"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

College Football Game Predictions for Week 8 2016 FBS by SportPundit

College Football Game Predictions for Week 8 2016 FBS by SportPundit

Notice: This season, our cumulative over/under results are opposite our results against the spread. Normally, that should not be. We use the same system for both, so something needs to be changed. We have examined the data and determined that our own spread has too often been too high based on our equation of .1 of our rating points as equatable with 1 point on the scoreboard. We are going to scale that back this coming week to .1 rating point =  only about .7 scoreboard points, so that one rating point = 1 Touchdown In other words, if a team rated at +1.0 met a team rated at -2.0 under our system, that is a difference of 30 x .1 rating points or 3 full rating points which we have thus far equated as 30 scoreboard points -- which has proven to be too many. Under the revised system, our prediction would now be calculated as 21 points, i.e. 3 TDs, rather than 30 scoreboard points, and we may or may not adjust for home field advantage, as the case may be. Our over/under predictions for total score as based on yards per play do not change much. We will make subjective adjustments.

After Week 7 our cumulative season results thus far were:
344-111 in picking the winner
203-227-19 against the spread
158-197 against the CFPT average, and
228-203-15 against the over/under.
__________

Below are our -- SportPundit -- predictions for NCAA Division I FBS College Football in ESPN Week 8, based primarily on our After Week 7 College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit. We also look at the USA Today Sagarin College Football 2016 Ratings, the Massey Ratings for 2016 NCAA I Football and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations.

Our system is based on net average yards per play stats, calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams. We take the cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com and from the college and university football athletic pages online.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

This week we took the opening lines and the CFPT prediction average from the CFPT (College Football Prediction Tracker), as posted on Monday, October 17, 2016 : 10:09 AM. We take the -- usually later-posted -- opening over/under from Oddsshark viz. VegasInsider.com. All odds and stats are here by us posted WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and without any liability on our part for our posted materials or links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions for fun. If important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites. We use the opening line ("OL") if available, not the updated line ("UL), since we compete against opening odds, if possible. We call the score and not the spread as such because our stats permit that calculation.

We write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are usually changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds. We used the CFPT as of the above date.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

BYU at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Cougars by 7.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 5.71 points. The O/U (over/under) was 57.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Boise State.
Result: ??

Miami of Florida at Virginia Tech
The Hokies were favored over the Hurricanes by 4 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 3.13 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 24-23 for Virginia Tech.
Result: ??

Troy at South Alabama
The Trojans were favored over the Jaguars by 8.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 10.79 points. The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for Troy.
Result: ??

Friday, October 21, 2016

South Florida at Temple
The Bulls were favored over the Owls by 7 points. The CFPT prediction average favored South Florida by 5.53 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for South Florida.
Result: ??

Oregon at California
The Golden Bears were favored over the Ducks by 3 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Cal by 3.03 points. The O/U (over/under) was 85.5 points.
Our Call: 42-41 for Oregon.
Result: ??

San Jose State at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Spartans by 22 points. The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 21.48 points. The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for San Diego State.
Result: ??

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Texas A&M at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Aggies by 16.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Alabama by 15.41 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Alabama.
Result: ??

Ohio State at Penn State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Nittany Lions by 18.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 19.71 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for Ohio State.
Result: ??

Illinois at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Illini by 35 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 36.38 points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 41-10 for Michigan
Result: ??

Oregon State at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Beavers by 31.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 31.12 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 35-14 for Washington.
Result: ??

North Carolina State at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Wolfpack by 15.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 14.67 points. The O/U (over/under) was 68 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Louisville.
Result: ??

Wisconsin at Iowa
The Badgers were favored over the Hawkeyes by 3 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 7.85 points. The O/U (over/under) was 41.5 points.
Our Call: 28-17 for Wisconsin.
Result: ??

Purdue at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers were favored over the Boilermakers by 24.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored the Huskers by 26.45 points. The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 37-23 for Nebraska. Last Sunday, after a 49-35 loss to Iowa, Boilermaker head football coach Darrell Hazell was fired, adding an unknown to this game, as Gerard Parker, Purdue wide receivers coach, was announced as the interim head coach.

Mississippi (Ole Miss) at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Rebels by 4 points. The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 3.22 points. The O/U (over/under) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for LSU.

Result: ??

Houston at SMU
The Cougars were favored over the Mustangs by 22 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 22.69 points. The O/U (over/under) was 63 points.
Our Call: 31-21 for Houston.
Result: ??

Oklahoma at Texas Tech
The Sooners were favored over the Red Raiders by 13.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 10.82 points. The O/U (over/under) was 87 points.
Our Call: 45-31 for Oklahoma.
Result: ??

TCU at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Horned Frogs by 5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 8.89 points. The O/U (over/under) was 67 points.
Our Call: 38-27 for West Virginia.
Result: ??

Utah at UCLA
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The CFPT prediction average favored UCLA by 4.61 points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Utah.
Result: ??

Arkansas at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 8 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 8.29 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for Auburn.
Result: ??

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
The Broncos were favored over the Eagles by 21.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 27.82 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 38-21 for Western Michigan.
Result: ??

Memphis at Navy
The Tigers were favored over the Midshipmen by 1.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 0.58 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for Navy.
Result: ??

Rutgers at Minnesota
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The CFPT prediction average favored the Golden Gophers by 19.14 points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 30-20 for Minnesota.
Result: ??

Massachusetts at South Carolina
The Gamecocks were favored over the Minutemen by 21 points. The CFPT prediction average favored South Carolina by 16.44 points. The O/U (over/under) was 43 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for South Carolina.
Result: ??

Oklahoma State at Kansas
The Cowboys were favored over the Jayhawks by 25 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 20.94 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65 points.
Our Call: 37-23 for Oklahoma State.
Result: ??

Indiana at Northwestern
The Wildcats were favored over the Hoosiers by 4.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Northwestern by 6.20 points. The O/U (over/under) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Northwestern.
Result: ??

Miami of Ohio at Bowling Green
The Falcons were favored over the Redhawks by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Bowling Green by 3.47 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Bowling Green.
Result: ??

UCF (Central Florida) at Connecticut (UConn)
The Knights were favored over the Huskies by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 0.38 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 24-21 for UCF.
Result: ??

North Texas at Army (West Point)
The Black Knights were favored over the Mean Green by 16.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Army by 15.88 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 28-24 for Army.
Result: ??

Texas at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Longhorns by 2.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Kansas State by 4.73 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 33-27 for Kansas State.
Result: ??

Central Michigan at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Chippewas by 11 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 10.85 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Toledo.
Result: ??

Syracuse at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Orange by 4 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 1.11 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 28-23 for Syracuse.
Result: ??

Ohio at Kent State
The Bobcats were favored over the Golden Flashes by 2.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 1.91 points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 24-21 for Ohio.
Result: ??

Hawaii at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Warriors by 16.50 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Air Force by 15.01 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Air Force.
Result: ??

Central Connecticut State at Coastal Carolina
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 42-7 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: ??

North Carolina at Virginia
The Tar Heels were favored over the Cavaliers by 10.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored North Carolina by 9.65 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for North Carolina.
Result: ??

Colorado at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Buffaloes by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 0.34 points. The O/U (over/under) was 49 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Stanford.
Result: ??

Akron at Ball State
The Cardinals were favored over the Zips by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ball State by 0.34 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61.5 points.
Our Call: 28-27 for Akron.
Result: ??

Buffalo at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Bulls by 19.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 16.62 points. The O/U (over/under) was 57.5 points.
Our Call: 41-20 for Northern Illinois. Buffalo is playing far below expectations this year and Northern Illinois is also experiencing a disastrous season.
Result: ??

Tennessee-Martin at Georgia State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Georgia State.
Result: ??

Prairie View A&M at Rice
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 41-20 for Rice.
Result: ??

Idaho at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Vandals by 20 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 17.76 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Appalachian State.
Result: ??

Tulane at Tulsa
The Golden Hurricane were favored over the Green Wave by 11.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Tulsa by 10.19 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 30-20 for Tulsa.
Result: ??

Middle Tennessee (MTSU) at Missouri
The Tigers were favored over the Blue Raiders by 6 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Missouri by 4.07 points. The O/U (over/under) was 69.5 points.
Our Call: 35-28 for Missouri.
Result: ??

Charlotte at Marshall
The Thundering Herd were favored over the 49ers by 18.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 13.55 points. The O/U (over/under) was 62 points.
Our Call: 31-21 for Marshall.
Result: ??

Colorado State at UNLV
The Rebels were favored by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored the Rams by 0.92 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 28-27 for Colorado State. Normally, our stats would favor UNLV by 3, but the Rams near miraculous late game performance against Boise State may greatly improve Colorado State field marshalling by the coaching staff as well as team attitudes and results.

Result: ??

Louisiana Lafayette (LA Lafayette, ULL) at Texas State
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Bobcats by 6 points. The CFPT prediction average favored ULL by 0.97 points. The O/U (over/under) was 62 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Louisiana Lafayette.
Result: ??

East Carolina at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Pirates by 3 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 2.81 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for East Carolina.
Result: ??

Louisiana Tech at Florida International (FIU)
The Bulldogs were favored over the Panthers by 14.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored FIU by 16.12 points. The O/U (over/under) was 70 points.
Our Call: 44-27 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: ??

UTEP at UTSA
The Roadrunners were favored over the Miners by 9.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored UTSA by 15.92 points. The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 33-24 for UTSA.
Result: ??

Old Dominion at Western Kentucky
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Monarchs by 14 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Kentucky by 10.19 points. The O/U (over/under) was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 37-28 for Western Kentucky.
Result: ??

Michigan State at Maryland
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The CFPT prediction average favored Maryland by 1.13 points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Michigan State.
Result: ??

Tennessee State at Vanderbilt
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points. The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 38-10 for Vanderbilt.
Result: ??

Mississippi State at Kentucky
The Bulldogs were favored over the Wildcats by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 2.28 points. The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 28-24 for Mississippi State.
Result: ??

Georgia Southern at New Mexico State
The Eagles were favored over the Aggies by 14 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia Southern by 16.42 points. The O/U (over/under) was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Georgia Southern.
Result: ??

Louisiana Monroe (La Monroe, ULM) at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Warhawks by 12.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 10.41 points. The O/U (over/under) was 71.5 points.
Our Call: 38-37 for New Mexico. Last week the Lobos had a win over much higher ranked Air Force.

Result: ??

Washington State at Arizona State
The Cougars were favored over the Sun Devils by 7 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 7.16 points. The O/U (over/under) was 70 points.
Our Call: 44-27 for Washington State. The Sun Devils give up far more yards on defense per play than they make on offense. Their 5-2 record is thus unexpected.They seem to make up some yardage by an excellent punting game, ranking 8th in the nation in average punt distance. The Cougars punt only 3.2 times per game, 5th in the nation, Arizona State 5.7 times per game. Arizona State ranks last in passing defense in FBS with 384.4 yards allowed per game. Washington State ranks 7th in passing offense with 361.3 yards per game.

Result: ??

Wyoming at Nevada
The Cowboys were favored over the Wolf Pack by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming by 7.9 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Wyoming. Has Craig Bohl managed the turnaround at Wyoming, currently 4-2?
Result: ??

Fresno State at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Bulldogs by 14 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 15.69 points. The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 33-20 for Utah State.
Result: ??

Most Popular Posts of All Time

Sky Earth Native America

Sky Earth Native America 1 :
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
,
Volume 1, Edition 2, 266 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Sky Earth Native America 2 :
    American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
    Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
    ,
    Volume 2, Edition 2, 262 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Both volumes have the same cover except for the labels "Volume 1" viz. "Volume 2".
    The image on the cover was created using public domain space photos of Earth from NASA.

    -----

    Both book volumes contain the following basic book description:
    "Alice Cunningham Fletcher observed in her 1902 publication in the American Anthropologist
    that there is ample evidence that some ancient cultures in Native America, e.g. the Pawnee in Nebraska,
    geographically located their villages according to patterns seen in stars of the heavens.
    See Alice C. Fletcher, Star Cult Among the Pawnee--A Preliminary Report,
    American Anthropologist, 4, 730-736, 1902.
    Ralph N. Buckstaff wrote:
    "These Indians recognized the constellations as we do, also the important stars,
    drawing them according to their magnitude.
    The groups were placed with a great deal of thought and care and show long study.
    ... They were keen observers....
    The Pawnee Indians must have had a knowledge of astronomy comparable to that of the early white men."
    See Ralph N. Buckstaff, Stars and Constellations of a Pawnee Sky Map,
    American Anthropologist, Vol. 29, Nr. 2, April-June 1927, pp. 279-285, 1927.
    In our book, we take these observations one level further
    and show that megalithic sites and petroglyphic rock carving and pictographic rock art in Native America,
    together with mounds and earthworks, were made to represent territorial geographic landmarks
    placed according to the stars of the sky using the ready map of the starry sky
    in the hermetic tradition, "as above, so below".
    That mirror image of the heavens on terrestrial land is the "Sky Earth" of Native America,
    whose "rock stars" are the real stars of the heavens, "immortalized" by rock art petroglyphs, pictographs,
    cave paintings, earthworks and mounds of various kinds (stone, earth, shells) on our Earth.
    These landmarks were placed systematically
    in North America, Central America (Meso-America) and South America
    and can to a large degree be reconstructed as the Sky Earth of Native America."

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