"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Final College Football Rankings FBS 2017-2018 (by SportPundit)

Final College Football Rankings FBS 2017-2018 (by SportPundit)
(updated 11 January 2018)

These are the SportPundit final college football rankings for the 2017 regular season including the 2017/2018 bowl and playoff games. Our system is based on NAYPPA (net average yards per play advantage) stats, which we calibrate primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty. Other adjustments are made (*=adjustment(s)). We take the season's cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com or from college and university football athletic pages online, as linked below next to each team's name.

UCF is in our view the undefeated FBS football champion this season. 

As written at Wikipedia: "The College Football Playoff is not an officially sanctioned championship event by the NCAA, the sport's governing body. Consequently, Division I FBS football is the only NCAA sport in which a yearly national champion is not determined by an NCAA event, nor is an official NCAA national championship awarded." See also FBS.

The Knights weaker schedule is compensated by the fact that they were the top scoring team in the nation, which balances out the scheduling argument, since that scoring proficiency must be added to UCF's credit to counterbalance the weaker schedule calculation.

We put undefeated UCF at Nr. 1 primarily for the following logical reason.
Georgia is 13-2 with a loss to Auburn (40-17). 
The Dawgs won "the return match" 28-7, which combined gives Auburn a two-point edge.
Alabama is 13-1 with a loss to Auburn (24-16), which gives Auburn an 8-point edge.
UCF (Central Florida) is 13-0 with a win over Auburn (34-27), which gives UCF the edge. 

Schedule difficulty may give other teams a higher rating here, e.g. Alabama, but it is WINS and LOSSES that (should) always determine championships, not the statistics.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning -- for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

Final College Football Rankings FBS 2017-2018 by SportPundit
(note that our "normal" UCF ranking would be about 10th by rating) 

As written at the Wikipedia: "As of the current 2017 college football season, there are 10 conferences and 130 schools in FBS...."

Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8
Post-Bowl RANK 2017-2018 by Sport Pundit TEAM
Name
(# sign means a coaching change for the upcoming 2018-2019 season)
NAYPPA= net average yards per play advantage offense over defense, stats calculated using data from cfbstats.com (our calculation) yards per play offense via cfbstats.
com

the
links below are to the school sites
yards
per play
defense
via cfbstats.
com
Schedule difficulty based on Massey Ratings, Sagarin USA Today Rankings & Ratings,
& our own ratings of average rank of opponents
x 3 divided by 100 which is then deducted from NAYPPA (*= plus other adjustments)
Won-loss record (W-L) for the 2017-2018 season - with 0.2 rating points deducted
per loss)
Post-Bowl 2017
-2018 Team Rating
by
Sport Pundit
(no rating is given below -4.9)
1UCF #1.77.465.7440*13-00.5***
UCF 712016 UCF season -0.14.684.7840*6-7-2.7
2Alabama2.66.593.9920*13-1+2.0
3Georgia2.06.704.6920*13-2+1.4
4Oklahoma2.48.295.8420*12-2+1.4
5Ohio State2.46.884.4420*12-2+1.4
6Clemson1.55.744.2720*12-2+0.6
7Auburn1.46.174.670*10-4+0.6
8Wisconsin1.76.094.4230*13-1+0.6
9Penn State1.86.584.7730*11-2+0.5
10Notre Dame1.36.395.0520*10-3+0.1
11Miami (FL)1.56.244.7730*10-3+0.0
12Oklahoma St.1.87.345.5140*10-3+0.0
13LSU 1.16.195.0720*9-4-0.3
14USC0.96.555.6220*11-3-0.3
15Washington2.06.424.4255*10-3-0.3
16TCU1.06.095.0740*11-3 -0.8
17Michigan St.0.35.134.8720*10-3-0.9
18Stanford0.56.455.9815*9-5-0.9
19Michigan0.75.184.5220*8-5-0.9
20N. Carolina St.0.45.995.5620*9-4-1.0
21Washington St0.45.565.1320*9-4-1.0
22Iowa0.15.125.080*8-5-1.1
23Iowa State0.2 5.555.4010*8-5-1.1
24 Memphis1.67.355.7570*10-3-1.1
25Boise State1.05.804.8350*11-3-1.1
26Miss. St. #0.35.515.2320*9-4-1.1
27Florida State #0.9 5.664.7525*7-6-1.1
28Wake Forest0.76.295.5625*8-5-1.1
29Louisville1.87.395.6165**8-5-1.1
30Troy1.46.174.7880*11-2-1.4
31FL Atl. FAU1.66.805.1980*11-3-1.4
32South Florida1.36.154.8480**10-2-1.5
33Northwestern0.35.315.0240*10-3-1.5
34South Carolina0.35.465.1635*9-4-1.6
35Oregon #1.06.105.0750*7-6-1.7
36Virginia Tech0.35.395.0640*9-4-1.7
37Texas Tech0.36.175.7820*6-7-1.7
38Utah0.65.645.0740*7-6-1.8
39San Diego St.1.26.295.0980*10-3-1.8
40Mississippi #0.76.906.1645*6-6-1.8
41Texas0.05.155.1920*7-6-1.8
42Missouri1.57.135.6070*7-6-1.8
43Georgia Tech0.25.745.5230*5-6-1.9
44UCLA #0.16.396.2620*6-7-1.9
45Florida #-0.55.195.730***4-7-1.9
46Kansas State0.36.145.8245*8-5-1.9
47Fresno State0.95.784.8665*10-4-1.9
48Purdue0.35.595.2735*7-6-2.0
49Boston Coll.-0.35.105.3720*7-6-2.1
50Army 0.35.976.2565*10-3-2.2
51Duke-0.34.925.2230*7-6-2.2
52Maryland-0.55.155.6205*4-8-2.2
53Indiana0.14.994.9230*5-7-2.2
54Appalach. St. 1.16.455.3190*9-4-2.4
55Toledo1.36.915.63105*11-3-2.4
56Texas A&M #-0.15.545.6340*7-6-2.5
57West Virginia0.26.356.1450*7-6-2.5
58Houston0.66.005.3770*7-5-2.5
59Wyoming0.14.684.6755*8-5-2.6
60N. Illinois0.55.104.6270*8-5-2.6
61Arizona State-0.65.716.3330*7-6-2.7
62Nebraska #-0.85.596.3410*4-8-2.7
63 Vanderbilt-0.25.605.8540*5-7-2.8
64Tennessee #-1.24.775.940***4-8-2.8
65Syracuse-1.15.336.4010*4-8-2.9
66Pittsburgh-0.65.355.9630*5-7-2.9
67Arkansas #-0.85.596.4520*4-8-3.0
68Kentucky-0.75.566.2240*7-6-3.1
69Temple0.15.525.4070*7-6-3.2
70Navy-0.16.036.1765*7-6-3.2
71N. Carolina-0.55.325.8530*3-9-3.2
72W. Michigan-0.25.465.6475*6-6-3.2
73Colorado-0.65.516.1240*5-7-3.2
74Colorado St.0.36.556.2975*7-6-3.2
75Arkansas St.0.86.095.29100*7-5-3.2
76Arizona1.07.016.0370*7-6-3.2*
77Virginia-0.54.905.4045*6-7-3.2
78Miami (OH)0.15.555.4270*5-7-3.4
79Minnesota-0.64.885.5240*5-7-3.2
80California-0.65.175.8140*5-7-3.2
81SMU #-0.26.396.5960*7-6-3.2
82C. Michigan0.55.495.0390*8-5-3.2
83Ohio1.16.435.30120*9-4-3.3
84M. Tennessee0.75.684.9595*7-6-3.4
85E. Michigan 0.15.425.3470*5-7-3.4
86North Texas 0.26.145.9090*9-5-3.5
87N. Mexico St.0.55.825.3695*7-6-3.5
88Utah State0.55.625.1790*6-7-3.6
89Louisiana Tech0.15.735.5985*7-6-3.7
90Illinois-1.04.645.6625*2-10-3.7
91W. Kentucky -0.25.325.5270*6-7-3.7
92Florida Int. FIU-0.35.736.0280*8-5-3.7
93Marshall0.65.504.95110*8-5-3.7
94Georgia State 0.35.465.80100*7-5-3.7
95Rutgers-1.34.435.7230*4-8-3.8
96BYU-0.25.145.3560*4-9-3.8
97Akron-1.14.886.0270*7-7-3.8*
98Southern Miss0.85.895.0590*8-5-3.9
99Tulane-0.95.766.6855*5-7-3.9
100UTSA 0.75.654.96120*6-5-3.9
101Air Force-1.35.526.8145*5-7-4.0
102UAB0.05.435.391008-5-4.0
103Buffalo0.86.265.49100*6-6-4.2
104Kansas-1.84.646.4410*1-11-4.3
105LA Monroe-0.96.377.2660*4-8-4.3
106LA Laf. #-0.85.786.5870**5-7-4.3
107Nevada-0.25.876.1275*3-9-4.3
108Co. Carolina # -0.55.536.0570*3-9-4.4
109UMass0.26.005.76100*4-8-4.4
110Oregon St. #-1.45.186.6130*1-11-4.5
111New Mexico-0.65.506.1370*3-9-4.5
112Idaho -0.55.095.6180*4-8-4.5
113Cincinnati-0.65.245.8575*4-8-4.5
114UConn-1.35.496.7745**3-9-4.5
115Baylor -0.95.556.4650*1-11 -4.6
116Old Dominion-0.94.945.8080*5-7-4.7
117UNLV-0.16.206.27110*5-7-4.8
118Bowling Green-1.15.486.610*2-10-4.8
119S. Alabama # -0.85.105.8880*4-8-4.8
120San Jose St.-1.64.606.2180*2-11-4.9
121Rice #-1.05.446.4390*1-11-4.9
122Hawaii-1.05.736.7670*3-9-4.9
123East Carolina-2.35.447.7250*3-9-4.9*
124Tulsa-1.65.717.3170*2-10-4.9*
125Texas State-1.44.776.18100*2-10-4.9
126Ball State-2.24.466.62110*2-10-4.9
127Charlotte -1.24.926.16100*1-11-4.9
128GA Southern #-1.84.756.6080*2-10-4.9
129Kent State #-1.84.386.2170*2-10-4.9
130UTEP #-2.14.096.2490*0-12-4.9