"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

College Football Predictions for September 20 to September 23 "Week 4" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS

College Football Predictions "Week 4" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 20 to September 23

For Week 3 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:


46-20 in picking the winner,
23-41-2 against the spread,
21-27 against the CFPT average, and
37-28-1 against the over/under.

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are an accumulated:
175-57 in picking the winner,
102-121-8 against the spread,
63-78 against the CFPT average, and
127-100-5 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (this week, Monday, September 17, 2018, 11:15 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

THURSDAY, September 20, 2018

Tulsa at Temple
The Owls were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Temple by 8.41 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Temple.
Result: ??

FRIDAY, September 21, 2018

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Central Florida (UCF)
The Knights were favored over the Owls by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 17.65 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 40-27 for UCF.
Result: ??

Penn State at Illinois
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Fighting Illini by 26.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 26.23 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Penn State.
Result: ??

Washington State at USC
The Trojans were favored over the Cougars by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 4.35 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Washington State.
Result: ??

SATURDAY, September 22, 2018

Minnesota at Maryland
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Terrapins by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Minnesota by 4.58 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Minnesota.
Result: ??

Nebraska at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Cornhuskers by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 19.28 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Michigan. Nebraska has strong motivation to put up a good showing in view of the first two forgettable games of the season. Last season the Huskers averaged 5.59 yards per play on offense and 6.34 yards per play on defense. Thus far this season, in spite of two error-plagued losses, the Huskers have averaged 5.88 yards per play on offense and 4.63 yards per play on defense. That is a substantial improvement thus far, albeit against weaker opposition. By our NAYPPA yards-per-play system, that is a ypp shift equivalent to 20 points per game, and, indeed, we had predicted a 3 TD per game improvement this 2018 season for the Big Red, similar to the ca. 3 TD improvement the Frost coaching staff and Knights' players achieved in their first year at UCF. Hence, all is not lost because of disappointing setbacks in the first two games. Huskerland must look forward, despite the fierce Big Ten opposition the team will be facing in upcoming games. There will surely be positive Cornhusker team development. As a Nebraska grad, whose better half is a Michigan grad, we must of course admit that our prognostications are biased ... in both directions. May the best team win!
Result: ??

Boston College at Purdue
The Eagles were favored over the Boilermakers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 10.47 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our call: 34-33 for Purdue.
Result: ??

Buffalo at Rutgers
The Bulls were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 7.35 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Buffalo.
Result: ??

Nevada at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Wolf Pack by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 7.57 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Toledo.
Result: ??

Notre Dame at Wake Forest
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Demon Deacons by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 3.44 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 31-23 for Notre Dame.
Result: ??

Akron at Iowa State
The Cyclones were favored over the Zips by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 15.86 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Iowa State.
Result: ??

Georgia at Missouri
The Dawgs were favored over Mizzou by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 10.28 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Georgia.
Result: ??

Kent State at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Golden Flashes by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ole Miss by 26.24 points.
The over/under was 75.5 points.
Our call: 57-17 for Ole Miss.
Result: ??

Navy at SMU
The Midshipmen were favored over the Mustangs by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 8.63 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 34-31 for SMU.
Result: ??

Ohio at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Bobcats by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 7.06 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 38-14 for Cincinnati.
Result: ??

Pittsburgh at North Carolina
The Panthers were favored over the Tar Heels by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Pittsburgh by 2.5 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for North Carolina.
Result: ??

Louisville at Virginia
The Cavaliers were favored over the Cardinals by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 0.63 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Louisville.
Result: ??

Western Michigan at Georgia State
The Broncos were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 4.02 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Western Michigan.
Result: ??

Western Kentucky at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Hilltoppers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 0.66 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 27-17 for Western Kentucky.
Result: ??

Illinois State (FCS) at Colorado State
The Rams were favored over the Redbirds by 5.5 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Colorado State.
Result: ??

Maine (FCS) at Central Michigan
The Chippewas were favored over the Black Bears by 6 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 20-17 for Maine.
Result: ??

Gardner-Webb (FCS) at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Runnin' Bulldogs by 45 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 56-7 for Appalachian State.
Result: ??

North Carolina Central (FCS) at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Eagles by 46.5 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 54-7 for Duke.
Result: ??

Northern Illinois at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Huskies by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 8.35 points.
The over/under was 43 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Florida State.
Result: ??

Clemson at Georgia Tech
The Tigers were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 15.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 16.98 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 30-24 for Clemson
Result: ??

Charlotte at Massachusetts
The Minutemen were favored over the 49ers by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UMass by 8.96 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 38-27 for UMass.
Result: ??

Florida International (FIU) at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Golden Panthers by 26.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 24.64 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Miami of Florida.
Result: ??

Tulane at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Green Wave by 34 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 34.65 points.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
Our call: 57-7 for Ohio State.
Result: ??

Virginia Tech at Old Dominion
The Hokies were favored over the Monarchs by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 30.77 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 44-10 for Virginia Tech.
Result: ??

Kansas State at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Wildcats by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 8.80 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 41-24 for West Virginia.
Result: ??

Texas A&M at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Aggies by 23.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored 'Bama by 22.40 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Alabama.
Result: ??

Kansas at Baylor
The Bears were favored over the Jayhawks by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Baylor by 10.76 points.
The over/under was 59 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Baylor.
Result: ??

Connecticut at Syracuse
The Orange were favored over UConn by 27.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Syracuse by 24.43 points.
The over/under was 73.5 points.
Our call: 52-24 for Syracuse.
Result: ??

South Carolina at Vanderbilt
The Gamecocks were favored over the Commodores by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average saw the game as even. Take your pick.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for South Carolina.
Result: ??

Arizona at Oregon State
The Wildcats were favored over the Beavers by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona by 4.35 points.
The over/under was 75.5 points.
Our call: 41-40 for Oregon State.
Result: ??

Miami of Ohio at Bowling Green
The Redhawks were favored over the Falcons by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami of Ohio by 4.86 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: ??

TCU at Texas
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Longhorns by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 2.01 points.
The over/under was 50.5 points.
Our call: 30-27 for TCU.
Result: ??

North Texas at Liberty
The Mean Green were favored over the Flames by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored North Texas by 11.33 points.
The over/under was 65 points.
Our call: 38-23 for North Texas.
Result: ??

McNeese State (FCS) at BYU
The Cougars were favored over the Cowboys by 23 points.
The over/under was 39.5 points.
Our call: 34-7 for BYU.
Result: ??

Mississippi State at Kentucky
The Bulldogs were favored over the Wildcats by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 6.12 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 41-23 for Mississippi State.
Result: ??

North Carolina State at Marshall
The Wolfpack were favored over the Thundering Herd by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 9.31 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 34-14 for N.C. State.
Result: ??

Florida at Tennessee
The Gators were favored over the Volunteers by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 5.48 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Florida.
Result: ??

Arkansas at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 24 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 27.95 points.
The over/under was 57 points.
Our call: 34-14 for Auburn.
Result: ??

Louisiana Tech at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Bulldogs by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 22.49 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 41-14 for LSU.
Result: ??

Army at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Black Knights by 33 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 26.08 points.
The over/under was 61 points.
Our call: 61-24 for Oklahoma.
Result: ??

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the Red Raiders by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 16.55 points.
The over/under was 79.5 points.
Our call: 51-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: ??

Rice at Southern Mississippi
The Golden Eagles were favored over the Owls by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Miss by 14.42 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 40-27 for Southern Miss.
Result: ??

Texas State at UTSA
The Roadrunners were favored over the Bpbcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas San Antonio by 11.35 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 37-17 for UTSA.
Result: ??

UNLV at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Rebels by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 11.54 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 41-24 for Arkansas State.
Result: ??

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana Lafayette (ULL)
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Chanticleers by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Coastal Carolina by 2.26 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 38-34 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: ??

Troy at Louisiana Monroe
The Trojans were favored over the Warhawks by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 8.65 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 36-27 for Troy.
Result: ??

Michigan State at Indiana
The Spartans were favored over the Hoosiers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 0.73 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 30-23 for Michigan State.
Result: ??

New Mexico State at UTEP
The Aggies were favored over the Miners by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Aggies by 6.69 points.
The over/under was 52 points.
Our call: 34-17 for New Mexico State.
Result: ??

Stanford at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Cardinal by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 6.10 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call:  27-20 for Stanford.
Result: ??

South Alabama at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Jaguars by 26 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 25.36 points.
The over/under was 69 points.
Our call: 54-17 for Memphis.
Result: ??

Texas Southern (FCS) at Houston
The Cougars were favored over the Tigers by 49.5 points.
The over/under was 56 points.
Our call: 61-7 for Houston.
Result: ??

East Carolina at South Florida (USF)
The Bulls were favored over the Pirates by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Florida by 19.25 points.
The over/under was 64.5 points.
Our call: 44-17 for South Florida.
Result: ??

Wisconsin at Iowa
The Badgers were favored over the Hawkeyes by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 1.23 points.
The over/under was 41.5 points.
Our call: 20-17 for Iowa.
Result: ??

Air Force at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Falcons by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 7.60 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Utah State.
Result: ??

Eastern Michigan at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Eagles by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 10.39 points.
The over/under was 47 points.
Our call: 38-17 for San Diego State.
Result: ??

Arizona State at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Sun Devils by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 15.73 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 31-17 for Washington.
Result: ??
 
SUNDAY, September 23, 2018

Duquesne (FCS) at Hawaii
The Warriors were favored over the Dukes by 37 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 54-13 for Hawaii.
Result: ??