Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Week 4 2013 College Football FBS Game Predictions by SportPundit

Week 4 2013 College Football FBS Game Predictions by SportPundit

Here are our College Football Predictions for Week 4 2013 relying on YPPSYS, our Yards Per Play System and our FBS Ratings and Rankings of all 125 Teams after Week 3.
Skip the indented material if you are already familiar with it. 
What makes a good prognosticator? Confidence and/or Accuracy?
And how about keeping all those conference changes straight?

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win
YPPSYS means "yards per play system", as that is our main ranking component, based primarily on stats at cfbstats.com, but we also use schedule difficulty and conference rankings as based on calculations e.g. at Massey Ratings. At YPPSYS, we regard a difference of one rating point to be worth about 7 points on the scoreboard, a calculation, of course, that is not absolute, given home field advantages, etc. We calculate the home field advantage at an average of about 3 points.

The betting lines ("odds" or "spread") used here are taken from
the College Football Prediction Tracker as of Monday, September 16, 2013, 10:22 AM, or, if CFPT does not have the odds, from Oddsshark as of September 16, 2013. Please be aware that odds often change over time clear up to game time, but we do not change them here, using the spreads from the above sources as our comparison odds!
Thursday, September 19, 2013

Clemson Tigers at North Carolina State Wolfpack
The Tigers are favored over the Wolfpack by 14.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for the Wolfpack.

Friday, September 20, 2013

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs

The Bulldogs are favored over the Broncos by 3.5 points. 
Our call: 31-30 for the Broncos.
 
Saturday, September 21, 2013

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies
The Wolverines are favored over the Huskies by 17.5 points.
Our call: 38-24 for the Wolverines.

San Jose State Spartans at Minnesota Golden Gophers
The Golden Gophers are favored over the Spartans by 5.5 points.
Our call: 26-24 for the Spartans.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Army Black Knights
The Demon Deacons are favored over the Black Knights by 3.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for the Black Knights.

FIU (Florida International) Golden Panthers at Louisville Cardinals
The Cardinals are favored over the Golden Panthers by 42 points.
Our call: 56-7 for the Cardinals.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Massachusetts Minutemen
The Commodores are favored over the Minutemen by 31 points.
Our call: 44-14 for the Commodores.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Ohio State Buckeyes
The Buckeyes are favored over the Rattlers by 51 points.
Our call: 59-7 for the Buckeyes.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Virginia Tech Hokies
The Hokies are favored over the Thundering Herd by 10.5 points.
Our call: 21-17 for the Hokies.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Kansas Jayhawks
The Jayhawks are favored over the Bulldogs by 9 points.
Our call: 28-24 for the Jayhawks.

Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas
The Rockets are favored over the Chippewas by 14 points.
Our call: 31-21 for the Rockets.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
The Yellow Jackets are favored over the Tar Heels by 6 points.
Our call: 38-23 for the Yellow Jackets.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at FAU (Florida Atlantic) Owls
The Blue Raiders are favored over the Owls by 5 points.
Our call: 23-20 for the Owls.

Western Michigan Broncos at Iowa Hawkeyes
The Hawkeyes are favored over the Broncos by 17 points.
Our call: 31-17 for the Hawkeyes.

North Texas Mean Green at Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldogs are favored over the Mean Green by 32 points.
Our call: 48-17 for the Bulldogs.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils
The Panthers are favored over the Blue Devils by 4 points.
Our call: 38-28 for the Panthers.

Tulane Green Wave at Syracuse Orange
The Orange are favored over the Green Wave by 14 points.
Our call: 30-17 for Syracuse.

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles
The Cardinals are favored over the Eagles by 11.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for the Cardinals.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Georgia State Panthers
The Gamecocks are favored over the Panthers by 9.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for the Gamecocks.

Austin Peay Governors at Ohio Bobcats
The Bobcatss are favored over the Governors by 29 points.
Our call:45-7 for the Bobcats.

Houston Cougars vs. Rice Owls
The Cougars are favored over the Owls by 1.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for the Owls.

Northwestern State Demons at UAB Blazers
The Blazers are favored over the Demons by 15 points.
Our call: 57-17 for the Blazers.

Idaho State Bengals at Washington Huskies
The Huskies are favored over the Bengals by 49 points.
Our call: 52-0 for the Huskies.

Maine Black Bears at Northwestern Wildcats 
The Wildcats are favored over the Black Bears by 28 points.
Our call: 38-17 for the Wildcats.

Utah State Aggies at USC Trojans
The Trojans are favored over the Aggies by 6.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for the Aggies.

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers
The Badgers are favored over the Boilermakers by 23.5 points.
Our call: 38-14 for the Badgers.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
The Razorbacks  and Rutgers are seen as even.
Our call: 28-27 for the Scarlet Knights.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions are favored over the Golden Flashes by 20.5 points.
Our call: 38-17 for the Nittany Lions.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins
The Terrapins are favored over the Mountaineers by 5.5 points.
Our call: 38-27 for the Terrapins.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators
The Gators are favored over the Volunteers by 16 points.
Our call: 30-17 for the Gators.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The Fighting Irish are favored over the Spartans by 7 points.
Our call: 21-20 for the Spartans.

Murray State Racers at Bowling Green Falcons
The Falcons are favored over the Racers by 25.5 points.
Our call: 49-13 for the Falcons.

VMI Keydets at Virginia Cavaliers
The Cavaliers are favored over the Keydets by 42 points.
Our call: 52-7 for the Cavaliers.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Huskers are favored over the Jackrabbits by 22 points.
Our call: 51-27 for the Huskers.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks
The Bearcats are favored over the RedHawks by 21 points.
Our call: 41-17 for the Bearcats.

Louisiana Monroe (ULM) WarHawks at Baylor Bears
The Bears are favored over the WarHawks by 27 points.
Our call: 52-14 for the Wolfpack.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Memphis Tigers
The Red Wolves are favored over the Tigers by 6 points.
Our call: 31-27 for the Red Wolves.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles
The Seminoles are favored over the Wildcats by 40 points.
Our call: 61-17 for the Seminoles.

Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Akron Zips
The Ragin' Cajuns are favored over the Zips by 7.5 points.
Our call: 35-31 for the Ragin' Cajuns.

Eastern Illinois Panthers at Northern Illinois Huskies
The Huskies are favored over the Panthers by 16.5 points.
Our call: 49-38 for the Huskies.

Morgan State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
The Hilltoppers are favored over the Bears by 32 points.
Our call: 38-17 for the Hilltoppers.

Savannah State Tigers at Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes
The Hurricanes are favored over the Tigers by 60 points.
Our call: 77-7 for the Hurricanes.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide
The Crimson Tide are favored over the Rams by 38.5 points.
Our call: 42-7 for the Crimson Tide.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies are favored over the Mustangs by 28.5 points.
Our call: 51-20 for the Aggies.

Texas State Bobcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders
The Red Raiders are favored over the Bobcats by 25.5 points.
Our call: 41-14 for the Red Raiders.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinals
The Cardinal is favored over the Sun Devils by 7.5 points.
Our call: 35-21 for Stanford.

Oregon State Beavers at San Diego State Aztecs
The Beavers are favored over the Aztecs by 11 points.
Our call: 35-30 for the Beavers.

Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs are favored over the Trojans by 14.5 points.
Our call: 41-21 for the Bulldogs.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers
The Tigers of LSU are favored over the Tigers of Auburn by 16.5 points.
Our call: 41-28 for LSU.

Missouri Tigers at Indiana Hoosiers
The Tigers are favored over the Hoosiers by 4.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for the Hoosiers.

UTSA (Texas-San Antonio) Roadrunners at UTEP (Texas El Paso) Miners
The Miners are favored over the Roadrunners by 2.5 points.
Our call: 44-31 for the Roadrunners.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns
The Longhorns are favored over the Wildcats by 6 points.
Our call: 37-28 for the Wildcats.

Hawaii Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack
The Wolf Pack are favored over the Warriors by 12.5 points.
Our call: 26-24 for the Wolf Pack.

Western Illinois Leathernecks at UNLV Rebels
The Rebels are favored over the Leathernecks by 12 points.
Our call: 34-21 for the Rebels.

Wyoming Cowboys at Air Force Falcons
The Cowboys are favored over the Falcons by 2.5 points.
Our call: 33-28 for Wyoming.

Utah Utes at BYU Cougars
The Cougars are favored over the Utes by 7 points.
Our call: 30-28 for BYU.

Idaho Vandals at Washington State Cougars
The Cougars are favored over the Vandals by 30.5 points.
Our call: 43-10 for Washington State.

New Mexico State Aggies at UCLA Bruins
The Bruins are favored over the Aggies by 42 points.
Our call: 60-7 for the Bruins.

Crossposted from SportPundit.

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