"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

College Football Predictions Week 10 NCAA Division I FBS October 30 to November 4, 2018

College Football Predictions Week 10 NCAA Division I FBS October 30 to November 4, 2018

For Week 9 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:
34-22 in picking the winner,
26-30 against the spread,
24-31 against the CFPT average, and
27-29 against the over/under.
 
For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
427-145 in picking the winner,
268-290-13 against the spread,
215-253 against the CFPT average, and
295-266-10 against the over/under.

See our Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week, Monday, October 29, 2018, 5:37:26 PM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.


Recall that we use opening lines where possible.

TUESDAY, October 30, 2018

Kent State at Bowling Green
The opening line saw the game as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Bowling Green by 1.32 points.
The opening over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 33-30 for Kent State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Miami of Ohio at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Redhawks by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 9.88 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 30-24 for Buffalo.
Result: ?? won ??.

WEDNESDAY, October 31, 2018

Ball State at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Cardinals by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 18.24 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 37-23 for Toledo.
Result: ?? won ??.

THURSDAY, November 1, 2018

Northern Illinois at Akron
The Huskies were favored over the Zips by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 4.11 points.
The over/under was 39 points.
Our call: 16-13 for Akron.
Result: ?? won ??.

Ohio at Western Michigan
The opening line saw the game as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 0.04 points.
The over/under was 65 points.
Our call: 38-35 for Ohio.
Result: ?? won ??.

Temple at UCF
The Knights were favored over the Owls by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 11.73 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for UCF.
Result: ?? won ??.

FRIDAY, November 2, 2018

Pittsburgh at Virginia
The Cavaliers were favored over the Panthers by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia by 7.27 points.
The over/under was 50.5 points.
Our call: 33-27 for Virginia.
Result: ?? won ??.

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennesse
The Blue Raiders were favored over the Hilltoppers by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Middle Tennessee by 17.66 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 38-17 for MTSU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Colorado at Arizona
The Wildcats were favored over the Buffaloes by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona by 2.18 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Arizona.
Result: ?? won ??.

SATURDAY, November 3, 2018

Air Force at Army
The Black Knights were favored over the Falcons by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Army by 14.52 points.
The over/under was 45.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Army.
Result: ?? won ??.

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Chippewas by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 14.61 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 28-17 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

Syracuse at Wake Forest
The Orange were favored over the Demon Deacons by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Syracuse by 6.25 points.
The over/under was 75 points.
Our call: 40-33 for Syracuse.
Result: ?? won ??.

Iowa State at Kansas
The Cyclones were favored over the Jayhawks by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 14.97 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Iowa State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Louisville at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Cardinals by 37 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 40.83 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 49-13 for Clemson.
Result: ?? won ??.

Memphis at East Carolina
The Tigers were favored over the Pirates by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 11.41 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 38-27 for Memphis.
Result: ?? won ??.

Michigan State at Maryland
The Spartans were favored over the Terrapins by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 3.37 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 24-20 for Michigan State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Nebraska at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Cornhuskers by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 23.01 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 37-30 for Ohio State. How did we get to only a one TD difference in our prognostication? The Buckeyes are averaging 6.75 yards per play on offense, the Huskeres 6.50 ypp on offense. Ohio State is averaging 5.88 ypp on defense, the Cornhuskers 5.87 ypp on defense. The schedule difficulty of both teams thus far is virtually equivalent. By our system, Ohio State thus looks better by 2.6 points plus the home field advantage, which Kambour calculates as 4.4024 points... makes 7. We would expect about 66 points to be scored. Nebraska could win, but would have to play high-risk all-out offensive football.
Result: ?? won ??.

Oklahoma State at Baylor
The Cowboys were favored over the Bears by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 6.18 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 40-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Rutgers at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 30 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 29.41 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 42-13 for Wisconsin.
Result: ?? won ??.

South Carolina at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Gamecocks by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Carolina by 2.56 points.
The over/under was 65 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Mississippi.
Result: ?? won ??.

Texas A&M at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Aggies by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 2.10 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 24-21 for Auburn.
Result: ?? won ??.

Georgia Tech at North Carolina
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Tar Heels by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 10.20 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 30-27 for North Carolina.
Result: ?? won ??.

San Jose State at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Spartans by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming by 14.24 points.
The over/under was 44 points.
Our call: 28-17 for Wyoming.
Result: ?? won ??.

Texas State at Georgia State
The Panthers were favored over the Bobcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia State by 9.23 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Georgia State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Georgia Southern at Louisiana Monroe
The Eagles were favored over the Warhawks by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Southern by 12.83 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Georgia Southern.
Result: ?? won ??.

Marshall at Southern Mississippi
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Golden Eagles by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 5.21 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Southern Miss
Result: ?? won ??.

South Alabama at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Jaguars by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 15.17 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 42-20 for Arkansas State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Florida State at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Seminoles by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 10.47 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 34-20 for North Carolina State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Iowa at Purdue
The Boilermakers were favored over the Hawkeyes by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 1.66 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Purdue.
Result: ?? won ??.

Kansas State at TCU (Texas Christian U)
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Wildcats by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 8.34 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-17 for TCU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Louisiana Lafayette at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 9.64 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 40-31 for Troy.
Result: ?? won ??.

Liberty at Massachusetts
The Minutemen were favored over the Flames by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Liberty by 1.69 points.
The over/under was 72 points.
Our call: 36-34 for UMass.
Result: ?? won ??.

Minnesota at Illinois
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Fighting Illini by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Minnesota by 9.35 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Minnesota.
Result: ?? won ??.

Navy at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Midshipmen by 12.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincy by 16.35 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Cincinnati.
Result: ?? won ??.

Tulane at South Florida
The Bulls were favored over the Green Wave by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored USF by 7.82 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 36-27 for South Florida.
Result: ?? won ??.

Georgia at Kentucky
The Dawgs were favored over the Wildcats by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 7.04 points.
The over/under was 44 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Georgia.
Result: ?? won ??.

UTEP at Rice
The opening line saw the game as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Rice by 1.45 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 30-23 for UTEP.
Result: ?? won ??.

West Virginia at Texas
The Longhorns were favored over the Mountaineers by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 0.33 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Texas.
Result: ?? won ??.

Boston College at Virginia Tech
The Eagles were favored over the Hokies by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 3.98 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Boston College.
Result: ?? won ??.

Penn State at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Nittany Lions by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 6.75 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 30-23 for Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

Alcorn State (FCS, in Lorman, Mississippi) at New Mexico State
The Aggies were favored over the Braves by 10.5 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Alcorn State. The 7-2 Braves rank 7th in FCS in rushing. The Aggies rank 127th in rushing defense in FBS. See the Alcorn State stats here.
Result: ?? won ??.

Charlotte at Tennessee
The Volunteers were favored over the 49ers by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Vols by 19.96 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 38-13 for Tennessee.
Result: ?? won ??.

Missouri at Florida
The Gators were favored over Mizzou by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 6.19 points.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Florida.
Result: ?? won ??.

Utah at Arizona State
The Utes were favored over the Sun Devils by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah by 7.95 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 31-21 for Utah.
Result: ?? won ??.

Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina
The Mountaineers were favored over the Chanticleers by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 14.97 points.
The over/under was 57 points.
Our call: 41-20 for Appalachian State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Duke at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Blue Devils by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 7.09 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Miami.
Result: ?? won ??.

Houston at SMU
The Cougars were favored over the Mustangs by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 11.72 points.
The over/under was 72 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Houston.
Result: ?? won ??.

Connecticut at Tulsa
The Golden Hurricane were favored over UConn by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Tulsa by 13.78 points.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Tulsa.
Result: ?? won ??.

Notre Dame at Northwestern
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Wildcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 7.59 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Notre Dame.
Result: ?? won ??.

Florida Atlantic (FAU)? at Florida International (FIU)
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Owls by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FIU by 6.01 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 37-27 for FIU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State
The Mississippi State Bulldogs were favored over the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 20.15 points.
The over/under was 44.5 points.
Our call: 31-10 for Mississippi State.
Result: ?? won ??.

UTSA (Texas San Antonio) at UAB
The Blazers were favored over the Roadrunners by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 22.43 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our call: 34-7 for UAB.
Result: ?? won ??.

UCLA at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Bruins by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oregon by 9.09 points.
The over/under was 57 points.
Our call: 31-30 for UCLA.
Result: ?? won ??.

Alabama at LSU
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Tigers by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 9.66 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 34-13 for Alabama.
Result: ?? won ??.

Oklahoma at Texas Tech
The Sooners were favored over the Red Raiders by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 9.30 points.
The over/under was 78 points.
Our call:  48-27 for Oklahoma.
Result: ?? won ??.

Stanford at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Cardinal by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 6.66 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 30-24 for Washington.
Result: ?? won ??.

USC at Oregon State
The Trojans were favored over the Beavers by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 15.76 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for USC.
Result: ?? won ??.

BYU at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Cougars by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 12.52 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 31-20 for Boise State.
Result: ?? won ??.

San Diego State at New Mexico
The Aztecs were favored over the Lobos by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 9.58 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 31-17 for San Diego State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Fresno State at UNLV
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rebels by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 27.64 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 42-14 for Fresno State.
Result: ?? won ??.

California at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Golden Bears by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 13.86 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 30-21 for Washington State.
Result: ?? won ??.

SUNDAY, November 4, 2018

Utah State at Hawaii
The Aggies were favored over the Warriors by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 17.25 points.
The over/under was 70.5 points.
Our call: 42-21 for Utah State.
Result: ?? won ??.