 +0.68    11 -0.33 +0.35 5-1
20 Washington 6.34 5.28 +1.06    25 -0.75 +0.31 5-2
21 Michigan State 5.26 4.74 +0.52      7 -0.21 +0.31 4-3
22 Pittsburgh 5.04 4.35 +0.69    14 -0.42 +0.27 4-2
23 Oklahoma St. 6.73 5.52 +1.21    34 -1.02 +0.19 4-2
24 Michigan 5.64 4.20 +1.44    43 -1.29 +0.15 5-1
25 Missouri 6.17 4.04 +2.13    66 -1.98 +0.15 5-1
26 Baylor 6.98 4.79 +2.19  *70 -2.10 +0.09 6-0
27 Iowa State 6.78 4.60 +2.18  *70 -2.10 +0.08 4-2
28 Boise State 6.45 5.08 +1.37  *45 -1.35 +0.02 6-0
29 Arizona State 6.12 5.06 +1.06  *35 -1.05 +0.01 5-1
30 Texas 6.00 6.38  -0.38      4 -0.12 *0.00 4-2
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
31 Washington St. 8.09 6.42 +1.67     59 -1.77 -0.10 3-3
32 Utah State 6.00 5.07 +0.93     37 -1.11 -0.18 3-2
33 North Carolina 5.72 5.74  -0.02       8 -0.24 -0.26 3-3
34 Miami of Florida 6.25 4.60 +1.65     67 -2.01 -0.36 3-3
35 Tulane 6.93 4.90 +2.03    80 -2.40  -0.37 5-1
36 Memphis 7.01 4.87 +2.14     86 -2.58 -0.44 5-1
37 California 4.95 5.01  -0.06     13 -0.39 -0.45 4-2
38 SMU 6.12 5.15 +0.97   *50 -1.50 -0.53 6-0
39 Minnesota 6.22 4.87 +1.35     63 -1.89 -0.54 6-0
40 Hawaii 6.70 5.86 +0.84     46 -1.38 -0.54 4-2
41 West Virginia 4.89 5.18  -0.29     12 -0.36 -0.65 3-3
42 Arizona 6.91 6.09 +0.82     50 -1.50 -0.68 4-2
43 TCU 5.82 4.64 +1.18     62 -1.86 -0.68 3-2
44 Mississippi 5.87 5.81 +0.06   *25 -0.75 -0.69 3-4
45 Florida State 5.67 5.52 +0.15   *30 -0.90 -0.75 3-3
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
46 Texas Tech 6.12 5.98 +0.14     30 -0.90 -0.76 3-3
47 BYU 5.56 5.78  -0.22     19 -0.57 -0.79 2-4
48 Appalachian St. 6.38 5.69 +0.69   *50 -1.50 -0.81 5-0
49 Louisiana-Laf. 7.15 5.06 +2.09 *100 -3.00 -0.91 4-2
50 Louisville 6.94 5.82 +1.12     68 -2.04 -0.92 4-2
51 Air Force 6.12 5.25 +0.87     60 -1.80 -0.93 4-2
52 Virginia 5.25 4.53 +0.72     56 -1.68 -0.96 4-2
53 Navy 6.24 4.77 +1.47     81 -2.43 -0.96 4-1
54 Wake Forest 6.33 5.98 +0.35   *45 -1.35 -1.00 5-1
55 Stanford 5.22 6.23  -1.01       1  0.00 -1.01 3-3
56 Nebraska 5.65 5.39 +0.26   *45 -1.35 -1.09 4-3
57 Duke 5.18 5.04 +0.14     41 -1.23 -1.09 4-2
58 Northwestern 3.95 4.82  -0.87     10 -0.30 -1.17 1-4
59 Fresno State 5.80 5.14 +0.66     51 -1.83 -1.17 2-3
60 Kentucky 5.57 5.89  -0.32   *30 -0.90 -1.22 3-3
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
61 Mississippi State 5.83 6.20  -0.37     29 -0.87 -1.24 3-3
62 Oregon State 6.24 6.32  -0.08     39 -1.17 -1.25 2-4
63 Indiana 6.16 4.51 +1.65     98 -2.94 -1.29 4-2
64 Maryland 6.11 5.47 +0.64     69 -2.01 -1.37 3-3
65 Houston 6.18 6.86  -0.68     24 -0.72 -1.40 2-4
66 San Diego State 4.45 4.41 +0.04   *50 -1.50 -1.46 5-1
67 Temple 5.62 4.38 +1.24   *90 -2.70 -1.46 5-1
68 Tennessee 5.58 5.30 +0.28     53 -1.77 -1.49 2-4
69 Purdue 5.53 6.20  -0.67     28 -0.84 -1.51 2-4
70 Kansas 6.01 5.79 +0.22     61 -1.83 -1.61 2-4
71 Wyoming 5.76 5.00 +0.76     84 -2.52 -1.76 4-2
72 UCLA 5.41 7.01  -1.60       6 -0.18 -1.78 1-5
73 Southern Miss 6.93 6.40 +0.53     79 -2.37 -1.84 4-2
74 Colorado 5.79 6.87  -1.08     27 -0.81 -1.89 3-3
75 NC State 5.45 4.60 +0.85     92 -2.76 -1.91 4-2
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
76 Syracuse 5.04 5.78  -0.74   *40 -1.20 -1.94 3-3
77 Western Michigan 6.69 5.77 +0.92     96 -2.88 -1.96 4-3
78 Tulsa 4.85 5.48  -0.63   *45 -1.35 -1.98 2-4
79 Kansas State 5.75 6.14  -0.39     54 -1.62 -2.01 3-2
80 North Texas 5.95 5.86 +0.09   *70 -2.10 -2.01 2-4
81 Marshall 6.17 5.65 +0.52   *85 -2.55 -2.03 3-3
82 Toledo 6.48 6.16 +0.32   *80 -2.40 -2.084-2
83 Boston College 6.25 6.27  -0.02   *70 -2.40 -2.12 3-3
84 Florida Atlantic 5.30 6.07  -0.77   *45 -1.35 -2.12 4-2
85 Arkansas State 6.34 6.42  -0.08     70 -2.10 -2.18 3-3
86 UAB 6.06 4.34 +1.72   130 -3.90 -2.18 5-1
87 Virginia Tech 5.50 5.49 +0.01   *75 -2.25 -2.24 4-2
88 Middle Tennessee 6.19 6.48  -0.29     65 -1.95 -2.24 2-4
89 Georgia Southern 4.59 5.96  -1.37   *30 -0.90 -2.27 2-3
90 Colorado St. 6.56 5.87 +0.69 *100 -3.00 -2.312-5
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
91 Louisiana Tech 6.49 5.08 +1.41   124 -3.72 -2.31 5-1
92 Ball State 5.51 5.39 +0.12   *85 -2.55 -2.43 3-3
93 Arkansas 5.82 5.77 +0.05     83 -2.49 -2.44 2-4
94 Georgia Tech 4.93 5.59  -0.66   *60 -1.80 -2.46 1-5
95 Troy 5.95 6.33  -0.38   *70 -2.70 -2.48 2-3
96 San Jose State 6.06 5.73 +0.33   *95 -2.85 -2.52 3-3
97 Liberty 6.06 5.89 +0.17   *90 -2.70 -2.53 4-2
98 Northern Illinois 5.63 5.98  -0.32     77 -2.31 -2.63 2-4
99 Vanderbilt 5.08 7.22  -2.14   *20 -0.60 -2.74 1-5
100 Ohio 6.10 6.44  -0.34   *80 -2.40 -2.74 2-4
101 Central Michigan 5.73 5.51 +0.21 *100 -3.00 -2.79 4-3
102 Buffalo 5.12 5.12 +0.00   *95 -2.85 -2.85 2-4
103 South Florida 5.37 5.02 +0.35 *107 -3.21 -2.86 3-3
104 Georgia State 5.85 6.93  -1.08   *60 -1.80 -2.88 4-2
105 Nevada 4.92 6.32  -1.40   *50 -1.50 -2.90 4-2
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
106 Coastal Carolina 6.02 5.17 +0.85   125 -3.75 -2.90 3-3
107 Kent State 5.43 6.06  -0.63   *80 -2.40 -3.03 3-3
108 Army 5.12 5.17  -0.05 *100 -3.00 -3.05 3-2
109 Illinois 4.84 5.94  -1.10   *65 -1.95 -3.05 2-4
110 Rice 4.48 6.36  -1.88     40 -1.20 -3.08 0-6
111 Louisiana Monroe 6.21 6.63  -0.42     90 -2.70 -3.12 3-3
112 Western Kentucky 4.91 4.72 +0.19   111 -3.33 -3.14 4-2
113 Miami of Ohio 4.07 5.83  -1.76     47 -1.41 -3.17 2-4
114 Charlotte 6.48 6.40 +0.08   110 -3.30 -3.22 2-4
115 Texas State 4.76 5.68  -0.92   *77 -2.31 -3.23 2-4
116 UNLV 5.09 6.14  -1.05     75 -2.25 -3.30 2-4
117 South Alabama 4.95 5.97  -1.02   *80 -2.40 -3.42 1-5
118 Florida Int'l FIU 5.96 5.84  +0.12   122 -3.66 -3.54 3-3
119 Eastern Michigan 5.31 6.25  -0.94   *90 -2.70 -3.64 3-3
120 New Mexico State 5.16 6.79  -1.63     71 -2.13 -3.76 0-7
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L
121 East Carolina 5.19 5.21  -0.02 *125 -3.75 -3.77 3-3
122 Rutgers 4.51 6.22  -1.71     72 -2.16 -3.87 1-5
123 New Mexico 5.96 6.89  -0.93 *100 -3.00 -3.93 2-4
124 Bowling Green 4.74 6.83  -2.09   *70 -2.10 -4.19 2-4
125 UTSA 4.63 6.47  -1.84   *80 -2.40 -4.23 2-4
126 Old Dominion 3.98 5.23  -1.25 *100 -3.00 -4.25 1-5
127 Connecticut 4.49 6.91  -2.42   *80 -2.40 -4.82 1-5
128 UTEP 4.95 6.34  -1.39 *115 -3.45 -4.84 1-4
129 Massachusetts 4.33 7.70  -3.37   *50 -1.50 -4.87 1-6
130 Akron 4.71 6.07  -1.36 *120 -3.60 -4.96 0-6
Rank Team Ypp Off Ypp Def NAYPPA    SD   CSD  AYPP W-L