"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Sunday, September 30, 2018

College Football Prediction Results "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

College Football Prediction Results "Week 5" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 27 to September 29

For Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished: 
42-14 in picking the winner,
25-31 against the spread,
24-29 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under. 

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are a cumulative:
268-82 in picking the winner,
159-182-8 against the spread,
114-135 against the CFPT average, and
183-160-6 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week Monday, September 24, 2018, 10:09 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

THURSDAY, September 27, 2018

North Carolina at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Tar Heels by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 21.12 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 35-21 for Miami.
Result: Miami routed North Carolina 47-10.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-0 in picking the winner,
0-1 against the spread,
0-1 against the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.

FRIDAY, September 28, 2018

Memphis at Tulane
The Tigers were favored over the Green Wave by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 12.93 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 44-27 for Memphis.
Result: Tulane upset Memphis 40-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-1 in picking the winner,
0-2 against the spread,
0-2 against the CFPT average, and
1-1 against the over/under. 

UCLA at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Bruins by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 13.28 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Colorado.
Result: Unbeaten Colorado topped the Bruins 38-16.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
2-1 in picking the winner,
0-3 against the spread,
0-3 against the CFPT average, and
1-2 against the over/under. 

SATURDAY, September 29, 2018

Army at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Black Knights by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 0.94 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Buffalo.
Result: Army beat Buffalo 42-13.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
2-2 in picking the winner,
0-4 against the spread,
0-4 against the CFPT average, and
2-2 against the over/under. 

Bowling Green at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Falcons by 25.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 23.13 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 48-14 for Georgia Tech.
Result: Georgia Tech routed Bowling Green 63-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
3-2 in picking the winner,
1-4 against the spread,
1-4 against the CFPT average, and
2-3 against the over/under. 

Central Michigan at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Chippewas by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 27.53 points.
The over/under was 45 points.
Our call: 41-7 for Michigan State.
Result: The Spartans prevailed over the Chippewas 31-20.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
4-2 in picking the winner,
1-5 against the spread,
1-5 against the CFPT average, and
3-3 against the over/under. 

Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Orange by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 19.77 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Clemson.
Result: Syracuse scored a TD in the last minute to edge the orange 27-23.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
5-2 in picking the winner,
2-5 against the spread,
2-5 against the CFPT average, and
4-3 against the over/under. 

Indiana at Rutgers
The Hoosiers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 18 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Indiana.
Result: Indiana relied on to a 24-7 halftime lead to win 24-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
6-2 in picking the winner,
2-6 against the spread,
2-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-4 against the over/under. 

Louisiana Lafyette (ULL) at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 51.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 52.41 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 56-7 for Alabama. If we were to go strictly by our system, we would favor Alabama by 77 points in this game. Obviously, when scores go very high, reserves are sent in to gain play experience, minimizing scoring. Besides, there is no great advantage for a top team to run up a score senselessly, so that any predicted spread beyond 49 points is a risk, even if a team is quite dominant.
Result: The Crimson tide led 49-0 at the half in rolling to a 56-14 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
7-2 in picking the winner,
3-6 against the spread,
3-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-5 against the over/under. 

Oklahoma State at Kansas
The Cowboys were favored over the Jayhawks by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 18.19 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 44-20 for Oklahoma State.
Result: The Cowboys rebounded from last week's loss for a 48-28 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
8-2 in picking the winner,
4-6 against the spread,
4-6 against the CFPT average, and
5-5 against the over/under. 

Temple at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Owls by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 8.82 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Boston College.
Result: The Eagles prevailed over the Owls 45-35.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
9-2 in picking the winner,
5-6 against the spread,
4-7 against the CFPT average, and
5-6 against the over/under. 

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas)
The Aggies were favored over the Razorbacks by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 23.06 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Texas A&M.
Result: Texas A&M snuck past Arkansas 24-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
10-2 in picking the winner,
5-7 against the spread,
4-8 against the CFPT average, and
6-6 against the over/under. 

West Virginia at Texas Tech
The Mountaineers were favored over the Red Raiders by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 2.67 points.
The over/under was 77 points.
Our call: 40-34 for West Virginia.
Result: The Mountaineers led 28-7 after the first quarter and held on for a 42-34 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
11-2 in picking the winner,
6-7 against the spread,
5-8 against the CFPT average, and
7-6 against the over/under. 

Virginia at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Cavaliers by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State  by 9.55 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 30-27 for NC State.
Result: The Wolfpack stayed unbeaten with a 35-21 win over the Cavaliers.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
12-2 in picking the winner,
6-8 against the spread,
5-9 against the CFPT average, and
8-6 against the over/under. 

Louisiana Monroe (ULM) at Georgia State
The Warhawks were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ULM by 2.90 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 45-27 for UL Monroe.
Result: Georgia State romped past the Warhawks 46-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
12-3 in picking the winner,
6-9 against the spread,
5-10 against the CFPT average, and
8-7 against the over/under. 

Massachusetts at Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Minutemen by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 11.78 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 37-36 for Ohio.
Result: Ohio outscored UMass 58-42.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
13-3 in picking the winner,
6-10 against the spread,
5-11 against the CFPT average, and
9-7 against the over/under. 

Kent State at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Golden Flashes by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 2.57 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Ball State.
Result: Ball State walloped Kent State 52-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
14-3 in picking the winner,
6-11 against the spread,
5-12 against the CFPT average, and
9-8 against the over/under. 

Baylor at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Bears by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 23.48 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-20 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma doubled the scoring of the Bears 66-33.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
15-3 in picking the winner,
7-11 against the spread,
6-12 against the CFPT average, and
10-8 against the over/under. 

Cincinnati at Connecticut
The Bearcats were favored over the Huskies by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 14.88 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 42-24 for Cincinnati.
Result: Cincy stayed in the unbeaten ranks with a 49-7 rout of UConn.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
15-3 in picking the winner,
7-11 against the spread,
6-12 against the CFPT average, and
10-8 against the over/under.

Coastal Carolina at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Chanticleers by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 11.46 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Troy.
Result: Troy prevailed over CCU 45-21.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
16-3 in picking the winner,
7-12 against the spread,
6-13 against the CFPT average, and
11-8 against the over/under.

Florida State at Louisville
The Seminoles were favored over the Cardinals by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 2.94 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State topped Louisville 28-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
17-3 in picking the winner,
7-13 against the spread,
7-13 against the CFPT average, and
11-9 against the over/under.

Old Dominion at East Carolina
The Pirates were favored over the Monarchs by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored East Carolina by 11 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Old Dominion.
Result: The Pirates edged Old Dominion 37-35.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
17-4 in picking the winner,
8-13 against the spread,
8-13 against the CFPT average, and
12-9 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at UCF (Central Florida)
The Knights were favored over the Panthers by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 16.53 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 44-27 for UCF.
Result:The unbeaten Knights extended their nation-leading win streak to 17 games with a 45-14 win over Pitt, as McKenzie Milton threw for 4 TDs and ran for two more.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
18-4 in picking the winner,
9-13 against the spread,
9-13 against the CFPT average, and
12-10 against the over/under.

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers were favored over the Huskers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 7.68 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 31-30 for the Cornhuskers. Our stats would predict a Purdue win by about 5 points, but, as a highly biased Nebraska alumnus, we are hoping that the Big Red start to break out of their doldrums.
Result: Purdue stymied the Cornhuskers 42-28. Scott Frost and staff have gone from a fantastic unbeaten season at UCF to a thus far winless season at Nebraska. Having inherited a 4-8 team that lost its last four games last season, the Big Red have now lost a record 8 games in a row. In terms of yardage per play, Nebraska is 5.61 on offense and 5.61 on defense, but the turnover ratio (9 to 3) is poor.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
18-5 in picking the winner,
9-14 against the spread,
9-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-10 against the over/under.

Rice at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Owls by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 25.99 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Wake Forest.
Result: Wake Forest routed Rice 56-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
19-5 in picking the winner,
10-14 against the spread,
10-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-11 against the over/under.

South Alabama at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Jaguars by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 26.80 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 49-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: The Mountaineers led 42-7 at the half in a 52-7 win. Appalachian State barely lost to Penn State to open their season and should clearly be ranked.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
20-5 in picking the winner,
11-14 against the spread,
11-14 against the CFPT average, and
13-12 against the over/under.

Tennessee at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Vols by 33 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 34.13 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 47-7 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia prevailed 38-12.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
21-5 in picking the winner,
11-15 against the spread,
11-15 against the CFPT average, and
13-13 against the over/under.

Texas at Kansas State
The Longhorns were favored over the Wildcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas by 10.19 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Texas.
Result: Texas led 19-0 at the half and held on for a 19-14 squeaker win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
22-5 in picking the winner,
11-16 against the spread,
11-16 against the CFPT average, and
13-14 against the over/under.

Western Michigan at Miami of Ohio
The Redhawks were favored over the Broncos by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 4.89 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Western Michigan.
Result: The Broncos outscored the Redhawks 40-39.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
23-5 in picking the winner,
12-16 against the spread,
12-16 against the CFPT average, and
14-14 against the over/under.

Nevada at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Wolf Pack by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Air Force by 9.04 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 36-34 for Nevada.
Result: Nevada edged Air force 28-25.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
24-5 in picking the winner,
13-16 against the spread,
13-16 against the CFPT average, and
14-15 against the over/under.

Tennessee State (FCS) at Vanderbilt
The Commodores were favored over the Tigers by 30.5 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 45-7 for Vanderbilt.
Result: Vandy was lucky to win 31-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
25-5 in picking the winner,
13-17 against the spread,
13-16 against the CFPT average, and
15-15 against the over/under.

Southern Mississippi at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 29.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 27.73 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 41-10 for Auburn.
Result: Auburn struggled to a 24-13 win.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
26-5 in picking the winner,
13-18 against the spread,
13-17 against the CFPT average, and
16-15 against the over/under.

Michigan at Northwestern
The Wolverines were favored over the Wildcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 10.70 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Michigan.
Result: Michigan came back from a 17-0 deficit to win 20-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
27-5 in picking the winner,
13-19 against the spread,
13-18 against the CFPT average, and
16-16 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Georgia Southern
The Red Wolves were favored over the Eagles by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Red Wolves by 2.89 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 37-23 for Arkansas State.
Result: Georgia Southern topped the Red Wolves 28-21 on a 47-yard run by Wesley Kennedy III with 19 seconds left to play.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
27-6 in picking the winner,
13-20 against the spread,
13-19 against the CFPT average, and
16-17 against the over/under.

Florida at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Gators by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 7.73 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Florida.
Result: Florida prevailed over Mississippi State 13-6.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
28-6 in picking the winner,
14-20 against the spread,
14-19 against the CFPT average, and
16-18 against the over/under.

Liberty at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Flames by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 7.46 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 38-35 for Liberty.
Result: Liberty beat New Mexico 52-43.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-6 in picking the winner,
15-20 against the spread,
15-19 against the CFPT average, and
17-18 against the over/under.

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Huskies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 7.12 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: The game was tied 13-13 after regulaton as Northern Illinois pulled out the win in 3 overtimes 26-23.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
29-7 in picking the winner,
16-20 against the spread,
16-19 against the CFPT average, and
18-18 against the over/under.

Utah at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Utes by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 3.60 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 27-23 for Washington State. According to cfbstats.com, Utah is Number 1 in pass defense and Washington State is Number 2 in pass offense.
Result: Washington State won 28-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
30-7 in picking the winner,
17-20 against the spread,
17-19 against the CFPT average, and
19-18 against the over/under.

Boise State at Wyoming
The Broncos were favored over the Cowboys by 16 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 16.45 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Boise State.
Result: Boise State stopped Wyoming 34-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
31-7 in picking the winner,
17-21 against the spread,
17-20 against the CFPT average, and
20-18 against the over/under.

Charlotte at UAB (Alabama Birmingham)
The Blazers were favored over the 49ers by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 14.74 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 38-17 for UAB.
Result: UAB won 28-7.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
32-7 in picking the winner,
18-21 against the spread,
18-20 against the CFPT average, and
20-19 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Middle Tennessee State (MTSU)
The Owls were favored over the Blue Raiders by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Owls by 3.89 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 34-33 for FAU.
Result: MTSU won 25-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
32-8 in picking the winner,
19-21 against the spread,
19-20 against the CFPT average, and
21-19 against the over/under.

Hawaii (Hawai'i) at San Jose State
The Warriors were favored over the Spartans by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Hawaii by 12.12 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Hawaii.
Result: The game was tied 31-31 after regulation, as Hawaii prevailed 44-41 in 5 overtimes.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
33-8 in picking the winner,
19-22 against the spread,
19-21 against the CFPT average, and
22-19 against the over/under.

Houston Baptist (FCS) at SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Huskies by 39 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 54-14 for SMU.
Result: SMU won 63-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
34-8 in picking the winner,
19-23 against the spread,
19-21 against the CFPT average, and
23-19 against the over/under.

Iowa State at TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Cyclones by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 7.51 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 31-20 for TCU.
Result: TCU edged Iowa State 17-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
35-8 in picking the winner,
19-24 against the spread,
19-22 against the CFPT average, and
23-20 against the over/under.

UTEP (Texas El Paso) at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Roadrunners were favored over the Miners by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UTSA by 15.84 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 31-21 for UTSA.
Result: The Roadrunners beat the Miners 30-21.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-8 in picking the winner,
20-24 against the spread,
20-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-20 against the over/under.

Virginia Tech at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Hokies by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 11.35 points.
The over/under was 50 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Duke.
Result: Virginia Tech beat Duke 31-14.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
36-9 in picking the winner,
20-25 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-21 against the over/under.

Arkansas Pine Bluff (FCS) at Florida International (FIU)
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Golden Lions by 52 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 61-7 for FIU. Arkansas Pine Bluff lost 90-6 to South Dakota State earlier this season so that any guess at a score here is just that.
Result: FIU won 55-9.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-9 in picking the winner,
20-26 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-22 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at North Texas
The Mean Green were favored over the Bulldogs by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Mean Green by 9.98 points.
The over/under was 65 points. How good are the constantly improving and still undefeated Mean Green this year? Louisiana Tech lost by only 17 to LSU last week. Last year North Texas beat the Bulldogs 24-23 on the road. We guess they are one TD better and here have the home field advantage.
Our call: 34-24 for North Texas.
Result: Louisiana Tech upset North Texas 29-27 on a blocked field goal with 33 seconds left to play.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-10 in picking the winner,
20-27 against the spread,
21-23 against the CFPT average, and
25-22 against the over/under.

Marshall at Western Kentucky
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Hilltoppers 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 3.32 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for WKU.
Result: Marshall beat Western Kentucky 20-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-11 in picking the winner,
21-27 against the spread,
22-23 against the CFPT average, and
25-23 against the over/under.

Ohio State at Penn State 
The Buckeyes were favored over the Nittany Lions by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 1.37 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 37-34 for Penn State. Our stats make this an even game, so we go with the home team and its theoretical 3-point home field advantage.
Result: Ohio State overcame a 12-point deficit in the 4th quarter and edged Penn State 27-26.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-12 in picking the winner,
22-27 against the spread,
22-24 against the CFPT average, and
25-24 against the over/under.

South Carolina at Kentucky
The Gamecocks were favored over the Wildcats by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kentucky by 1.44 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Kentucky.
Result: Kentucky topped the Gamecocks 24-10 to go to 5-0.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-12 in picking the winner,
22-27 against the spread,
22-24 against the CFPT average, and
25-24 against the over/under.

Stanford at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Cardinal by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 3.54 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Stanford. Our stats give Notre Dame a slight edge here based on a tougher schedule according to the Massey Ratings, but as a Stanford Law School alum we go with the Cardinal.
Result: Stanford was outgained 541 to 201 yards as Notre Dame topped the Cardinal 38-17.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
37-13 in picking the winner,
22-28 against the spread,
22-25 against the CFPT average, and
26-24 against the over/under.

BYU at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Cougars by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington  by 16.30 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our call: 23-20 for Washington. The stats favor Washington by a substantial margin, but the Cougar win against Wisconsin gives cause for pause. We keep our spread low.
Result: Washington beat BYU 35-7.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
38-13 in picking the winner,
22-29 against the spread,
22-26 against the CFPT average, and
27-24 against the over/under.

Mississippi (Ole Miss) at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Rebels by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 12.54 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 27-26 for LSU.
Result: Unbeaten LSU routed Ole Miss 45-16.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
39-13 in picking the winner,
22-30 against the spread,
22-27 against the CFPT average, and
27-25 against the over/under.

Oregon State at Arizona State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Beavers by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 22.45 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 47-17 for Arizona State.
Result: The Sun Devils beat the Beavers 52-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
40-13 in picking the winner,
23-30 against the spread,
23-27 against the CFPT average, and
28-25 against the over/under.

Oregon at California
The Ducks were favored over the Bears by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cal by 1.96 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Cal.
Result: Oregon beat Cal 42-24.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
40-14 in picking the winner,
23-31 against the spread,
23-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-26 against the over/under.

Toledo at Fresno State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rockets by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 10.01 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Fresno State.
Result: Fresno State beat Toledo 49-27.
Thus far for Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
41-14 in picking the winner,
24-31 against the spread,
24-28 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under.

USC (Southern California) at Arizona
The Trojans were favored over the Wildcats by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored USC by 5.12 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 36-27 for Southern Cal.
Result: USC beat Arizona 24-20.
We finished Week 5 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season as follows:
42-14 in picking the winner,
25-31 against the spread,
24-29 against the CFPT average, and
28-27 against the over/under.