"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Thursday, September 13, 2018

College Football Predictions "Week 3" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 13 to September 15

College Football Predictions "Week 3" 2018 NCAA Division I FBS September 13 to September 15

For Week 2 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we finished:
58-20 in picking the winner,
35-41-2 against the spread,
22-27 against the CFPT average, and
38-39-1 against the over/under.

For the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are an accumulated:
129-37 in picking the winner,
79-80-6 against the spread,
42-51 against the CFPT average, and
90-72-4 against the over/under.


See our previous Week 1 predictions for an explanation of our system.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening betting lines ("the spread", "the line"), as far as possible, and thus write "were favored" or "was favored" since odds change over time. We do not compete against changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We take opening lines primarily from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), Sportbet.com, Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders, except for CFPT, which does not have them. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it (Update of Monday, September 10, 2018, 11:21 AM). The CFPT does not include games between FCS and FBS opponents. The teams are FBS teams unless marked as FCS.

Because of Hurricane Florence, with mandatory coastal evacuations already ordered, and because of weather and sports considerations generally, we link below to weather maps at WeatherUnderground. See CNN's Tracking Florence. See also the NCAA statement on inclement/hazardous weather.

Numerous games are impacted, and more may be added as time goes on. Campbell vs. Coastal Carolina has been moved from Saturday to Wednesday to be played at Campbell. UCF at North Carolina has been cancelled (Maine challenged the "National Champs" UCF to play them instead since their game last year was cancelled). East Carolina at Virginia Tech has been cancelled.West Virginia at North Carolina State (NC State) has been cancelled. Boston College at Wake Forest has been moved from 7:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Ohio at Virginia moved to Nashville, Vanderbilt Stadium. Norfolk State at Liberty has been moved to December 1. Update: ESPN reports that Marshall v. South Carolina has been cancelled. It is possible that more games could be postponed or cancelled after the time that we post our prognostications.

WEDNESDAY, September 12, 2018

Campbell (FCS) at Coastal Carolina
This game has been moved from Saturday to Wednesday and will be played at Campbell rather than Coastal Carolina.
The Chanticleers were favored over the Fighting Camels by 29 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: Coastal Carolina defeated Campbell 58-21.
Thus far for Week 3 of the 2018-2019 FBS College Football Season we are:
1-0 in picking the winner,
1-0 against the spread,
0-0 against the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.

THURSDAY, September 13, 2018
(WeatherUnderground weather forecast map 8 p.m., and wind speed)

Boston College at Wake Forest
Boston College at Wake Forest has been moved from 7:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. 
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Eagles by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 0.92 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-20 for Wake Forest.
Result: ??

Tennessee Tech (FCS) at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Golden Eagles by 42.5 points.
The over/under was 61.5 points.
Our call: 49-7 for Utah State.
Result: ??

FRIDAY, September 14, 2018
(WeatherUnderground weather forecast map 8 p.m. and wind speed)

Georgia State at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Panthers by 22.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 26.41 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Memphis.
Result: ??

SATURDAY, September 15, 2018
(WeatherUnderground weather forecast map 8 p.m. and wind speed)

Oklahoma at Iowa State
The Sooners were favored over the Cyclones by 16.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 15.15 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 34-17 for Oklahoma.
Result: ??

Kent State at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Golden Flashes by 37 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 42.81 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 49-6 for Penn State.
Result: ??

UCF (Central Florida) at North Carolina
Game cancelled due to Hurricane Florence. 
(Maine challenged the "National Champs" UCF to play them instead since their game last year was cancelled) 
The Knights were favored over the Tar Heels by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 14.31 points.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
Our call: 48-14 for UCF.

Miami of Florida at Toledo
The Hurricanes were favored over the Rockets by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami of Florida by 5 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Miami of Florida.
Result: ??

Rhode Island (FCS) at Connecticut (UConn)
The Huskies were favored over the Rams by 10 points.
The over/under was 60.5 points.
Our call: 35-24 for UConn.
Result: ??

Troy at Nebraska
The Huskers were favored over the Trojans by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Cornhuskers by 4.15 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Nebraska. With Nebraska starting quarterback Adrian Martinez questionable for this game, any prediction here is pure guesswork, not just as to score, but even as to the winner of the game. The Huskers had surprisingly excellent yards per play stats against Colorado -- 6.81 yards per play to the Buffaloes 4.65 and they outgained Colorado 565 to 395 yards, but because of turnovers and other errors, they did not win the game, so it will be interesting to see how things progress against the Trojans.
Result: ??

Hawaii at Army
The Black Knights were favored over the Warriors by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Army by 11.73 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our call: 34-33 for Hawaii.
Result: ??

Florida State at Syracuse
The Seminoles were favored over the Orange by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 2.34 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Florida State.
Result: ??

Rutgers at Kansas
The Jayhawks were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Rutgers by 2.08 points.
The over/under was 45.5 points.
Our call: 27-23 for Rutgers.
Result: ??

Ball State at Indiana
The Hoosiers were favored over the Cardinals by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 21.80 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Indiana.
Result: ??

Temple at Maryland
The Terrapins were favored over the Owls by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Maryland by 12.26 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 37-16 for Maryland.
Result: ??

Murray State (FCS) at Kentucky
The Wildcats were favored over the Racers by 37.5 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 41-7 for Kentucky.
Result: ??

UTEP at Tennessee
The Vols were favored over the Miners by 30 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored the Volunteers by 30.44 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Tennessee.
Result: ??

East Carolina at Virginia Tech
Game cancelled due to Hurricane Florence.
The Hokies were favored over the Pirates by 29 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 29.93 points.
The over/under was 51 points.
Our call: 47-17 for Virginia Tech.

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Panthers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Tech by 2.04 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Georgia Tech.
Result: ??

Tulane at UAB
The Green Wave were favored over the Blazers by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Tulane by 6.28 points.
The over/under was 55 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Tulane.
Result: ??

UC Davis (FCS) at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Aggies by 28.5 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 38-7 for Stanford. Bryce Love reportedly will miss this game.
Result: ??

Vanderbilt at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Commodores by 15.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 14.35 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 31-14 for Notre Dame.
Result: ??

Ohio at Virginia
Ohio at Virginia moved to Nashville, Vanderbilt Stadium. 
The Cavaliers were favored over the Bobcats by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia by 6.46 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Virginia.
Result: ??

Georgia Southern at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Eagles by 34 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 34.13 points.
The over/under was 48 points.
Our call: 49-7 for Clemson.
Result: ??

BYU at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Cougars by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 27.46 points.
The over/under was 44.5 points.
Our call: 34-10 for Wisconsin.
Result: ??

LSU at Auburn
The Auburn Tigers were favored over the LSU Tigers by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 8.36 points.
The over/under was 45 points.
Our call: 23-20 for Auburn.
Result: ??

West Virginia at North Carolina State
Game cancelled due to Hurricane Florence. 
The Mountaineers were favored over the Wolfpack by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 2.54 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 38-34 for West Virginia.

Boise State at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the Broncos by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 2.94 points.
The over/under was 63.5 points.
Our call: 38-31 for Boise State.
Result: ??

SMU at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Mustangs by 34.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 28.95 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 42-7 for Michigan.
Result: ??

Southern Mississippi at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 16 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 18.18 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 38-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: ??

Miami of Ohio at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the RedHawks by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Minnesota by 19.66 points.
The over/under was 44.5 points.
Our call: 34-7 for Minnesota.
Result: ??

Lehigh (FCS) at Navy
The Midshipmen were favored over the Mountain Hawks by 30 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Navy.
Result: ??

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Chippewas by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 13.43 points.
The over/under was 45 points.
Our call: 28-13 for Northern Illinois.
Result: ??

South Florida at Illinois
The Bulls were favored over the Fighting Illini by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Florida by 11.45 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 38-24 for South Florida.
Result: ??

Duke at Baylor
The Bears were favored over the Blue Devils by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 10.68 points.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Duke.
Result: ??

Colorado State at Florida
The Gators were favored over the Rams by 19 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 14.84 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 31-23 for Florida.
Result: ??

UTSA (Texas San Antonio) at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Roadrunners by 21.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kansas State by 23.30 points.
The over/under was 46.5 points.
Our call: 38-14 for Kansas State.
Result: ??

North Texas at Arkansas
The Razorbacks were favored over the Mean Green by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas by 4.31 points.
The over/under was 69 points.
Our call: 34-33 for Arkansas.
Result: ??

Wofford (FCS) at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Terriers by 14 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 31-13 for Wyoming.
Result: ??

Eastern Kentucky (FCS) at Bowling Green
The Falcons were favored over the Colonels by 13.5 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Bowling Green.
Result: ??

Houston at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders were favored over the Cougars by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 3.09 points.
The over/under was 67.5 points.
Our call: 38-34 for Houston.
Result: ??

San Jose State at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Spartans by 38 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oregon by 35.17 points.
The over/under was 68.5 points.
Our call: 52-17 for Oregon.
Result: ??

New Hampshire (FCS) at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Wildcats by 35.5 points.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 52-14 for Colorado.
Result: ??

Idaho State (FCS) at California
The Golden Bears were favored over the Bengals by 36.5 points.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
Our call: 45-7 for Cal.
Result: ??

Norfolk State (FCS) at Liberty
Game moved to December 1. 
The Flames were favored over the Spartans by 26.5 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 38-14 for Liberty.
Result: ??

Old Dominion at Charlotte
The Monarchs were favored over the 49ers by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Charlotte by 2.42 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Charlotte.
Result: ??

Bethune-Cookmann (FCS) at Florida Atlantic (FAU)
The Owls were favored over the Wildcats by 37.5 points.
The over/under was 60 points.
Our call: 61-7 for Florida Atlantic.
Result: ??

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo
The Bulls were favored over the Eagles by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 0.83 points.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Buffalo. Both teams are coming off of impressive wins, with the Eagles topping Big Ten Purdue 20-19 and the Bulls beating Temple 36-29. Last season Buffalo had a 6-6 record, but those 6 losses were by 10, 4, 3, 1, 10, and 1 point while Eastern Michigan was 5-7 with losses by 7, 4, 5, 1, 3, 3 and 12 points. Both teams are on the upswing, so who will win this one? The Eagles beat the Boilermakers via their passing game while Buffalo has a good pass defense thus far. See cfbstats.com. (Passing defense, Buffalo 26th, Eastern Michigan 37th; passing offense, Buffalo 64th, Eastern Michigan 21st; rushing defense, Buffalo 84th, Eastern Michigan 122nd, rushing offense, Buffalo 86th, Eastern Michigan 107th. So we go with Buffalo and the Leipold team, where we also admittedly have a given bias due to Leipold's Nebraska connections.
Result: ??

Alabama at Mississippi
The Crimson Tide were favored over Ole Miss by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Alabama by 19.94 points.
The over/under was 68 points.
Our call: 49-24 for Alabama.
Result: ??

Texas State at South Alabama
The Jaguars were favored over the Bobcats by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Alabama by 12.22 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 31-17 for South Alabama.
Result: ??

Arkansas State at Tulsa
The Golden Hurricane were favored over the Red Wolves by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 0.16 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 37-30 for Arkansas State.
Result: ??

Alabama A&M (FCS) at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Bulldogs by 37.5 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 38-7 for Cincinnati. The Bearcats currently top ESPN's College Football Fan Happiness Index. For the full list from 1 to 130, see Fan Happiness Index.
Result: ??

Delaware State (FCS) at Western Michigan
The Broncos were favored over the Hornets by 46.5 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 61-7 for Western Michigan.
Result: ??

Oregon State at Nevada
The Wolf Pack were favored over the Beavers by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Nevada by 4.63 points.
The over/under was 70.5 points.
Our call: 43-40 for Oregon State.
Result: ??

Middle Tennessee at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Blue Raiders by 30.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 34.87 points.
The over/under was 54 points.
Our call: 45-10 for Georgia. Thus far this season, Georgia has not been running up the scores. Otherwise, we would prognosticate the margin higher.
Result: ??

Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL) at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 32.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? by 34.69 points.
The over/under was 64 points.
Our call: 52-17 for Mississippi State.
Result: ??

Marshall at South Carolina
Game cancelled due to Hurricane Florence.  
The Gamecocks were favored over the Thundering Herd by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Carolina by 14.06 points.
The over/under was 50.5 points.
Our call: 38-17 for South Carolina.

Louisiana-Monroe (ULM) at Texas A&M
The Aggies were favored over the Warhawks by 26 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 25.08 points.
The over/under was 65.5 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Texas A&M.
Result: ??

Missouri at Purdue
The Tigers were favored over the Boilermakers by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Missouri by 3.83 points.
The over/under was 62 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Missouri.
Result: ??

Northern Iowa (FCS) at Iowa
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Panthers by 20 points.
The over/under was 43.5 points.
Our call: 17-9 for Iowa.
Result: ??

Western Kentucky at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Hilltoppers by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 24.13 points.
The over/under was 58 points.
Our call: 41-14 for Louisville.
Result: ??

Massachusetts (UMass) at Florida International (FIU)
The Golden Panthers were favored over the Minutemen by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FIU by 2.02 points.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for FIU.
Result: ??

Akron at Northwestern
The Wildcats were favored over the Zips by 21.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northwestern by 22.94 points.
The over/under was 45.5 points.
Our call: 34-10 for Northwestern.
Result: ??

Ohio State at TCU
The Buckeyes were favored over the Horned Frogs by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 10.11 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 40-24 for Ohio State.
Result: ??

USC at Texas
The Trojans were favored over the Longhorns by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 2.06 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 27-23 for USC.
Result: ??

New Mexico at New Mexico State
The Lobos were favored over the Aggies by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 2.84 points.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for New Mexico State.
Result: ??

Eastern Washington (FCS) at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Eagles by 16.5 points.
The over/under was 63 points.
Our call: 40-20 for Washington State.
Result: ??

Washington at Utah
The Huskies were favored over the Utes by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 4.40 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Washington.
Result: ??

Prairie View (FCS) at UNLV
The Rebels were favored over the Panthers by 24.5 points.
The over/under was 67 points.
Our call: 42-24 for UNLV.
Result: ??

Fresno State at UCLA
The Bulldogs were favored over the Bruins by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Fresno State by 4.06 points.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
Our call: 24-23 for UCLA.
Result: ??

Arizona State at San Diego State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Aztecs by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 4.05 points.
The over/under was 46 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Arizona State.
Result: ??

Southern Utah (FCS) at Arizona
The Wildcats were favored over the Thunderbirds by 21 points.
The over/under was 71 points.
Our call: 48-17 for Arizona.
Result: ??