The NCAA Division I FBS college football season 2016 begins!
We have lots of text the first week - for orientation - one need not read it all.
Who will be the champion this season? To be a champion you have to give your best every day, on every play, even if it's only practice. Read up, for example, on Stanford's Christian McCaffrey at Campus Rush by Chris Ballard.
In 2015, Central Florida's UCF Knights went 0-12 and this season have a new head coach in the former Nebraska Cornhuskers national championship QB Scott Frost. How many games will the Knights win in 2016? Nobody knows, but it will be a very interesting team to watch this year.
Below are our -- SportPundit -- predictions for NCAA Division I FBS College Football in ESPN Week 1, based primarily on our Preseason College Football Rankings FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit. We also look at the USA Today Sagarin College Football 2016 Starting Ratings, the Massey Ratings for 2016 NCAAI Football and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. The season begins with some outstanding matchups between ranked teams!
Our system is based on net average yards per play stats, calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment). We take the cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com and from the college and university football athletic pages online. For the first weeks, we use last season's stats, unless a team has already shown a perceptible change in play this season.
Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.
We use odds posted at CFPT (The College Football Prediction Tracker) Wednesday, August 10, 2016, 10:14 AM, viz. VegasInsider.com viz. Oddsshark. We compete against the prediction average at CFPT and the over/under ("O/U") of the online betting sites, as available, without ANY guarantee of accuracy, and without any liability for our posted materials. We do this for fun. If it is important, the reader must consult the original sites. We use the opening line ("OL") if available, not the updated line ("UL), as we compete against opening odds, if possible. We call the score and not the spread as such because our stats permit that calculation. However, we do compete against the betting "spread" and not the call of the actual score. Our call is 48-31 for the game of the Hawaii Warriors against the California Golden Bears, so that would make our call a spread of 17 points. For over/under, our total would be 79 points, i.e. 48 plus 31, so we would be "over" the O/U of 62. Games between FBS and FCS teams have no odds posted for now, but the odds will be added if and when they become available.
Note that we have a number of links to team previews.... Check them out.
Friday, August 26
Hawaii vs. California at ANZ Stadium, Sydney, NSW, Australia
OL: 22 points in favor of Cal. UL: 20 points in favor of Cal. O/U: 62. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 29.59 points in favor of Cal (this can change because of later prediction inclusions, but we use the stat at the time we see it).
Our call: 48-31 for Cal
This is an interesting game to start the season. Hawaii has a new head coach in former Rainbow QB Nick Rolovich, who comes from a post at Nevada as OC, and for whom 500+ yard passing games are no surprise, so we expect tons more offense than last season under HC Norm Chow and interim HC Chris Naeole. Last year Cal ranked 3rd in FBS for passing yardage per game, so that this game should be an offensive passing battle with lots of touchdowns.
Thursday, September 1
Presbyterian College at Central Michigan
Our call: 48-17 for Central Michigan
Last season the Blue Hose were better than their 2-9 record, losing a number of close games. The Chippewas were 7-6 and beat Minnesota in the Quick Lane Bowl.
Charlotte at Louisville
OL: 38.5 points in favor of Louisville. UL: 39 points O/U: 61. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 35.59 points in favor of the Cardinals.
Our call: 49-7 for Louisville
The Cardinals finished a disappointing 8-5 last season but recovered to beat the SEC's Texas A&M in the Music City Bowl. The 49ers won their first two and lost the next 10, with blowout losses to Southern Miss and Kentucky.
Tulane at Wake Forest
OL: 17 points in favor of Wake Forest. UL: 17.5 points. O/U: 43. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 15.24 points in favor of the Demon Deacons.
Our call: 27-24 for Wake Forest.
Willie Fritz from Georgia Southern (9-4 last season) is the new head coach for the Green Wave, who were 3-9 last year. The Demon Deacons were also 3-9 last season but had respectable losses to top-ranked teams. Fritz runs a "pistol" option offense and has two fast promising freshman quarterbacks in Darius Bradwell (4.5 40-yard dash) and Jonathan Brantley to replace prostyle QB Tanner Lee, who transferred to Nebraska (and must sit out the 2016 season, but got an extra year of eligibility due to HC & system change). See Dean Mullen, Tulane Football: Could a Freshman Start at QB in 2016? Wake Forest has an average run defense and Tulane might surprise them.
Tennessee-Martin at Cincinnati
Our call: 41-17 for Cincinnati
The Bearcats were 7-6 last season, losing 42-7 to San Diego State in the Hawaii Bowl. The Skyhawks were 7-4 in spite of an opening 76-3 loss to Ole Miss and a 63-28 loss to Arkansas later in the season.
Maine at Connecticut
Our call: 34-7 for UConn
UConn finished 6-7 last season after losing 16-10 to Marshall in the St. Petersburg Bowl. The Black Bears were 3-8.
William & Mary at North Carolina State
Our call: 31-14 for NC State
The Wolfpack finished 7-6 last season, losing 51-28 to Mississippi State in the Belk Bowl. The Tribe of William & Mary were 9-4 in 2015, losing to Richmond in the regular season and also in the FCS playoff quarterfinals.
Indiana at Florida International (FIU)
OL: 4 points in favor of Indiana. UL: 9 points. O/U: 61. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 11.23 points in favor of Indiana.
Our call: 35-14 for Indiana
The Hoosiers were 6-7 last year while the Golden Panthers were 5-7, losing at Indiana 36-22 early in the season. Indiana lost to Duke 44-41 in overtime in the New Era Pinstripe Bowl.
Appalachian State at Tennessee
OL: 22.5 points in favor of Tennessee. UL: 21 points. O/U: 57.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 17.22 points in favor of the Vols.
Our call: 41-17 for Tennessee
The Mountaineers had a resurgent season in 2015, going 11-2 and beating Ohio 31-29 in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl. The Vols seem to be getting their strength back, finishing 9-4 and thrashing Northwestern 45-6 in the Outback Bowl. The Rocky Top losses were by a combined 17 points, one a 31-24 loss to Oklahoma in 2 overtimes. The Volunteers lost at Alabama 19-14 midseason and then won their last six games.
South Carolina at Vanderbilt
OL: 2.5 points in favor of Vandy. UL: 3.5 points. O/U: 42.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 1.35 points in favor of the Commodores.
Our call: 10-7 for South Carolina
The normally strong Gamecocks, 3-9 last year, are led this season by new head coach Will Muschamp, a defensive guru who should close some holes in a defense that last year allowed 6.03 yards per play. The Commodores, known for playing above their talent, have hit hard times after a banner 9-4 season in 2013, going 3-9 in 2015 and 4-8 last year. Vandy lost 19-10 at South Carolina last season. However, Derek Mason has a strong defensive background. Will either team score in regulation time?
Southern Utah at Utah
Our call: 31-7 for Utah
The Thunderbirds went 8-4 in 2015, losing to Sam Houston State in the first round of the FCS playoffs. The Utes finished 10-3 after beating BYU 35-28 in the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl.
Weber State at Utah State
Our call: 35-14 for Utah State
The Wildcats were 6-5 in 2015 in an up and down year. The Aggies lost to Akron in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl to finish last season 6-7.
Rice at Western Kentucky
OL: 16.5 points in favor of the Hilltoppers. UL: 17 points. O/U: 62.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 28.72 points in favor of Western Kentucky.
Our call: 52-20 for Western Kentucky
The Owls were 5-7 last season. The Hilltoppers were 3rd nationally in scoring offense, finished 12-2 and beat South Florida 45-35 in the Miami Beach Bowl.
Oregon State at Minnesota
OL: 9.5 points in favor of Minnesota. UL: 12 points. O/U: 50. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 16.33 points in favor of the Golden Gophers.
Our call: 38-17 for Minnesota
Tracy Claeys takes over for Jerry Kill as the head coach for Minnesota, 6-7 last year, beating Central Michigan 21-14 in the Quick Lane Bowl. Oregon State finished 2015 at 2-10.
South Dakota at New Mexico
Our call: 40-27 for New Mexico
The Coyotes were 5-6 last year. The Lobos finished last season 7-6 after beating Arizona 45-37 in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl.
Montana State at Idaho
Our call: 31-28 for Idaho
The Bobcats were 5-6 last year, while the Vandals were 4-8. Idaho is transitioning to FCS.
Jackson State at UNLV
Our call: 45-7 for UNLV
The Rebels were 3-9 last season, while the Jackson State Rebels were 3-8.
Friday, September 2
Mississippi Valley State at Eastern Michigan
Our call: 47-7 for Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were 1-11 last year, while the Delta Devils went 1-10.
Ball State at Georgia State
OL: 1.5 points in favor of Georgia State. UL: 2.5 points. O/U: 54. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 7.24 points in favor of Georgia State.
Our call: 35-27 for Georgia State
The Cardinals posted a 3-9 record in 2015, while the Panthers were 6-7 after losing 27-16 to San Jose State in the Autonation Cure Bowl.
Albany at Buffalo
Our call: 49-7 for Buffalo
The Bulls beat Albany 51-14 last year. The Great Danes were 3-8. Buffalo lost their last three games in 2015 to go 5-7 but is an improving team under now 2nd year head coach Lance Leipold and better recruiting should be reaping rewards.
Colgate at Syracuse
Our call: 45-14 for Syracuse
The Raiders were 9-5 last season, losing to Sam Houston 48-21 in the FCS playoff quarterfinals. Syracuse was 4-8 in 2015. Dino Babers takes over the head coaching reigns of the Orange, and that means a prolific offense is coming to Syracuse.
Army at Temple
OL: 19 points in favor of Temple. UL: 16.5 points. O/U: 46. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 22.30 points in favor of Temple.
Our call: 35-7 for Temple
The Black Knights were 2-10 last season, while the Owls finished 10-4 after losing to Toledo 32-17 in the Marmot Boca Raton Bowl.
Furman at Michigan State
Our call: 45-7 for the Spartans.
The Paladins were 4-7 last year including a 42-3 loss at Virginia Tech. The Spartans are traditionally such a strong athletic team that it is hard to imagine that even a good FCS team could keep up with them. However, Michigan State struggled against an even better athletic team such as Alabama, losing ignominiously 38-0 to the Crimson Tide last season in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl CFP Semifinal. What this season portends is unknown.
Northwestern State at Baylor
Our call: 49-0 for Baylor.
Jim Grobe says that there is no widespread "bad culture" at Baylor University and that many have been hurt by the few. Our comment: People should get away from guilt by institutional association and/or wrongful punishment of the innocent as problem solutions for bad or even criminal behavior by some. Punish the guilty, that is a basic rule of the civilized legal world.
Colorado State vs. Colorado, Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
OL: 7 points in favor of Colorado. UL: 8.5 points. O/U: 54. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 2.84 points in favor of the Buffaloes.
Our call: 31-30 for the Colorado Buffaloes over the Rams.
The Rams were 7-6 last season, losing to Nevada 28-23 in the Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl, while the Buffaloes were 4-9, with some close games against strong teams.
Kansas State at Stanford
OL: 16 points in favor of Stanford. UL: 15.5 points. O/U: 49.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 19.28 points in favor of the Cardinal.
Our call: 38-17 for the Stanford Cardinal over the K-State Wildcats.
We are a Stanford Law School alumnus and thus of course somewhat biased. Our stats warrant an even larger spread, but you can never underestimate Bill Snyder. Read about Christian McCaffrey at Campus Rush by Chris Ballard.
Talent is the key, but hard work is the name of the game.
Toledo at Arkansas State
OL: 1.5 points in favor of Arkansas State. UL: 3.0 points in favor of the Red Wolves. O/U: 66.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 6.09 points in favor of the Toledo Rockets.
Our call: 33-31 for Toledo.
Our stats make the Rockets 9 point favorites minus the home field advantage which Kambour here has as 6.6685 points for the Red Wolves. The Rockets, 10-2 last season, could go undefeated this year.
Cal Poly at Nevada
Our call: 34-17 for Nevada.
The Mustangs were 4-7 last season. The Wolf Pack finished 7-6 last season, beating Colorado State 28-23 in the Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl.
Saturday, September 3
Georgia Tech vs. Boston College at Aviva Stadium, Dublin
OL: 3.0 points in favor of Georgia Tech. UL: 3.5 points. O/U: 44. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 2.56 points in favor of the Yellow Jackets.
Our call: 21-20 for Georgia Tech.
The Eagles lost 8 straight to close out the 2015 season. As good as the defense was, the offense was worse. The Georgia Tech Yellowjackets lost their last four and went 3-9, losing all the close ones, and there were many. You have to learn how to win the cliff-hangers. It is the runner-up mindset that is at fault for that. You have to play "to win", not "not to lose".
Oklahoma vs. Houston at NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
OL: 10.0 points in favor of Oklahoma. UL: 10.0 points. O/U: 68. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 6.45 points in favor of the Sooners.
Our call: 31-27 for the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Cougars had a fabulous 13-1 season in 2015, losing only to UConn 20-17 (when Greg Ward Jr. was injured, playing only sparingly) and beating Florida State 38-24 in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl. The Sooners went 10-2 with losses to Texas 24-17 and to Clemson 37-17 in the Capitol One Orange Bowl CFP Semifinal game. Clemson beat Florida State 23-13.
Fordham at Navy
Our call: 38-17 for Navy
The Rams were 9-3 last season, beating Army 37-35 in their opener. The Midshipmen were 11-2 including a 21-17 regular season closing win over the Black Knights and a 44-28 win over Pittsburgh in the Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman.
Eastern Kentucky at Purdue
Our call: 35-21 for Purdue
The Colonels had a 6-5 season last year, losing to NC State 35-0. The Boilermakers were 2-10, but beat a weakened Nebraska team 55-45.
Bowling Green at Ohio State
OL: 26.5 points in favor of Ohio State. UL: 27.5 points. O/U: 56. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 18.47 points in favor of the Buckeyes.
Our call: 45-28 for Ohio State
Urban Meyer's Buckeyes start the season by hosting the school at which Meyer started his head coaching career (2001-2002), so one can surely not expect Ohio State to unleash all of its potential powers in this game. At USA Today, George Schroeder writes: "Six starters return — fewest among FBS teams. There are only six seniors on the entire roster. Forty-four scholarship players — almost 52 percent of the Buckeyes' total — have never taken a college snap." Ohio State will be good of course, but just how good remains open. Former Falcon HC Dino Babers is now the head coach at Syracuse. His successor Mike Jinks has received an unusual accolade from Falcon Athletic Director Chris Kingston, who says (we quote from an article by Joe Bush in AmericanSportsNet.com at First-time head coach Mike Jinks ready to tackle BGSU challenge): "He has the emotional intelligence to reach kids where they’re at perhaps better than anyone I’ve ever seen."
Western Michigan at Northwestern
OL: 6-5 points in favor of Northwestern. UL: 6.5 points. O/U: 56. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 1.85 points in favor of the Wildcats.
Our call: 24-17 for Northwestern
The Broncos were 8-5 in 2015 with a 45-31 victory over Middle Tennessee in the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl but losses to Big Ten Michigan State 37-24 and Ohio State 38-12. The Wildcats went 10-3 last season, beating Stanford (16-6), Nebraska, Penn State and Wisconsin, but losing 38-0 and 40-10 respectively to Michigan and Iowa in the regular season and 45-6 to Tennessee in the Outback Bowl.
Hawaii at Michigan
OL: 42 points in favor of Michigan. UL: 41.5 points. O/U: 52. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 37.83 points in favor of the Wolverines.
Our call: 52-7 for Michigan.
One of the most interesting things this season will be to see if Harbaugh's team can match the magic that he has brought to Wolverine expectations. Certainly Michigan's 41-7 win over Florida in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl raised eyebrows. Hawaii has a new head coach in former Rainbow QB Nick Rolovich, who comes from a post at Nevada as OC, and for whom 500+ yard passing games are no surprise, so we expect tons more offense than last season under HC Norm Chow and interim HC Chris Naeole. In this game, however, the Warriors may be facing the country's best defense, which was nearly top already last year and now has Don Brown as the new defensive coordinator, coming from a fantastic defensive year at Boston College, which earned Brown the 2015 FBS Assistant Coach of the Year award from the American Football Coaches Association.
Boise State at Louisiana Lafayette (ULL)
OL: 20.0 points in favor of Boise State. UL: 20.0 points. O/U: 60.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 22.24 points in favor of the Broncos.
Our call: 45-21 for Boise State
The Ragin' Cajuns were a disappointing 4-8 last season. The Broncos finished 9-4 with an impressive 55-7 win over Northern Illinois in the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl.
South Alabama at Mississippi State
OL: 33.5 points in favor of Mississippi State. UL: 31.5 points. O/U: 58.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 32.19 points in favor of the Bulldogs.
Our call: 45-14 for Mississippi State
Last season the Bulldogs went 9-4 including a 51-28 win over NC State in the Belk Bowl. State lost all of its games against ranked teams and won the rest. The Jaguars were 5-7, losing their last three regular season games.
Missouri at West Virginia
OL: 13.0 points in favor of West Virginia. UL: 10.5 points. O/U: 54.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 13.96 points in favor of the Mountaineers.
Our call: 28-17 for West Virginia
Missouri, 5-7 last year, has a new head coach in Barry Odom, promoted from his defensive coordinator position. The Mountaineers were 8-5 last season, with a 43-42 win over Arizona State in the Cactus Bowl.
Howard at Maryland
Our call: 49-0 for Maryland
The Bison were 1-10 last year with a 76-0 loss to Boston College. D.J. Durkin, previously the Michigan defensive coordinator, is the new head coach for the Terrapins, who were 3-9 last season.
Liberty at Virginia Tech
Our call: 47-14 for Virginia Tech
The Flames were 6-5 in 2015, losing to West Virginia 41-17. Justin Fuente is the new head coach in Blacksburg, coming from Memphis. The Hokies went 7-6 last year, as the legendary retiring head coach Frank Beamer went out in style, beating Tulsa 55-52 in the Camping World Independence Bowl.
Villanova at Pittsburgh
Our call: 34-7 for Pittsburgh
'Nova was 6-5 in 2015, losing to UConn 20-15. The Panthers finished the 2015 season at 8-5 after a 44-28 loss to Navy in the Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman.
Abilene Christian at Air Force
Our call: 52-7 for Air Force
The Wildcats were 3-8 last year, losing to Fresno State 34-13. The Falcons finished 8-6 after a 55-36 loss to Cal in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl.
Rutgers at Washington
OL: 22.5 points in favor of Washington. UL: 26.0 points. O/U: 55. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 22.23 points in favor of the Huskies.
Our call: 31-21 for Washington
The Scarlet Knights, who had a 4-8 won-loss record and a turbulent off-field season in 2015, have a new head coach in Chris Ash, previously co-defensive coordinator and safeties coach for the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Huskies finished 7-6 after a 44-31 win over Southern Miss in Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl.
UCLA at Texas A&M
OL: 1 point in favor of Texas A&M. UL: 2 points. O/U: 55. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 2.03 points in favor of the Aggies.
Our call: 31-27 for UCLA
The Bruins finished 8-5 in 2015 after losing to Nebraska in the Foster Farms Bowl 37-29. UCLA beat four ranked teams during the season. The Aggies beat two ranked teams and also finished last season 8-5 after losing to Louisville 27-21 in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl.
LSU vs. Wisconsin at Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
OL: 8.5 points in favor of LSU. UL: 10.0 points. O/U: 44.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 2.32 points in favor of LSU.
Our call: 30-23 for LSU
The Tigers beat three ranked teams and were 9-3 for the year in 2015, topping Texas Tech 56-27 in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl. The Badgers closed out a 10-3 campaign in 2015 with a 23-21 win over USC in the National Funding Holiday Bowl.
Richmond at Virginia
Our call: 38-17 for Virginia
Bronco Mendenhall has arrived from BYU to coach the Cavaliers and there has been a substantial culture change. Richmond made it to the FCS playoff semifinals last season, but lost 33-7 in the semifinals to the ultimate champion, North Dakota State, as the Bison won their 5th straight FCS title.
Kent State at Penn State
OL: 20.0 points in favor of Penn State. UL: 20.0 points. O/U: 47.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 21.28 points in favor of the Nittany Lions.
Our call: 35-7 for Penn State
The Golden Flashes were 3-9 last season, losing their last five games. The Nittany Lions went 7-6 after a 24-17 loss to Georgia in the Taxslayer Bowl.
Miami of Ohio at Iowa
OL: 30.0 points in favor of Iowa. UL: 27.5 points. O/U: 52. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 28.82 points in favor of the Hawkeyes.
Our call: 44-7 for Iowa
The RedHawks were 3-9 in 2015. The Hawkeyes were 12-2, losing their last two games, 16-13 to Michigan State and 45-16 to Stanford in the Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual.
Texas State at Ohio
OL: 18.5 points in favor of Ohio. UL: 21 points. O/U: 59. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 17.72 points in favor of the Bobcats.
Our call: 31-24 for Ohio
Bobcat time. The Texas State Bobcats were 3-9 last year, while the Ohio Bobcats finished 8-5 after a 31-29 loss to Appalachian State in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl. Texas State has a new head coach in the person of Everett Withers, who comes from a head coaching position at James Madison. Withers has also been a defensive coordinator at Ohio State.
Murray State at Illinois
Our call: 41-7 for Illinois
The Racers were 3-8 last year, while the Illini were 5-7. Illinois has a new head coach, Lovie Smith, a former head coach in the NFL with the Chicago Bears, where he posted an 81-63 record. It will be interesting to see if this pulls more top recruits to Illinois.
Southeastern Louisiana at Oklahoma State
Our call: 61-7 for Oklahoma State
The Lions finished 4-6 last season, losing their last four games. The Cowboys lost their last three games and were 10-3 in 2015 after a 48-20 loss to Ole Miss in the Allstate Sugar Bowl.
Louisiana Tech at Arkansas
OL: 20.5 points in favor of Arkansas. UL: 25.5 points. O/U: 56.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 16.87 points in favor of the Razorbacks.
Our call: 44-28 for Arkansas
The Bulldogs topped off a 9-4 season in 2015 with a 47-28 win over Arkansas State in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl. The Razorbacks completed an 8-5 season after beating Kansas State 45-23 in the Autozone Liberty Bowl.
UC Davis at Oregon
Our call: 63-0 for Oregon
The Aggies of UC Davis were 2-9. The Ducks had a turbulent season, winning one overtime game and losing two others, including a 47-41 three overtime loss to TCU in the Valero Alamo Bowl, to finish the season at 9-4.
Georgia vs. North Carolina at the Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
OL: 3.0 points in favor of Georgia. UL: 2.5 points in favor of the Bulldogs. O/U: 54.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 1.17 points in favor of the Tar Heels.
Our call: 31-27 for Georgia
The Bulldogs have a new head coach in Kirby Smart. The Tar Heels lost offensive coordinator Seth Littrell to North Texas, who hired him as the head coach. Associate Head Coach Chris Kapilovic was promoted to OC.
Southern Illinois at Florida Atlantic (FAU)
Our call: 30-23 for Florida Atlantic
The Salukis were 3-8 in 2015, while the Owls were 3-9.
Hampton at Old Dominion
Our call: 38-17 for Old Dominion
The Pirates closed out the year 6-5. The Monarchs finished 5-7 in 2015.
North Carolina Central at Duke
Our call: 47-7 for Duke
The Eagles of NC Central were 8-3 last season, winning their last seven games. The Blue Devils finished 8-5 with a 44-41 overtime win over Indiana in the New Era Pinstripe Bowl.
Western Carolina at East Carolina
Our call: 38-21 for East Carolina
The Leathernecks were 7-4 last year, while the Pirates finished 5-7.
Scottie Montgomery is the new head coach at East Carolina.
Florida A&M at Miami of Florida
Our call: 55-7 for Miami of Florida
The Rattlers were 1-10 last season. The Mark Richt head coaching era at Miami begins. The Hurricanes were 8-5 last season with a 20-14 loss to Washington State in the Hyundai Sun Bowl.
Savannah State at Georgia Southern
Our call: 56-0 for Georgia Southern
The Tigers were 1-9 in 2015. The Eagles capped a strong 9-4 season with a 58-27 victory over Bowling Green in the Godaddy Bowl.
Austin Peay at Troy
Our call: 44-7 for Troy
The Governors were 0-11 last season, losing 47-7 to Vanderbilt. The Trojans finished the season 4-8.
VMI at Akron
Our call: 37-7 for Akron
The Keydets were 2-9 last year, while the Zips closed out with five straight winners to finish at 8-5 with a 23-21 win over Utah State in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.
Alabama A&M at Middle Tennessee (MTSU)
Our call: 61-7 for MTSU
The Bulldogs went 3-8 in 2015, including a 52-10 loss to Cincinnati, while Middle Tennessee finished the season at 7-6 by losing to Western Michigan 45-31 in the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl.
SMU at North Texas
OL: 12.5 points in favor of SMU. UL: 9.5 points. O/U: 66. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 4.89 points in favor of the Mustangs.
Our call: 31-27 for North Texas
The Mustangs were 2-10 in 2015, while the Mean Green were 1-11, losing to SMU 31-13. Football "air raid time" now in Denton as North Texas has a new head coach in the person of former North Carolina Tar Heels former offensive coordinator Seth Littrell.
San José State at Tulsa
OL: 6.0 points in favor of Tulsa. UL: 4.0 points. O/U: 70. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 3.11 points in favor of The Golden Hurricane.
Our call: 38-31 for Tulsa
The Spartans finished 6-7 in 2015, topping Georgia State 27-16 in the Autonation Cure Bowl. The Golden Hurricane also ended up 6-7 after losing 55-52 to Virginia Tech in the Camping World Independence Bowl.
Towson at South Florida (USF)
Our call: 41-14 for South Florida
The Tigers went 7-4 in 2016, while the Bulls were 8-5 after a 45-35 loss to Western Kentucky in the Miami Beach Bowl.
South Carolina State at UCF (Central Florida)
Our call: 42-7 for UCF
The Bulldogs were 7-4 last year. In 2015, Central Florida's UCF Knights went 0-12 and this season have a new head coach in the former Nebraska Cornhuskers national championship QB Scott Frost.
Rhode Island at Kansas
Our call: 38-7 for Kansas
The Rams were 1-10 in 2015. The Jayhawks finished last season 0-12.
Southeast Missouri State at Memphis
Our call: 45-17 for Memphis
The Redhawks were 4-7 in 2015, while the 9-4 Tigers closed out the regular season with a 63-0 win over SMU, but then lost 31-10 to Auburn in the Birmingham Bowl.
Alabama State at Texas San Antonio (UTSA)
Our call: 38-14 for UTSA
The Hornets went 6-5 in 2015, while the Roadrunners were 3-9 last season.
Southern at Louisiana Monroe (ULM)
Our call: 35-14 for Louisiana Monroe
The Jaguars were 6-5 last year, losing to Louisiana Tech 62-15 and to Georgia 48-6. LA Monroe went 2-11 for the season.
Southern Mississippi at Kentucky
OL: 7 points in favor of Kentucky. UL: 6 points in favor of the Wildcats. O/U: 60. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 1.23 points in favor of the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss.
Our call: 35-27 for Kentucky
Southern Miss head coach Todd Monken, who turned the program of the Golden Eagles around, from 1-11 in 2013 to 9-5 in 2015, has gone to the NFL and has been replaced by Jay Hopson. The Kentucky Wildcats went 5-7 last year.
Massachusetts at Florida
OL: 36.5 points in favor of Florida. UL: 35.5 points. O/U: 48.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 26.59 points in favor of the Gators.
Our call: 45-7 for Florida
The Minutemen finished the year 2015 with a won-loss record of 3-9, while Florida lost its last three and went to 10-4 after a 41-7 loss to Michigan in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl.
USC (Southern Cal) vs. Alabama at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
OL: 10 points in favor of Alabama. UL: 10 points. O/U: 54.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 14.45 points in favor of the Crimson Tide.
Our call: 42-21 for Alabama
The Trojans were 8-6 in 2015, while the Crimson Tide went 14-1 and won the national championship game against Clemson 45-40. As the season showed, Alabama could only be matched by a team with a great offense. This year, the 'Bama quarterback position is unclear, so that a repeat national championship may be difficult.
Northern Iowa at Iowa State
Our call: 34-27 for Iowa State
The Panthers were 9-5 in 2015, losing to Iowa State 31-7, while the Cyclones ended up at 3-9. Iowa State has a new head coach in Matt Campbell.
Fresno State at Nebraska
OL: 29.5 points in favor of Nebraska. UL: 29.0 points. O/U: 60. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 26.74 points in favor of the Huskers.
Our call: 41-17 for the Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Bulldogs were 3-9 last year, losing 73-21 to Ole Miss. Nebraska in 2015 was 6-7. The Huskers have lost their special identity both as to staff and style of play so that Huskerland is finding it difficult to fill Memorial Stadium and keep the Husker sell-out record intact.
Eastern Washington at Washington State
Our call: 47-17 for Washington State
The Eagles were 6-5 in 2015 while the Cougars finished 9-4 with a 20-14 win over Miami of Florida in the Hyundai Sun Bowl.
New Mexico State at UTEP
OL: 3.5 points in favor of UTEP. UL: 7.5 points. O/U: 61.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 6.35 points in favor of the Miners.
Our call: 38-30 for UTEP
The Aggies were 3-9 in 2015, while Texas El Paso finished 5-7.
South Dakota State at TCU
Our call: 41-14 for TCU
The Jackrabbits beat FBS Kansas last season and finished 8-4. The Horned Frogs were 11-2 last season, winning their last two games in overtime, 28-21 over Baylor in two overtimes and 47-41 over Oregon in the Valero Alamo Bowl in three overtimes.
Stephen F Austin at Texas Tech
Our call: 52-17 for Texas Tech
The Lumberjacks were 4-7 last year, losing 70-7 to TCU. The Red Raiders finished the season 7-6 after losing to LSU 56-27 in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl.
New Hampshire at San Diego State
Our call: 38-14 for San Diego State
After beating in-town rival San Diego, the Aztecs then lost three straight at the beginning of last season and then closed with 10 straight wins, finishing 11-3 with a convincing 42-7 win over Cincinnati in the Hawaii Bowl.
Clemson at Auburn
OL: 8.5 points in favor of Clemson. UL: 7.0 points. O/U: 59. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 9.97 points in favor of Clemson.
Our call: 30-24 for Clemson
If not for a Nick Saban called and Tide recovered onside kick, Clemson, 14-1 last season and ranked 2nd in the nation, might have won the national championship. Clemson has the generally acknowledged best quarterback in college football today in Deshaun Watson. Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn has a new defensive coordinator in Kevin Steele and says he may have one his best defenses this year. Last season Auburn finished with a 7-6 record, closing with a 31-10 win over Memphis in the Birmingham Bowl.
Arizona vs. BYU at University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
OL: 0.0 points. UL: 1.5 points in favor of Arizona. O/U: 63. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 4.12 points in favor of the BYU Cougars.
Our call: 31-30 for Arizona
Rich Rodriguez has made staff changes while former Brigham Young head coach Bronco Mendenhall is now at Virginia. His successor at BYU is Kalani Sitake, last season assistant head coach and defensive coordinator at Oregon State, and previously at Utah. There are other changes on the coaching staff and money may be an issue. We think that BYU has lost one of the best coaches in college football to Virginia, so it could be a transition year for BYU, 9-4 last season, with a 35-28 loss to Utah in the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl. Arizona was 7-6 with a 45-37 win over New Mexico in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl.
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
OL: 10.5 points in favor of Northern Illinois. UL: 10.5 points. O/U: 58. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 10.28 points in favor of the Huskies.
Our call: 27-23 for Northern Illinois.
The Huskies were 8-6 last year after losing to Boise State 55-7 in the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl. Head coach Craig Bohl's job at Wyoming, after leading the North Dakota State Bison to three straight FCS national championships, was obviously to clean house and rebuild, which is not easily done in a year or two out in Big Sky country. Bohl and his staff have to find the right players, and the talent base in sparsely-populated Wyoming and surrounding states is thin. This third year some recruiting success should be apparent in better game results. 18 returning starters, 9 on each side of the ball suggest that Wyoming will be much improved this year, just due to experience. The Cowboys finished 2-10 last year with a season-closing 35-28 win over UNLV.
Northern Arizona at Arizona State
Our call: 55-7 for Arizona State
The Lumberjacks were 7-4 last season, losing 77-13 to Arizona. The Sun Devils of Arizona State finished 6-7 after losing to West Virginia 43-42 in the Motel 6 Cactus Bowl.
Sunday, September 4
Notre Dame at Texas
OL: 4.5 points in favor of Notre Dame. UL: 4.5 points. O/U: 59. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 6.25 points in favor of the Fighting Irish.
Our call: 27-26 for Texas
The Fighting Irish finished the season 10-3, losing by two points each to Clemson and Stanford in away games, and then falling to Ohio State 44-28 in the Battlefrog Fiesta Bowl. The Longhorns struggled to a 5-7 record, their second straight losing year under head coach Charlie Strong. However, a midseason 24-17 win over Oklahoma and a season-ending 23-17 win over Baylor showed it can be done. In spite of a 2015 home win over Texas 38-3, this game is no gimme for Notre Dame, who returns only 8 starters. Can Texas pull of the upset? We think it is possible.
Monday, September 5
Mississippi (Ole Miss) vs. Florida State at the Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, FL
OL: 5.5 points in favor of Florida State. UL: 4.0 points. O/U: 57.5. The prediction average at CFPT thus far stands at 0.26 points in favor of the Seminoles.
Our call: 31-30 for Ole Miss
Ole Miss was 10-3 last season, drubbing Oklahoma State 48-20 in the Allstate Sugar Bowl. Quarterback Chad Kelly is generally regarded to be the best at his position in the SEC. If the Rebels can maintain consistently good play, they will be formidable. The Seminoles were 10-3 in 2015, losing to Houston 38-24 in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl.
"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)
Saturday, August 20, 2016
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Sky Earth Native America
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy,
Volume 1, Edition 2, 266 pages, by Andis Kaulins.
Sky Earth Native America 2 :
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy,
Volume 2, Edition 2, 262 pages, by Andis Kaulins.
Both volumes have the same cover except for the labels "Volume 1" viz. "Volume 2".
The image on the cover was created using public domain space photos of Earth from NASA.
Both book volumes contain the following basic book description:
"Alice Cunningham Fletcher observed in her 1902 publication in the American Anthropologist
that there is ample evidence that some ancient cultures in Native America, e.g. the Pawnee in Nebraska,
geographically located their villages according to patterns seen in stars of the heavens.
See Alice C. Fletcher, Star Cult Among the Pawnee--A Preliminary Report,
American Anthropologist, 4, 730-736, 1902.
Ralph N. Buckstaff wrote:
"These Indians recognized the constellations as we do, also the important stars,
drawing them according to their magnitude.
The groups were placed with a great deal of thought and care and show long study.
... They were keen observers....
The Pawnee Indians must have had a knowledge of astronomy comparable to that of the early white men."
See Ralph N. Buckstaff, Stars and Constellations of a Pawnee Sky Map,
American Anthropologist, Vol. 29, Nr. 2, April-June 1927, pp. 279-285, 1927.
In our book, we take these observations one level further
and show that megalithic sites and petroglyphic rock carving and pictographic rock art in Native America,
together with mounds and earthworks, were made to represent territorial geographic landmarks
placed according to the stars of the sky using the ready map of the starry sky
in the hermetic tradition, "as above, so below".
That mirror image of the heavens on terrestrial land is the "Sky Earth" of Native America,
whose "rock stars" are the real stars of the heavens, "immortalized" by rock art petroglyphs, pictographs,
cave paintings, earthworks and mounds of various kinds (stone, earth, shells) on our Earth.
These landmarks were placed systematically
in North America, Central America (Meso-America) and South America
and can to a large degree be reconstructed as the Sky Earth of Native America."
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