Friday, September 13, 2013

Week 3 2013 College Football FBS Game Prediction RESULTS by SportPundit

Week 3 2013 College Football FBS Game Prediction RESULTS by SportPundit

This week we were 48-11 in calling the winner and 31-28 against the spread. After the first three weeks of the season we are thus 170-36 in calling the winner and 95-77-2 against the spread.

Here are our College Football Prediction RESULTS for Week 3 2013 relying on YPPSYS, our Yards Per Play System and our "provisional" FBS Ratings and Rankings of all 125 Teams after Week 2.

Note that we have a provisional ranking after Week 2 of all the FBS teams based on our system, but it is so early in the season that this ranking, especially due to the many games with FCS teams, must be taken with a grain of salt.

Skip the indented material if you are already familiar with it. 
What makes a good prognosticator? Confidence and/or Accuracy?
And how about keeping all those conference changes straight?

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

Our game predictions for the 3rd week of College Football 2012 rely in part on our AFTER WEEK 2 2013 FBS Ratings and Rankings but also involve subjective judgment on our part.
YPPSYS means "yards per play system", as that is our main ranking component, based primarily on stats at cfbstats.com, but we also use schedule difficulty and conference rankings as based on calculations e.g. at Massey Ratings. At YPPSYS, we regard a difference of one rating point to be worth about 7 points on the scoreboard, a calculation, of course, that is not absolute, given home field advantages, etc. We calculate the home field advantage at an average of about 3 points.

The betting lines ("odds" or "spread") used here are taken from
the College Football Prediction Tracker as of Wednesday, September 11, 2013, 10:22 AM, or, if CFPT does not have the odds, from Oddsshark as of September 11, 2013. Please be aware that odds often change over time clear up to game time, but we do not change them here, using the spreads from the above sources as our comparison odds!
Thursday, September 12, 2013

TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Red Raiders by 3.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for the Red Raiders.
Result: 20-10 for Texas Tech. 
This week we are 1-0 in calling the winner and 1-0 against the spread. The Red Raiders were outgained 401 to 336 yards but won on the scoreboard 20-10 as both teams had subpar ypp (yards per play) stats under 5 ypp.

Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves
The Red Wolves were favored over the Trojans by 7.5 points.
Our call:  38-28 for Arkansas State.
Result: 41-34 for the Red Wolves. 
This week we are 2-0 in calling the winner and 1-1 against the spread.
The Trojans outgained the Red Wolves 614 to 539 yards but lost 41-34, being outgained 6.9 to 6.5 ypp.

Tulane Green Wave at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
The Bulldogs were favored over the Green Wave by 7.5 points.
Our call:  31-23 for Louisiana State.
Result: 24-15 for the Green Wave. 
This week we are 2-1 in calling the winner and 1-2 against the spread.
Tulane outgained the anemic offense of the Bulldogs 4.6 to 3.9 ypp in winning 24-15. New Bulldog head coach Skip Holtz will have to revamp his ideas about offense or he will soon be out of a job at a school that last year put up impressive offensive stats.

Friday, September 13, 2013

Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos
The Broncos were favored over the Air Force Falcons by 24 points.
Our call:
31-21 for Boise State.
Result: 42-20 for the Broncos. 
This week we are 3-1 in calling the winner and 2-2 against the spread.
The Falcons trailed only 21-17 at the half and 28-20 in the 4th quarter but faded at the close to lose 42-20, as Boise State's Joe Southwick completed 27 of 29 passes.

Saturday, September 14, 2013

Stanford Cardinal at Army Black Knights
The Cardinal was favored by 28.5 points.
Our call: 54-7 for Stanford.
Result: 34-20 for the the Cardinal. 
This week we are 4-1 in calling the winner and 2-3 against the spread.
The Black Knights played inspired football in losing 34-20 to Stanford team that outgained them 7.0 to 4.7 yards per play but only 394 to 333 yards total.

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats 
The Cardinals were favored by 13.5 points.
Our call: 44-24 for Louisville.
Result: 27-13 for the the Cardinals. 
This week we are 5-1 in calling the winner and 3-3 against the spread.
The Cardinals outgained the Wildcats 7.1 to 5.5 ypp in winning 27-13.

Akron Zips at Michigan Wolverines
The Wolverines were favored over the Zips by 37 points.
Our call: 49-7 for Michigan.
Result: 28-24 for the the Wolverines. 
This week we are 6-1 in calling the winner and 3-4 against the spread.
Terry Bowden shows his talent as a head coach as Michigan wins 28-24 against a top-coached Zips team that probably deserved the win in this game.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners
The Sooners were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 24.5 points. 
Our call:  31-10 for Oklahoma.
Result: 51-20 for the the Sooners. 
This week we are 7-1 in calling the winner and 3-5 against the spread.

UCLA Bruins at Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Huskers were favored by 4.5 points over the Bruins.
Our call: 44-27 for UCLA.
Result: 41-21 for the Bruins. 
This week we are 8-1 in calling the winner and 4-5 against the spread.

Bowling Green Falcons at Indiana Hoosiers
The Hoosiers were favored by 2.5 points over Bowling Green.
Our call: 37-27 for Bowling Green.
Result: 42-10 for the Hoosiers. 
This week we are 8-2 in calling the winner and 4-6 against the spread.

Western Illinois Leathernecks at Minnesota Golden Gophers
Minnesota was favored by 24 points.
Our call: 34-13 for Minnesota.
Result: 29-12 for the Golden Gophers. 
This week we are 9-2 in calling the winner and 5-6 against the spread.

Virginia Tech Hokies at East Carolina Pirates
Virginia Tech was favored by 7.5 points.
Our call: 24-16 for the Hokies. 
Result: 15-10 for the Hokies. 
This week we are 10-2 in calling the winner and 5-7 against the spread.

Georgia State Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers
The Mountaineers were favored by 39 points.
Our call: 47-14 for West Virginia.
Result: 41-7 for the Mountaineers. 
This week we are 11-2 in calling the winner and 6-7 against the spread.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Arkansas Razorbacks
The Razorbacks were favored by 22 points.
Our call: 33-24 for Arkansas.
Result: 24-3 for the Razorbacks. 
This week we are 12-2 in calling the winner and 7-7 against the spread.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Demon Deacons were favored by 3 points.
Our call: 27-17 for Louisiana-Monroe.
Result: 21-19 for the WarHawks. 
This week we are 13-2 in calling the winner and 8-7 against the spread.

New Mexico Lobos at Pittsburgh Panthers
The Panthers were favored by 21.5 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Pittsburgh.
Result: 49-27 for the Panthers. 
This week we are 14-2 in calling the winner and 8-8 against the spread.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
The Scarlet Knights were favored by 27.5 points.
Our call: 37-17 for Rutgers.
Result: 28-10 for the Scarlet Knights. 
This week we are 15-2 in calling the winner and 9-8 against the spread.

Fordham Rams at Temple Owls
The Owls were favored by 20.5 points.
Our call: 37-20 for Temple.
Result: 30-29 for the Rams. 
This week we are 15-3 in calling the winner and 10-8 against the spread.

Fresno State Bulldogs at Colorado Buffaloes
The Bulldogs were favored by 9.5 points.
Our call:  33-24 for the Bulldogs.
Game postponed.

Youngstown State Penguins at Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State was favored by 23 points.
Our call: 27-3 for Michigan State.
Result: 55-17 for the Spartans. 
This week we are 16-3 in calling the winner and 11-8 against the spread.

Boston College Eagles at USC Trojans
The Trojans were favored by 14 points.
Our call: 27-17 for Southern Cal.
Result: 35-7 for the Trojans. 
This week we are 17-3 in calling the winner and 11-9 against the spread.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies
'Bama was favored by 7.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Texas A&M.
Result: 49-42 for the Crimson Tide. 
This week we are 17-4 in calling the winner and 12-9 against the spread.

Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks
The Ducks were favored by 27.5 points.
Our call: 51-17 for Oregon.
Result: 59-14 for the Ducks. 
This week we are 18-4 in calling the winner and 13-9 against the spread.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Florida State Seminoles
The Seminoles were favored by 34 points.
Our call: 58-17 for Florida State.
Result: 62-7 for the Seminoles. 
This week we are 19-4 in calling the winner and 14-9 against the spread.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Duke Blue Devils
The Yellow Jackets were favored by 8.5 points.
Our call: 40-21 for Georgia Tech.
Result: 38-14 for the Yellow Jackets. 
This week we are 20-4 in calling the winner and 15-9 against the spread.

Stony Brook Seawolves at Buffalo Bulls
The Bulls were favored by 13 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Buffalo.
Result: 26-23 for the Bulls in 5 overtimes!
This week we are 21-4 in calling the winner and 16-9 against the spread.

Delaware Fightin Blue Hens at Navy Midshipmen
The Midshipmen were favored by 17 points.
Our call: 45-27 for Navy.
Result: 51-7 for the Midshipmen. 
This week we are 22-4 in calling the winner and 17-9 against the spread.

Wagner Seahawks at Syracuse Orange
The Orange were favored by 29 points.
Our call: 51-10 for Syracuse.
Result: 54-0 for the Orange. 
This week we are 23-4 in calling the winner and 18-9 against the spread.

Ball State Cardinals at North Texas Mean Green
The Cardinals were favored by 3 points.
Our call: 31-23 for Ball State.
Result: 34-27 for the Mean Green. 
This week we are 23-5 in calling the winner and 18-10 against the spread.

Northern Colorado Bears at Wyoming Cowboys
The Cowboys were favored by 26 points.
Our call: 45-27 for Wyoming.
Result: 35-7 for the Cowboys. 
This week we are 24-5 in calling the winner and 18-11 against the spread.

Northern Illinois Huskies at Idaho Vandals
The Northern Illinois Huskies were favored by 28.5 points.
Our call: 41-23 for Northern Illlinois.
Result: 45-35 for the Huskies. 
This week we are 25-5 in calling the winner and 19-11 against the spread.

Washington Huskies at Illinois Fighting Illini
The Huskies were favored by 9.5 points.
Our call: 39-27 for Washington.
Result: 34-24 for the Huskies. 
This week we are 26-5 in calling the winner and 20-11 against the spread.

Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones
The Hawkeyes were favored by 2 points.
Our call: 31-27 for the Hawkeyes.
Result: 27-21 for the Hawkeyes. 
This week we are 27-5 in calling the winner and 21-11 against the spread.

UCF Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions were favored by 5.5 points.
Our call: 27-17 for Penn State.
Result: 34-31 for Central Florida. 
This week we are 27-6 in calling the winner and 21-12 against the spread.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida International Golden Panthers
The Wildcats were favored by 3 points.
Our call: 27-23 for Bethune-Cookman.
Result: 34-13 for the Wildcats. 
This week we are 28-6 in calling the winner and 22-12 against the spread.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Washington State Cougars
The Cougars were favored by 22 points.
Our call: 31-14 for Washington State.
Result: 48-10 for the Cougars. 
This week we are 29-6 in calling the winner and 22-13 against the spread.

Ohio State Buckeyes at California Golden Bears
The Buckeyes were favored by 15.5 points.
Our call: 45-14 for Ohio State.
Result: 52-34 for the Buckeyes. 
This week we are 30-6 in calling the winner and 23-13 against the spread.

Kent State Golden Flashes at LSU Tigers
The Tigers were favored by 36.5 points.
Our call: 51-14 for LSU.
Result: 45-13 for the Tigers. 
This week we are 31-6 in calling the winner and 23-14 against the spread.

Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks
The Gamecocks were favored by 13.5 points.
Our call: 42-21 for South Carolina.
Result: 35-25 for the Gamecocks. 
This week we are 32-6 in calling the winner and 23-15 against the spread.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers
The Tigers were favored by 6.5 points.
Our call: 40-17 for Auburn.
Result: 24-20 for the Tigers. 
This week we are 33-6 in calling the winner and 23-16 against the spread.

Florida Atlantic Owls at South Florida Bulls
The Bulls were favored by 12.5 points.
Our call: 24-17 for South Florida.
Result: 28-10 for the Owls. 
This week we are 33-7 in calling the winner and 24-16 against the spread.

Nicholls State Colonels at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored by 26.5 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Louisiana-Lafayette.
Result: 70-7 for the Ragin' Cajuns. 
This week we are 34-7 in calling the winner and 24-17 against the spread.

Northwestern State Demons at Cincinnati Bearcats
The Bearcats were favored by 28.5 points.
Our call: 31-21 for Cincinnati.
Result: 66-9 for the Bearcats. 
This week we are 35-7 in calling the winner and 24-18 against the spread.

Massachusetts Minutemen at Kansas State Wildcats
The Wildcats were favored by 38.5 points.
Our call: 53-10 for K-State.
Result: 37-7 for the Wildcats. 
This week we are 36-7 in calling the winner and 24-19 against the spread.

Memphis Tigers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
The Blue Raiders were favored by 6.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: 17-15 for the Blue Raiders. 
This week we are 37-7 in calling the winner and 24-20 against the spread.

Eastern Washington Eagles at Toledo Rockets
The Rockets were favored by 6 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Toledo.
Result: 33-21 for the Rockets. 
This week we are 38-7 in calling the winner and 24-21 against the spread.

Lamar Cardinals at Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Cowboys were favored by 46 points.
Our call: 49-17 for Oklahoma State.
Result: 59-3 for the Cowboys. 
This week we are 39-7 in calling the winner and 24-22 against the spread.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at South Alabama Jaguars
The Hilltoppers were favored by 9.5 points.
Our call: 35-27 for Western Kentucky.
Result: 31-24 for the Jaguars. 
This week we are 40-7 in calling the winner and 25-22 against the spread.

Maryland Terrapins at Connecticut Huskies
The Terps were favored by 7 points.
Our call: 37-28 for Maryland.
Result: 32-21 for the Terrapins. 
This week we are 41-7 in calling the winner and 26-22 against the spread.

Kansas Jayhawks at Rice Owls
The Owls were favored by 6.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Rice.
Result: 23-14 for the Owls. 
This week we are 42-7 in calling the winner and 26-23 against the spread.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Purdue Boilermakers
The Fighting Irish were favored by 20.5 points.
Our call: 40-10 for Notre Dame.
Result: 31-24 for the Fighting Irish. 
This week we are 43-7 in calling the winner and 26-24 against the spread.

Mississippi Rebels at Texas Longhorns
The Longhorns were favored by 4.5 points.
Our call: 34-31 for Texas.
Result: 44-23 for Ole Miss. 
This week we are 43-8 in calling the winner and 27-24 against the spread.

UTEP Texas El Paso Miners at New Mexico State Aggies
The Miners were favored by 6 points.
Our call: 42-34 for UTEP.
Result: 42-21 for the Miners. 
This week we are 44-8 in calling the winner and 28-24 against the spread.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Ohio Bobcats
The Thundering Herd was favored by 8 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Marshall.
Result: 34-31 for the Bobcats. 
This week we are 44-9 in calling the winner and 29-24 against the spread.

Weber State Wildcats at Utah State Aggies
The Aggies were favored by 37 points.
Our call: 45-16 for Utah State.
Result: 70-6 for the Aggies. 
This week we are 45-9 in calling the winner and 29-25 against the spread.

Western Michigan Broncos at Northwestern Wildcats
The Wildcats were favored by 30.5 points.
Our call: 43-10 for Northwestern.
Result: 38-17 for the Wildcats. 
This week we are 46-9 in calling the winner and 29-26 against the spread.

Oregon State Beavers at Utah Utes
The Utes were favored by 3 points.
Our call: 46-21 for Utah.
Result: 51-48 in overtime for the Beavers. 
This week we are 46-10 in calling the winner and 29-27 against the spread.

Central Michigan Chippewas at UNLV Rebels
The Rebels were favored by 7 points.
Our call: 27-24 for UNLV.
Result: 31-21 for the Rebels. 
This week we are 47-10 in calling the winner and 29-28 against the spread.

Wisconsin Badgers at Arizona State Sun Devils
The Sun Devils were favored by 5 points.
Our call: 31-21 for Wisconsin.
Result: 32-30 for the Sun Devils. 
This week we are 47-11 in calling the winner and 30-28 against the spread.

UTSA Texas-San Antonio  Roadrunners at Arizona Wildcats
The Wildcats were favored by 26 points.
Our call: 40-20 for Arizona.
Result: 38-13 for the Wildcats. 
This week we are 48-11 in calling the winner and 31-28 against the spread.

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