"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Monday, November 05, 2018

College Football Predictions Week 11 NCAA Division I FBS, November 6 to November 10, 2018

College Football Predictions Week 11 NCAA Division I FBS, November 6 to November 10, 2018

For Week 10 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:
45-17 in picking the winner,
35-24-3 against the spread,
36-25 against the CFPT average, and
31-31 against the over/under.
 
For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
472-162 in picking the winner,
303-314-16 against the spread,
251-278 against the CFPT average, and
326-297-10 against the over/under.


See our Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week, Monday, November 5, 2018,  9:33:40 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

TUESDAY, November 6, 2018

Kent State at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Golden Flashes by 21.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 24.36 points.
The over/under was 40.5 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Buffalo.
Result: ?? won ??.

WEDNESDAY, November 7, 2018

Ohio at Miami of Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Redhawks by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 4.08 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Ohio.
Result: ?? won ??.

Toledo at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Rockets by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 1.27 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 24-21 for Northern Illinois.
Result: ?? won ??.

THURSDAY, November 8, 2018

Wake Forest at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Demon Deacons by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 15.69 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-24 for NC State.
Result: ?? won ??.

FRIDAY, November 9, 2018

Louisville at Syracuse
The Orange were favored over the Cardinals by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Syracuse by 21.92 points.
The over/under was 67.5 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Syracuse.
Result: ?? won ??.

Fresno State at Boise State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Broncos by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 2.29 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Fresno State.
Result: ?? won ??.

SATURDAY, November 10, 2018

Akron at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Zips by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 9.62 points.
The over/under was 44.5 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

BYU at Massachusetts
The Cougars were favored over the Minutemen by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored BYU by 11.76 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 41-24 for BYU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Illinois at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers were favored over the Fighting Illini by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Huskers by 11 points.
The over/under was 69 points.
Our call: 44-24 for Nebraska.
Result: ?? won ??.

Kansas at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Jayhawks by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kansas State by 9.95 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 37-23 for Kansas State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Lafayette (FCS) at  Army
The Black Knights were favored over the Leopards by ?? points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 49-0 for Army.
Result: ?? won ??.

Maryland at Indiana
The Hoosiers were favored over the Terrapins by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Maryland by 0.61 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Maryland.
Result: ?? won ??.

Mississippi at Texas A&M
The Aggies were favored over the Rebels by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 10.95 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 38-37 for Texas A&M.
Result: ?? won ??.

Navy at UCF
The Knights were favored over the Midshipmen by 25 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Central Florida by 27.61 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 48-17 for UCF.
Result: ?? won ??.

Ohio State at Michigan State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Spartans by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 1.78 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Ohio State.
Result: ?? won ??.

South Carolina at Florida
The Gators were favored over the Gamecocks by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 4.67 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Florida.
Result: ?? won ??.

SMU (Southern Methodist U) at Connecticut (UConn)
The Mustangs were favored over the Huskies by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored SMU by 16.35 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 48-17 for SMU.
Result: ?? won ??.

TCU at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Horned Frogs by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 12.63 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 38-24 for West Virginia.
Result: ?? won ??.

Tulsa at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 13.89 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 45-24 for Memphis.
Result: ?? won ??.

Vanderbilt at Missouri
The Tigers were favored over the Commodores by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mizzou by 14.06 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 38-27 for Missouri.
Result: ?? won ??.

Wisconsin at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Badgers by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 9.70 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Penn State.
Result: ?? won ??.

North Carolina at Duke 
The Blue Devils were favored over the Tar Heels by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 16.84 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Duke.
Result: ?? won ??.

Troy at Georgia Southern
The Eagles were favored over the Trojans by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Southern by 0.98 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 35-24 for Troy.
Result: ?? won ??.

UCLA at Arizona State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Bruins by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 14.35 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 38-23 for Arizona State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Charlotte at Marshall
The Thundering Herd were favored over the 49ers by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 13.97 points.
The over/under was 44 points.
Our call: 30-17 for Marshall.
Result: ?? won ??.

Bowling Green at Central Michigan
The Chippewas were favored over the Falcons by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Central Michigan by 9.58 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Central Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

Liberty at Virginia
The Cavaliers were favored over the Flames by 23.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia by 18.96 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 35-17 for Virginia.
Result: ?? won ??.

Middle Tennessee at UTEP 
The Blue Raiders were favored over the Miners by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored MTSU by 17.04 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 35-17 for MTSU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Baylor at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Bears by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 15.35 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Iowa State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Michigan at Rutgers
The Wolverines were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 37 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 36.22 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 45-6 for Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

Mississippi State at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Bulldogs by 24 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 21.66 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 38-13 for Alabama.
Result: ?? won ??.

New Mexico at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Lobos by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Air Force by 12.35 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Air Force.
Result: ?? won ??.

North Texas at Old Dominion
The Mean Green were favored over the Monarchs by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored North Texas by 18.28 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 44-24 for North Texas.
Result: ?? won ??.

Northwestern at Iowa
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Wildcats by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 10.35 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 30-20 for Iowa.
Result: ?? won ??.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Cowboys by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 19.80 points.
The over/under was 76.5 points.
Our call: 49-27 for Oklahoma.
Result: ?? won ??.

Purdue at Minnesota
The Boilermakers were favored over the Golden Gophers by 12.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 12.43 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Purdue.
Result: ?? won ??.

Kentucky at Tennessee
The Wildcats were favored over the Volunteers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Kentucky by 9.50 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Kentucky.
Result: ?? won ??.

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
The Panthers were favored over the Hokies by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Pittsburgh by 5.07 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Pittsburgh.
Result: ?? won ??.

Washington State at Colorado
The Cougars were favored over the Buffaloes by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 7.20 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 35-27 for Washington State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Appalachian State at Texas State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Bobcats by 21.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 23.67 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 44-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: ?? won ??.

East Carolina at Tulane
The Green Wave were favored over the Pirates by 15.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Tulane by 15.41 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Tulane.
Result: ?? won ??.

San Jose State at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Spartans by 29.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 33.12 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 49-14 for Utah State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
The Red Raiders were favored over the Chanticleers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 1.89 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Arkansas State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Georgia State at Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL)
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Panthers by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisiana by 12.77 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 44-20 for Louisiana.
Result: ?? won ??.

Louisiana-Monroe (ULM) at South Alabama
The Warhawks were favored over the Jaguars by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UL Monroe by 5.37 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Louisiana Monroe.
Result: ?? won ??.

Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (FAU)
The Owls were favored over the Hilltoppers by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FAU by 18.93 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 41-21 for Florida Atlantic.
Result: ?? won ??.

Oregon at Utah
The Utes were favored over the Ducks by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah by 10.99 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Utah.
Result: ?? won ??.

Auburn at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Tigers by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 15.71 points.
The over/under was 50.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Georgia.
Result: ?? won ??.

Florida International (FIU) at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Panthers were favored over the Roadrunners by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FIU by 9.15 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for FIU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Miami of Florida at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Hurricanes by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 0.96 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-24 for Georgia Tech.
Result: ?? won ??.

Rice at Louisiana Tech
The Bulldogs were favored over the Owls by 25 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisiana Tech by 26.41 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: ?? won ??.

South Florida (USF) at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Bulls by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincy by 14.44 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Cincinnati.
Result: ?? won ??.

Temple at Houston
The Cougars were favored over the Owls by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 2.89 points.
The over/under was 69 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Temple.
Result: ?? won ??.

Florida State at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Seminoles by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 20.82 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Notre Dame.
Result: ?? won ??.

LSU at Arkansas
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 22.12 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 34-17 for LSU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Texas at Texas Tech
The Longhorns were favored over the Red Raiders by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 2.46 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Texas.
Result: ?? won ??.

Southern Mississippi at UAB
The Blazers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 15.12 points.
The over/under was ?? points.
Our call: 38-21 for UAB.
Result: ?? won ??.

Clemson at Boston College
The Tigers were favored over the Eagles by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 16.37 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Clemson.
Result: ?? won ??.

Oregon State at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Beavers by 22.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 25.22 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 42-21 for Stanford.
Result: ?? won ??.

California at USC (Southern Cal)
The Trojans were favored over the Golden Bears by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 7.36 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Southern Cal.
Result: ?? won ??.

Colorado State at Nevada
The Wolf Pack were favored over the Rams by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Nevada by 14.18 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our call: 38-27 for Nevada.
Result: ?? won ??.

UNLV at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Rebels by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 22.29 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 38-9 for San Diego State.
Result: ?? won ??.

SportPundit Raw Yards Per Play FBS Rankings (After Week 10 of Play, 2018)

SportPundit Raw Yards Per Play FBS Rankings (After Week 10 of Play, 2018)

These rankings MUST be adjusted according to schedule difficulty, which can make a big ranking difference, but each reader can make that adjustment according to his preference. The data are based on data found at cfbstats.com.

The table below lists all 130 FBS college football teams in NCAA Division 1 ranked by Yards Per Play (offense minus defense = total ypp difference). We call this parameter NAYPPA (Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage).

TABLE : YPP RAW DATA RANKING - Games through November 3, 2018

RANK     TEAM                 Offense ypp     Defense ypp     Difference ypp


1

Alabama

8.17 ypp

4.56 ypp

3.61 ypp

2

Clemson

7.59

4.00

3.59

3

Oklahoma

8.88 ypp

5.36 ypp

3.52

4

Michigan

6.21

3.73

2.48

5

Appalachian St

6.60

4.31

2.29

6

Georgia

6.98

4.77

2.21

7

Mississippi St

6.49

4.30

2.19

8

Utah State

6.68

4.64

2.04

9

Memphis

7.69

5.73

1.96

10

West Virginia

7.36

5.41

1.95

11

UAB

6.41

4.51

1.90

12

UCF

7.09

5.31

1.78

13

Fresno State

6.29

4.52

1.77

14

Cincinnati

6.03

4.28

1.75

15

Houston

7.21

5.57

1.64

16

Miami (Florida)

5.66

4.06

1.60

17

Notre Dame

6.07

4.56

1.51

18

Penn State

6.35

4.85

1.50

19

Troy

6.50

5.07

1.43

20

Washington St

6.40

5.01

1.39

21

North Texas

6.37

5.03

1.34

22

Purdue

6.90

5.58

1.32

23

Utah

6.00

4.69

1.31

24

Washington

5.99

4.70

1.29

25

Oklahoma St

6.54

5.44

1.10

26

San Diego St

5.47

4.40

1.07

27

Maryland

5.97

4.91

1.06

28

Mississippi

7.46

6.40

1.06

29

Arizona State

6.38

5.37

1.01

30

Boston College

5.81

4.83

0.98

31

Temple

5.59

4.61

0.98

32

Iowa State

5.71

4.74

0.97

33

Ohio State

6.75

5.82

0.93

34

Wisconsin

6.60

5.67

0.93

35

Georgia Tech

6.59

5.70

0.89

36

South Florida

6.59

5.76

0.83

37

Southern Miss

5.53

4.70

0.83

38

Buffalo

5.82

5.01

0.81

39

Arizona

6.25

5.48

0.77

40

Kentucky

5.55

4.80

0.75

41

TCU

5.61

4.86

0.75

42

Iowa

5.43

4.70

0.73

43

Florida

5.91

5.20

0.71

44

Ohio

6.98

6.31

0.67

45

Auburn

5.61

4.95

0.66

46

South Carolina

6.06

5.42

0.64

47

USC

5.84

5.24

0.60

48

Oregon

5.95

5.42

0.53

49

Boise State

6.26

5.75

0.51

50

Florida Int’l

6.18

5.70

0.48

51

California

5.27

4.80

0.47

52

Nevada

5.95

5.50

0.45

53

Marshall

5.24

4.82

0.42

54

Nebraska

6.37

5.96

0.41

55

E. Michigan

5.51

5.14

0.37

56

Virginia

5.73

5.37

0.36

57

Colorado

5.78

5.42

0.36

58

Toledo

6.33

5.97

0.36

59

Miami (Ohio)

5.49

5.14

0.35

60

Missouri

6.09

5.77

0.32

61

NC State

6.18

5.91

0.27

62

Stanford

6.00

5.74

0.26

63

Duke

5.62

5.39

0.23

64

Vanderbilt

6.02

5.83

0.19

65

Florida State

5.15

4.97

0.18

66

Michigan State

5.00

4.84

0.16

67

W. Michigan

6.26

6.11

0.15

68

Florida Atl.

6.09

5.94

0.15

69

Virginia Tech

6.00

5.87

0.13

70

Arkansas St

6.08

5.98

0.10

71

Akron

4.93

4.84

0.09

72

BYU

5.14

5.06

0.08

73

Wyoming

4.98

4.93

0.05

74

GA Southern

5.72

5.67

0.05

75

LSU

5.13

5.10

0.03

76

Texas A&M

6.03

6.03

0.00

77

Texas Tech

6.12

6.12

0.00

78

UMass

6.56

6.56

0.00

79

Texas State

5.22

5.23

-0.01

80

Louisiana-Laf.

6.69

6.71

-0.02

81

Syracuse

5.82

5.86

-0.04

82

Texas

5.61

5.67

-0.06

83

Louisiana Tech

5.35

5.42

-0.07

84

Tulane

5.58

5.69

-0.11

85

Pittsburgh

5.85

6.04

-0.19

86

SMU

5.17

5.40

-0.23

87

UL Monroe

6.21

6.51

-0.30

88

Hawaii

6.22

6.54

-0.32

89

North Carolina

5.56

5.89

-0.33

90

Mid Tennessee

5.23

5.60

-0.37

91

Air Force

5.32

5.70

-0.38

92

Tulsa

5.13

5.56

-0.43

93

Indiana

5.38

5.83

-0.45

94

Arkansas

5.50

5.96

-0.46

95

Tennessee

5.35

5.83

-0.48

96

N. Illinois

4.17

4.66

-0.49

97

W. Kentucky

5.17

5.72

-0.55

98

Ball State

5.22

5.80

-0.58

99

Baylor

5.94

6.54

-0.60

100

UCLA

5.17

5.78

-0.61

101

Charlotte

4.76

5.44

-0.68

102

Minnesota

5.62

6.33

-0.71

103

Liberty

5.83

6.56

-0.73

104

East Carolina

4.93

5.68

-0.75

105

Old Dominion

5.85

6.60

-0.75

106

Illinois

6.20

7.01

-0.81

107

Army

5.25

6.09

-0.84

108

New Mexico

5.27

6.13

-0.86

109

Coast. Carolina

6.23

7.12

-0.89

110

Kansas State

5.16

6.06

-0.90

111

Northwestern

4.55

5.50

-0.95

112

C. Michigan

3.97

4.92

-0.95

113

New Mexico St

5.17

6.12

-0.95

114

Wake Forest

5.31

6.29

-0.98

115

San Jose State

4.67

5.77

-1.10

116

Kent State

5.12

6.23

-1.11

117

Kansas

4.96

6.12

-1.16

118

UTEP

4.83

6.03

-1.20

119

Colorado State

5.46

6.78

-1.32

120

UNLV

5.25

6.64

-1.39

121

Navy

5.27

6.79

-1.52

122

S. Alabama

5.02

6.54

-1.52

123

Louisville

5.02

6.79

-1.77

124

Bowling Green

5.20

7.00

-1.80

125

Rutgers

4.19

6.02

-1.83

126

Georgia State

5.66

7.64

-1.98

127

Oregon State

5.29

7.35

-2.06

128

Rice

4.79

7.10

-2.31

129

UTSA

3.75

6.23

-2.48

130

Connecticut

5.61

8.91

-3.30